Everyshore Intelligence Network

EIN-Advisory: GERPER — System Elevated to Threat Level 4.5 After Capital Engagement

Summary

• System: Gerper (Everyshore region, low-sec)
• Current Threat Level: 4.5 — Severe (upgraded)
• Timeframe of analysis: Week of 2025-11-04 to 2025-11-09
• Reason: Large-scale capital engagement on 2025-11-05 with multiple dreadnought and force auxiliary losses; continued post-battle hunting and cleanup operations.

What happened

• On 2025-11-05 between 10:58 UTC and 11:13 UTC a concentrated, high-intensity action produced 11 high-value losses in ~15 minutes, including dreadnoughts (Naglfar, Revelation), a Falcon force recon, and multiple Force Auxiliaries (Apostles).
• Analysis attributes the offensive capacity to Triglavian-aligned dreadnoughts (Zirnitra) supported by Leshak battleships, Tempest Fleet Issue, Abaddons and logistics — a coordinated anti-capital siege with rapid, decisive force projection.
• After the main clash, smaller specialist groups (Tengu/Loki T3 gangs, Leshak small-gangs) continued operations, targeting industrials, logistics and recon vessels.

Observed threats & tactics

• Capital-level threat: Multiple Zirnitra dreadnoughts present; proven capacity to eliminate hostile capitals and their logistics within minutes.
• Sub-capital threat: Persistent Leshak battleship presence and high-end T3 cruiser hunters (Tengu, Loki) — coordinated, high-damage siege and surgical-strike capabilities.
• Opportunistic activity: Solo or small gangs conducting standard high-/low-sec predator behavior against industrials and exposed targets outside peak battle windows.

Risk assessment (rooted in the analyst data)

• Capital deployments: 5.0 — Guaranteed death risk. Do NOT deploy or transit capitals through Gerper.
• Sub-capitals (battlecruisers/battleships/T3s): Minimum persistent threat 3.0 (high risk); spikes to 4.0+ when coordinated Leshak/Triglavian groups are active.
• Light ships/industrials/haulers: Elevated risk from opportunistic predators and post-battle cleanup gangs; expect kills outside primary engagement windows as well.

Tactical/time notes

• Peak threat window observed: Tuesday (mid-week), ~10:58–11:13 UTC (late-morning UTC). This is the observed window for the major engagement; similar mid-week late-morning operations are likely and should be treated with caution.
• Lower-intensity incidents occurred at disparate times (examples: Monday 08:24 UTC, Friday 03:42–03:45 UTC, Sunday 03:20 UTC), indicating persistent small-gang activity outside peak windows.

Immediate advisories (do not assume safety outside these)

• Avoid transiting Gerper with capital ships or force auxiliaries — losses are highly likely.
• Do not move high-value, low-tanked fittings or expensive ships through Gerper unless mission-critical and risk-acceptant.
• Expect coordinated EW/logistics support and follow-up cleanup gangs after any major engagement.
• If you must operate in Gerper, assume multiple hostile fleets are present and time your movements outside the observed mid-week late-morning peak only with full acceptance of residual risk; there is no guaranteed safe window.

Conclusion
Gerper is no longer a routine low-sec transit. The November 5th engagement demonstrates a capable, organized Triglavian-aligned anti-capital force operating with supporting heavy battleship and T3 elements. Capitals transiting or staging in Gerper face an immediate 5.0 risk; sub-capitals and industrials face elevated, persistent danger. Exercise maximal caution and route around Gerper where possible.