Everyshore Intelligence Network

EIN Advisory — Gerper: Major Capital Engagement Detected; System Remains High-Risk

Date: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-09 (analysis window)

Executive summary

• A concentrated, planned capital- and sub-capital engagement occurred in Gerper on 2025-11-05 centered at ~11:00 UTC. This was a high-order fleet action involving dreadnoughts (Zirnitra, Revelation, Naglfar, Moros), Force Auxiliaries (Apostle), and heavy battleship support (Leshak, Tempest Fleet Issue, Abaddon, Bhaalgorn, Vindicator).
• Smaller, targeted hunter activity followed on 2025-11-07 and 2025-11-09, demonstrating persistent local predator activity against industrial/exploration targets.
• Short summary judgement: Gerper is a high-risk low-sec system. The Nov 5 capital action produced a Real Threat Level of 5.0 (see below). Residual capital assets and small-gang hunters remain a material danger.

Observed activity and threat profile

• Major action: 2025-11-05, 10:58–11:13 UTC — capital-on-capital and capital vs FAX engagements. Two opposing capital/large sub-capital forces were present: Triglavian-aligned platforms (Zirnitra, Leshak) vs mixed legacy capital force (Revelation, Naglfar, Moros). Heavy E-War and recon support (Falcon, Arazu, Keres) were employed.
• Follow-up predation: 2025-11-07 03:42–03:45 UTC and 2025-11-09 (03:20; 20:02 UTC) — small gangs/Tech-3 cruisers (Tengu, Loki) hunted Orca, Dominix, cruisers and explorers.
• Noted pilots: Cadhla Dioltas (Tengu) and Nhimyk (Loki) active in small-gang strikes (Real Thread ~3.5).
• Special threat elements: Force Recon/Heavy Interdiction (Falcon, Arazu, Devoter) indicate high reliance on tackle + warp-nullifying tools. Leshak swarms and Zirnitras present strong sub-capital and capital damage projection.

Threat levels (rooted in observed data)

• 2025-11-05, 10:58–11:13 UTC: 5.0 — Guaranteed-death for non-combat capitals or unescorted high-value targets transiting the system during this window.
• Sub-capital engagements with Leshak swarms: 4.0–4.5 — lethal to poorly fitted or unsupported subcapital fleets and solo pilots at medium range.
• Small-gang hunter activity (early UTC and late UTC pockets): 3.5 — dangerous to unescorted industrial/hauling/exploration ships.

Temporal pattern and anomaly warning

• Major anomaly: Tuesday, Nov 5 ~11:00 UTC spike. If this corresponds to a planned structure timer or operational cadence, expect similar high-activity windows on Tuesdays at that hour in future. Treat Tuesday ~11:00 UTC as a likely high-risk window until proven otherwise.
• Persistent predator windows outside the anomaly: early UTC (~03:00–04:00) and late UTC (~20:00), commonly on Thursdays and Saturdays in the sample.

Immediate advisories (actionable, data-driven)

1. Capitals and convoys
   • Do not transit Gerper with non-combat capitals (carriers, supercarriers, dreadnoughts) or capital convoys during Tuesday ~11:00 UTC windows. The Nov 5 event resulted in near-certain loss conditions for unescorted capitals.
   • If capital movement is unavoidable, only move with prepared capital-level support (FAX + dreadnought-friendly escorts) and full scout/RECON awareness.
2. Industrialists / Haulers / Orcas
   • Avoid unescorted Orca/Dominix/industrial fleets in Gerper. Small-gang T3 hunters have demonstrated effective kill patterns on these assets (Nov 7/9).
   • Use cloaky scouts, avoid predictable transit times, and hold on-grid or in NPC stations when activity is observed.
3. Explorers
   • Exercise extreme caution during early UTC and the Tuesday ~11:00 UTC window. Cloak/stealth modules and bookmark-based safes are strongly advised if you must probe.
4. Subcap PvP pilots
   • Beware of Leshak swarms and Triglavian heavy presence at medium ranges; heavy cruiser/battleship engagements can rapidly escalate. Recon and heavy interdiction support are present; do not rely on pure speed for extraction.
5. General movement planning
   • Avoid routine scheduling of logistics or structure work in Gerper during the identified high-risk windows (Tues ~11:00 UTC, early-UTC predation hours). Treat the system as having residual capital-capability staging nearby — plan detours where possible.
6. Scout and tackle threat
   • Expect immediate and effective point/tackle from recon/HIC platforms. Do not assume align speed or normal warping guarantees safety inside the system.

Tactical notes (from observed methods)

• Attackers used coordinated dreadnought strikes supported by FAX and Leshak swarms, plus recon for tackle and HICs for warp denial. This combination proved lethal against both capitals and unescorted subcaps.
• Small-gang hunters favored Tech-3 cruisers (Tengu/Loki) and fast lock-downs on industrial targets during low-traffic hours.

Closing

• Gerper is presently a volatile low-sec system with both episodic large-scale capital warfare and continuous small-gang predation. Operational planners, haulers, and solo pilots should treat Gerper as high-risk and schedule movements and activities accordingly.
• This advisory is based solely on the reported observations from 2025-11-05 through 2025-11-09. Apply heightened caution around the listed times and vessel types.