Mormelot – 2025-10-25
Date: 2025-10-26
System: Mormelot (Everyshore Region, Low‑sec)
Key Points
- Threat profile: Low-to-Moderate, spiky (Thread Level Avg: 2.5). Activity shows two distinct behaviours: coordinated gate/gank with logistics support, and opportunistic solo tactical hits on infrastructure.
- Primary names to note from recent activity: Alexis glavor (Svipul) and a two‑ship team including Jason Ozran (Navitas) + Sick Artley (Vedmak) — identified as a coordinated gank/logistics pairing.
- High‑risk windows: Peak EU/US activity (roughly 19:00–22:00 UTC) and an off‑hour spike around 09:00–10:00 UTC (Saturday morning observed).
Observed Incidents (Selected Evidence)
- Kill ID 130664087 — 2025‑10‑20 20:30:21 UTC: Coordinated gate gank of a capsule. Attackers included a Vedmak and a Navitas (Jason Ozran + Sick Artley). Real Thread Level assessed 3.5 (logistics present; coordinated small gang).
- Kill ID 130753723 — 2025‑10‑25 09:31:57 UTC: Mobile Cyno destroyed by Alexis glavor in a Svipul. Real Thread Level assessed 1.5 (targeted infrastructure strike; quick solo action).
Threat Assessment
- Coordinated small gangs in Mormelot bring logistics (Navitas) — they are prepared for sustained engagements and counter‑counters. Do not assume a two‑ship gang is one‑shotable.
- Solo, agile pilots (ex: Svipul operated by Alexis glavor) are using role‑switching behaviour (victim ➜ aggressor). Treat lone Svipuls as potentially hostile scouts/ambushers rather than incidental players.
- Stationary assets (mobile cynos, beacons, deployed modules) are vulnerable during off‑hours and may be deliberately targeted to disrupt movement or prepare for later operations.
Tactical Advice (Grounded in the Data)
- Transit caution: Avoid solo high‑value transits during 19:00–22:00 UTC and 09:00–10:00 UTC if possible. If transit is unavoidable, assume the presence of prepared tacklers and logistics.
- Ship choice: Prefer fast‑aligning, high‑speed hulls or reinforced transit fits when moving through Mormelot. The analyst recommendation: use high‑speed, reinforced ships for transits during higher‑risk windows.
- Engagement posture: Do not enter prolonged fights unless you are equipped to handle logistics‑backed opponents. If you encounter a small gang with a logistics ship, disengage early — their sustain will outlast many solo or short‑term attackers.
- Infrastructure protection: Mobile cynos and other deployables are attractive, low‑risk targets for opportunistic pilots. If you operate deployables here, consider removal or armed protection during off‑hours; avoid leaving critical deployables unattended.
- Contact behaviour: Treat Alexis glavor as a high‑awareness opportunist. Lone Svipuls in system should be assumed hostile until proven otherwise; avoid approaching unknown Svipuls without backup.
- Gate behaviour: Expect coordinated gate camping at peak times. Align and warp immediately when gates/bridges present danger; avoid loitering on gates with cargo/timers exposed.
Fitting & Doctrinal Suggestions (Practical)
- Prioritize align time and high burst speed to minimize being held by tackle.
- If operating valuable assets through Mormelot, transit with a small escort or in a group that can threaten or deter tackle/logi combinations.
- For defensive ops: bring tackle denial and EWAR sufficient to disrupt small gang logistics if planning to contest attackers — but only engage with prepared forces.
Outlook
Mormelot remains unstable but not dominated by large bloc forces. Activity is sparse yet focused; attackers alternate between coordinated ganking with logistics and opportunistic solo infrastructure strikes. Expect continued spiky behaviour — assume risk on both peak evening windows and selected off‑hour mornings.
Stay cautious in‑system transit, avoid leaving stationary assets exposed, and treat lone agile attackers (Svipuls) and two‑ship logi+DPS pairings as credible threats.