Everyshore Intelligence Network

EIN Advisory — Mormelot: Elevated Threat; Morning Ganker + Black Ops & Counter-Fleet Activity

Threat Level: Elevated (3.5 / 5.0) — Low-Security (0.4) system

Date Range Covered: 11–14 Nov 2025 (key escalation: 14 Nov UTC morning)

Summary

• Mormelot is contested between two distinct hostile profiles and an organized local defense: a coordinated Black Ops/T3C strike gang, a persistent solo ganker (Begrezen), and a rapid, high-power counter-gank fleet (Firefly group).
• Critical time windows: 06:00–08:00 UTC (industrial ganking / counter-ganking) and ~21:00 UTC (Black Ops assault).
• Any vulnerable industrial or transit activity in Mormelot is at meaningful risk of instant destruction or rapid escalation into fleet-level combat.

Notable Events (Data highlights)

• Tue ~21:10 UTC — VNI destroyed by a 3x Black Ops + T3C formation (Real Threat 4.5).
• Wed ~06:55 UTC — MTU destroyed by a Typhoon (opportunistic).
• Thu 07:38–07:49 UTC — Two Retrievers and an Arazu downed by Begrezen-led attacks; Begrezen’s Megathron was immediately killed in a Black Ops-led counter (Real Threat escalated to 5.0 for counter-fleet response).

Named Actors & Assets (from analyst data)

• Black Ops Insertion Gang: Alexis glavor (Widow), Sick Artley (Panther), Jason Ozran (Lachesis), Znuts Aurgnet (Proteus) — three Black Ops battleships, Combat Recon, Strategic Cruiser. High-coordination, alpha-strike capability.
• Begrezen: solo/persistent ganker — assets observed: Khizriel (pirate BC), Typhoon, Megathron. Primary tactic: early-morning, hit-and-run on miners/MTU.
• Firefly Counter-Gank Fleet: firefly1214 (Redeemer), TzTo, firefly-01, firefly-BB, firefly-BB (used Arazu then other assets), Jadeava — Redeemer Black Ops, Navy Cruisers, Porpoise (support/links). Rapid organized retaliation defending local industrialists.

Operational Patterns & Warnings

• 06:00–08:00 UTC — Critical: Begrezen repeatedly targets miners and MTUs. Local defenders (Firefly group) have shown immediate and decisive counter-gank capability, including deploying a Redeemer to remove aggressors instantly. Industrial pilots are most at risk in this window.
• ~21:00 UTC — Black Ops insertion/assassination operations targeting combat/PvE targets. Expect cloaked Black Ops (Widow, Panther) and T3C disruptions during evening hours.

Tactical Recommendations (rooted in observed behavior)

• Industrial / Mining Pilots
  • Do not mine or leave MTUs/other unattended industrial assets in Mormelot between 06:00–08:00 UTC. This window has a demonstrated pattern of targeted ganking.
  • If you must operate, bring dedicated local scouts/oversight, use high-warp or otherwise fast assets, consider moving MTUs to safer systems during the window, and remain aligned to warp-out points.
• Solo Hunters / Gankers
  • Avoid solo attacks on local industrial assets during the early-morning window — the Firefly group responds with overwhelming force (Redeemer + fleet). Solo aggression has produced guaranteed pod/ship loss in observed engagements.
  • Expect strong counter-tactics (cloaky Black Ops + fleet support) and plan accordingly.
• Transit / PvE Pilots
  • Treat Mormelot as high-risk during 21:00 UTC (Black Ops threat) and 06:00–08:00 UTC (gank/counter-gank). Maintain warp alignment, carry interdiction/escape options, and travel with escorts where possible.
  • Be particularly cautious about lingering or salvaging wrecks near known miner activity; opportunistic gankers and counter-fleets are active.
• Small Fleets / Local Defenders
  • The Firefly group demonstrated rapid muster and effective use of a Redeemer Black Ops with support cruisers and a Porpoise. If organizing local defense, account for both covert jump-capable foes and hit-and-run pirate BCs.
• Courier / Hauler pilots
  • Delay high-value runs through Mormelot during the morning window and evening primetime for the system where possible. Use alternative routes to avoid predictable times.

Signatures / Indicators to Watch For

• Cloaked Black Ops ships (Widow/Panther) appearing around ~21:00 UTC; a small T3C/Combat Recon wing nearby is suggestive of pre-planned assassination.
• High-warp pirate BC (Khizriel) in system during 06:00–07:30 UTC — likely Begrezen ganking run.
• Rapid appearance of a Redeemer and Porpoise with linked Navy cruisers following miner losses — indicates an active and prepared counter-gank force.

Conclusion
Mormelot is a low-sec ticked-up hotspot where routine industrial activity can trigger instant escalation. The combination of a persistent ganker operating in predictable early-morning slots, an organized local counterforce with Black Ops capability, and separate Black Ops insertion teams in primetime creates a volatile environment. Exercise heightened caution around the identified time windows and adhere to the tactical recommendations above.