Gerper – 2025-09-30 Monthly Report
Overview
Gerper (Low-Sec, Everyshore) experienced sustained, high-intensity conflict throughout September, culminating in a major organized fleet engagement on September 21st. The system operated under a consistent high-risk profile, exceeding threat levels typical for Low-Sec, characterized by the presence and use of dreadnoughts and force auxiliaries.
Threat Analysis
Average Threat Level: 4.49 (High to Extremely High Risk)
Most Noteworthy Killers / Victims:
Killers (Involved in multiple final blows/fleet leadership):
- Tony Pellion (Leshak / Nestor)
- Caesar Manson (Vindicator)
- Sir Bongwater Hackalung (Apocalypse)
- TigreTek (Apocalypse)
- Lancer Enkidu (Machariel)
- FrozenHam Thiesant (Machariel / Zirnitra)
- ZT5031
- Ninja Adult (Zirnitra / Leshak fleet)
Victims (Frequent losses or targets of high value):
- Zitte en Daire (Lost multiple small hulls: Vexor NI, Algos, Venture)
- Capitals/Force Auxiliaries (Including: Revelation, Moros, Phoenix Navy Issue, Apostle, Ninazu)
- Ventures, MTUs, and solo PVE/Industrial assets
Noteworthy Groups Working Together:
Analysis indicates two primary opposing forces, both utilizing heavy battleship formations (Machariel/Apocalypse) and capital escalation:
- Machariel-Centric Fleets: Associated with pilots like Lancer Enkidu, FrozenHam Thiesant, and Richard Lvyc, often supported by Vindicators and general logistics.
- Apocalypse-Centric Fleets: Associated with pilots like Sir Bongwater Hackalung, TigreTek, and Caesar Manson, deploying Leshaks and Zirnitra capital support (e.g., "Ninja Adult" fleet).
- Black Operations/Capital Strike Group: Observed late in the month (Sept 28-30) utilizing Moros, Nidhoggur, Redeemer, Sin, and Widow, suggesting a highly organized, HVT-hunting setup capable of rapid deployment and decisive engagement.
History and Trends
Chronology Summary: Gerper began the month with sporadic small-gang activity, but experienced a massive, concentrated spike in violence on September 21st, between 02:00 and 04:00 UTC. This spike accounted for the majority of the monthly kills (68 of 75 kills reported in one 24-hour analysis) and involved fleet-on-fleet battles with confirmed capital losses (Dreadnoughts, Force Auxiliaries, Carriers). Activity stabilized afterwards but remained at an elevated threat level (4.7+), with subsequent advisories focusing on the presence of organized Black Ops and dreadnought teams maintaining a high-risk environment, particularly during the early UTC prime time (Late USTZ/Early EUTZ).
Typical Ships Used:
- Killers (Heavy DPS/Brawlers): Machariel, Apocalypse, Leshak, Vindicator, Zirnitra, Moros (Dreadnought), Ikitursa.
- Killers (Support/Tackle): Nestor, Redeemer, Devoter, Retribution, Malediction, Sabre (Interdictors), Sin/Widow (Black Ops).
- Victims (Primary: Ventures, Vexor NI, small haulers, MTUs, and various capital ships lost in battles (Revelation, Phoenix Navy Issue).
Trends:
- Time of Peak Risk: Consistent and severe risk between 02:00–04:00 UTC, particularly on weekends.
- Escalation: System shows a clear trend toward capital escalation and the use of dedicated logistical support (Nestors, Nidhoggurs, Redeemers).
- Target Profile: Fleet operations target opposing PvP fleets and capitals, while opportunistic hunters target soft assets (Miners, haulers, MTUs) outside the peak window.
Notable Kills (Representative Examples)
- Capital-on-Capital Engagement: Loss of a Revelation/Phoenix Navy Issue dreadnought or carrier, confirming the use of capital-capable forces on the grid. (Occurred Sept 21st peak).
- Battleship Fleet Losses: High-volume losses of core battleships (Apocalypse and Machariel) during the Sept 21st surge, indicating massive, structured brawls.
- Leshak/Zirnitra Kills: Repeated final blows by heavy Triglavian/Abyssal ships (Leshak, Zirnitra), highlighting high alpha damage and focused target elimination.
- Vindicator Dominance: High final-blow counts for Vindicator pilots (e.g., Caesar Manson), underscoring the ship's effectiveness as a fleet alpha contributor.
- Industrial/Solo Losses: Consistent targeting and destruction of low-value, high-vulnerability targets like Ventures and MTUs, confirming opportunistic hunting alongside primary fleet conflicts.