Gerper – 2025-11-05
Date (analysis basis): 2025-11-06
System: Gerper — Low-Security (Everyshore)
Summary
- Gerper has moved from opportunistic ganking to episodic, high-lethality fleet operations. A major engagement on 2025-11-05 involved capital-class assets (Zirnitra Dreadnought) and multiple Leshak battleships, indicating organized fleet action and possible use of the system as a staging or jump-in point.
- Available killmail data does not identify attacker or defender alliances/corporations by name. Main forces observed: an unidentified fleet employing Triglavian capitals (Zirnitra) and Leshak battleships versus local targets/forces (identity unknown).
- Current assessed local threat level: 4.5 (High Risk). Do not assume routine low-level activity — expect intermittent, highly lethal spikes.
Observed Patterns and Key Threats
- Timeframes of elevated activity:
- 03:00–05:00 UTC (early USTZ / late EUTZ) — repeated anti‑industrial and small‑gang incidents.
- ~11:00 UTC (peak EUTZ / early AUTZ) — largest, most complex engagement observed (Nov 5).
- 20:00–23:30 UTC (late USTZ) — isolated small‑gang harassment and strategic cruiser activity.
- Primary threat profiles seen:
- Triglavian Capital Force — Zirnitra (Dreadnought) + Leshak Battleships: Highest lethality, fleet action on 2025-11-05. (Threat 5.0)
- Solo Strategic Cruiser Hunter — Tengu (multi-kill solo ops that scoop capsules). (Threat ~3.8)
- Small-gang interdiction / anti-EWAR — Jackdaw + Flycatcher, demonstrated cyno/cynosural denial targeting infrastructure. (Threat ~3.5)
- Orthrus anti‑industrial hunter — persistent attacks on miners/haulers (Covetor, Velator). (Threat ~2.5)
- Single-ship transport hunters — Ferox NI targeting Badger/haulers. (Threat ~2.0)
- Frigate-level ganks on miners — opportunistic Venture kills. (Threat ~1.0)
Tactical Implications (rooted in observed data)
- Capitals and battleships are present and have been used offensively. Any movement of capitals, supercapitals, or battleship fleets through or into Gerper carries significant risk of engagement or interdiction.
- Anti‑industrial hunters (Orthrus, solo cruisers) are actively targeting mining and transport hulls, particularly during early USTZ hours and other noted windows.
- Solo/stealthy strategic cruisers (Tengu) are operating effectively against combat and support hulls and tend to remove capsules — expect fast, decisive kills with capsule loss on successful strikes.
- Small-gang interdiction actions have targeted cyno/anti-cyno infrastructure — reinforcements may be denied during engagements.
Recommended Precautions (for pilots operating in/through Gerper)
- Avoid non‑urgent mining, hauling, and transport operations inside Gerper during elevated windows:
- Primary windows to avoid: 03:00–05:00 UTC and ~11:00 UTC (noted peak on Nov 5). Exercise increased caution 20:00–23:30 UTC as well.
- Do not transit high‑value or vulnerable ships (jump freighters, transports, capital ships) through Gerper while capital-class deployments are known or suspected in the region.
- If you must operate in-system:
- Use fast, aligned ships or covert options; minimize time at zero and limit uncloaked loitering.
- Avoid predictable single-route undock/landing behavior; use safespots and be ready to disengage immediately.
- Expect potential cyno/cynosural denial or interdiction attempts; plan for reinforcement denial.
- For miners and haulers: prefer lower‑value hulls or convoys with combat escort during non‑optimal hours; if escorts are unavailable, delay operations until lower-risk periods.
- Capsule loss: be aware that certain hunters are scooping capsules. Combat pilots should assume capsule recovery is possible for attackers and plan accordingly (insurance, recon, clone considerations).
What this means for wider Everyshore operations
- The Nov 5 capital deployment represents a shift in local operational capability. If these forces maintain or re‑deploy to Gerper, expect the system to function as a staging or anchoring point for broader Everyshore operations.
- Intelligence available does not identify specific alliances or corps involved. Targeting, escalation, and denial behavior observed indicate a prepared, sustained offensive capability rather than purely opportunistic piracy.
EIN Assessment (short)
- Immediate: High risk — avoid vulnerable activities and high-value transits during the identified windows.
- Near-term: Monitor for repeated capital deployments; expect intermittent, high‑lethality spikes rather than constant low-level harassment.
- Long-term: If large fleet assets continue to appear, Gerper should be treated as contested and tactically significant within the Everyshore theatre.
This advisory is based solely on killmail analysis dated 2025-10-29 through 2025-11-05.