Gerper – 2025-10-18
Summary
Pilots operating Ventures or similar unarmed/lightly fitted ships in Gerper face IMMEDIATE RISK. Overall threat is MODERATE with SPIKES driven by at least one confirmed solo stealth bomber (Manticore). Elevated danger occurs during late-UTC evening to early-UTC morning hours.
Immediate Local Warning
- Jay Monkey (Manticore) — confirmed kill against a Venture. Real_Thread: 4.5. Active during Monday/Thursday late-evening → early-morning UTC. Considered a primary and present danger to vulnerable miners.
Top 6 Threat Profiles (condensed)
- Jay Monkey — Manticore (Stealth Bomber). Real_Thread 4.5. Solo high-alpha stealth ganks; key local threat.
- The Ghost Ganker — Stealth Bomber archetype. Real_Thread 4.0. Opportunistic stealth attacks, especially late UTC.
- Small Gang Gankers — Cruisers/Destroyers/Attack Frigs. Real_Thread 3.5. Coordinated 2–4 pilot packs; more threat to larger industrials.
- Solo Non-Stealth Ganker — Destroyers/Thrasher etc. Real_Thread 3.0. Blitz ganks during perceived low vigilance.
- War-Declaration Hunters — Combat-fit ships. Real_Thread 2.5. Targeted harassment if your corp is wardecced.
- Environmental/User Error (“Bad Luck”). Real_Thread 1.0. Accidents, gate-camps, or misnavigation; always a baseline risk.
Observed Day/Time Pattern
- Confirmed gank: Monday 20:44:59 UTC (Manticore vs Venture).
- Unattributed Venture loss: Thursday 02:57:00 UTC (killmail lacked attackers; consistent with stealth bomber mechanics).
- Pattern indicates higher risk late UTC evening → early UTC morning, particularly Mondays and Thursdays.
Interpretation
- The unattributed kill aligns with stealth bomber tactics (high alpha, quick exit/cloak), making stealth bombers the most plausible cause.
- Ventures are a clear target profile. Solo miners in Gerper are high-value, easy targets.
Tactical Recommendations (rooted in observed data)
- D-scan habit: Constant short-cycle D-scan while in belt or pocket. Any combat signature → immediate warp.
- Overview: Show combat ships and red/aggressive flags; filter to detect stealth bomber hulls if possible.
- Instant-warp bookmarks: Multiple safes up/down from belts, near gates/station approach.
- Fleet up or scout: Mine with an escort or have a scouting alt (covert ops/cloak) if available.
- Fit caution: Avoid risky fits on Ventures; consider tanked industrials or MTUs in safer staging.
- Time awareness: Avoid solo mining in Gerper during late-UTC evening → early-UTC morning windows if possible.
Conclusion
Gerper is not safe for solo Ventures at observed times. The confirmed Manticore gank and an unattributed Venture loss both point to stealth-bomber activity. Assume you are being hunted during the outlined hours and apply the listed precautions.