Everyshore Intelligence Network

EIN-Advisory — Mormelot: Black Ops Drops and Persistent Anti‑Industrial Hunts Elevate System Risk (YC127.11)

Date: YC127.11
System: Mormelot (Everyshore) — Low‑Security

Overview

• Recent killmail patterns show Mormelot behaving as an active hot zone: coordinated fleet ganks, covert Black Ops drops, and persistent anti‑industrial harassment. Industrial and civilian traffic are being actively hunted; combat pilots have staged multi‑capital and Black Ops operations.
• Threat is both organized (fleet/Black Ops) and opportunistic (solo/small‑gang hunters). Presence of Black Ops ships (Widow, Panther, Redeemer) demonstrates capability for sudden, deep‑strike operations against medium‑value targets.

Immediate System Threat Assessment

• System danger: HIGH — lethal to unprepared industrial and civilian vessels, significant risk to combat ships during peak harassment windows.
• Primary danger actors (observed): Alexis glavor, Begrezen, Sick Artley, Karl Rudolf Horse, Karlsson Horse, and a retaliatory group labeled firefly‑BB/firefly1214. These names represent the active combatants recorded in multiple engagements.
• Notable capabilities observed: Black Ops drops (covert deep strike), multi‑battleship fleet ganks with tackling support (Interdictor), rapid counter‑ganking using Black Ops + Navy cruisers.

Temporal Patterns (Observed)

• EU/US Prime (17:00–22:00 UTC): Peak coordinated activity. Black Ops deployments and organized battleship fleets recorded (e.g., Tue 21:10 UTC Black Ops drop; Mon 17:37–18:41 fleet gank).
• Early morning (06:00–09:30 UTC): Dedicated hunters target mining/industrial assets (MTUs, miners, haulers) during quieter hours.
• Quiet off‑hours still risky: opportunistic solo kills recorded (e.g., 06:55 UTC).

Key Engagements (selected, sourced from analyst data)

• Kill 131162366 — Vexor NI destroyed by a 4‑ship Black Ops drop (Widow, Panther, Lachesis, Proteus). Threat level: maximum overkill / guaranteed low survival.
• Kill 131137716 — Organized fleet (Machariels, Typhoon, Sabre, Purifier) destroyed a Drake. Confirms use of heavy DPS fleets with tackle support.
• Kill 131169985 & 131209971–57 — MTU and multiple mining barges removed by Begrezen (Typhoon / Khizriel / Megathron): systematic anti‑industrial harassment.
• Kill 131210067 — Megathron killed by a rapid counter‑gang employing a Redeemer Black Ops and Navy cruisers (firefly group). Demonstrates local retaliatory capability and escalation.

Threat Profiles (concise)

• Alexis glavor — Versatile, high‑impact actor; operates both covert Black Ops and solo harassment. Identified as the most consistently dangerous pilot in the dataset.
• Begrezen — Persistent anti‑industrial hunter; high activity across days. Was vulnerable to counter‑gank when isolated.
• Sick Artley — Black Ops specialist; part of covert drop operations.
• Karl Rudolf Horse / Karlsson Horse — Fleet DPS and tackle support in organized ganks.
• firefly group — Demonstrated willingness and capability to counter‑gank using Black Ops and Navy cruisers; makes the system hazardous even for aggressors.

Operational Recommendations (rooted in observed patterns)

• For miners, haulers, and industrial pilots:

  • Avoid solo ops in Mormelot. Use alternative systems or stage in nearby safer space if possible.
  • If transiting, travel in convoys with escort (interceptors / tackle) and align bookmarks for immediate warp‑out; assume tackle will be present.
  • Do not leave MTUs or other deployables unattended for extended periods; these are being cleared deliberately.

• For haulers / couriers:

  • Use cyno‑safe shipping where applicable; avoid high‑value single‑ship loads during 17:00–22:00 UTC and early morning slots.
  • Consider mousing time windows: avoid known peak harassment windows.

• For combat/small‑gang forces:

  • Expect Black Ops presence; plan electronic countermeasures and reconnaissance. Bring rapid tackle/pointing and dispersed warp‑out options.
  • Isolated hunters (even high‑activity pilots like Begrezen) can be countered but be cautious: retaliatory groups exist and escalate quickly using Black Ops and T2 ships.

• For scouts and recon:

  • Scout ahead of any industrial movement. Watch for covert timers and cyno signatures indicative of Black Ops; Black Ops drops have been used against single cruisers and larger ships alike.
  • Prioritize intel on fleet composition and presence of Interdictors/Sabres before committing to engage.

Risk Rating (system snapshot)

• Civilian/Industrial ships (miners, haulers, exploration frigates): Extreme risk — frequent targeting in both peak and quiet windows.
• Combat ships (cruisers, battleships) traveling solo: High risk — fleet ganks and Black Ops drops have successfully removed combatants.
• Organized combat fleets aware of Black Ops risk: Moderate to High risk — can contest but must mitigate covert threats.

Closing Advisory

• Mormelot is an active low‑sec engagement zone with both covert Black Ops escalation and systematic anti‑industrial clearing. The system is dangerous for all vessel classes during identified peak hours and remains risky off‑peak due to dedicated hunters and quick retaliatory forces. Exercise maximum caution: avoid solo industrial operations, move valuable cargo in groups or alternate routes, and expect sudden, overwhelming force projection.

This advisory is based solely on the analyzed killmail dataset timestamped YC127.11.