Mormelot – 2025-11-16
Date: YC 127.11.14
System: Mormelot (Low-Sec)
Threat Classification: High (4.0 / 5.0)
Executive Summary
- Mormelot is under sustained, coordinated hostile activity. Repeat aggressors are operating Black Ops-capable forces and high-end PvP hulls to ambush combat and industrial targets.
- Primary danger windows are the UTC evening (20:00–21:00) around the weekly transition (Sunday→Monday) and early UTC mornings (06:00–09:00) later in the week.
- Expect cloaked drops, interdiction traps (Sabre), and high-alpha strike tactics. Industrial and solo pilots are at particular risk.
Observed Patterns & Risk Windows (UTC)
- Sun 20:00–21:00 — Extreme risk: coordinated gang strikes (Cenotaph + Nightmare observed). Highly targeted PvP; multiple kills in minutes.
- Mon 17:00–19:00 — High risk: cruiser/BC gang ambushes (Machariel, Typhoon, Purifier).
- Tue 09:00–11:00 — Moderate risk: opportunistic hunter activity against small/exploration ships.
- Tue 21:00–22:00 — Extreme risk: Black Ops/Recon strike groups (Panther, Widow, Lachesis, Proteus) performing coordinated kills.
- Wed 06:00–08:00 — Moderate risk: industrial/structure harassment (MTU predation).
- Fri 07:00–08:00 — High risk: targeted strikes on mining & support ships (Retriever, Arazu) with follow-on retaliation.
Profiled Repeat Aggressors (primary actors observed)
- Alexis glavor — Core coordinator. Deploys Cenotaph, Khizriel, Machariel, Widow, Succubus. Involved in ~77% of recorded incidents. Threat level: 4.9/5.
- Sick Artley — Heavy firepower & Black Ops support (Nightmare, Panther, Purifier). Threat level: 4.7/5.
- Begrezen — Focus on larger hulls and industrial targeting (Typhoon, Megathron). Threat level: 4.5/5.
- firefly1214 & subsidiaries — Redeemer Black Ops and fleet E-war/support; active retaliatory force. Threat level: 4.2/5.
- Karl Rudolf Horse / Karlsson Horse — Heavy damage and interdictor (Machariel, Sabre). Threat level: 3.8/5.
- Jason Ozran / Znuts Aurgnet — E-war and strategic support (Lachesis, Proteus). Threat level: 3.5/5.
Specific Threats
- Covert drops: Black Ops hulls (Panther, Widow, Redeemer) and Cenotaph-class ships observed — assume cloaked hot-drops or covert cyno activity can reach targets across the region.
- Interdiction & tackle: Sabre-class interdictors and fast tacklers used to trap targets at gates and belts.
- Industrial suppression: Retrievers, MTUs, and support ships are being specifically hunted during early-morning windows.
- High-alpha, rapid engagements: Faction BCs and pirate hulls (Khizriel, Succubus) indicate the ability to quickly kill lightly tanked or stationary targets.
EIN Tactical Recommendations (rooted in observed data)
- Avoid movement during highest-risk windows: especially Sun 20:00–21:00 UTC and early-morning windows (06:00–09:00 UTC). If travel is non‑optional, move outside these windows.
- Industrials & miners: Do not operate unescorted in Mormelot. Use combat escorts with tackle denial capability and preferably mobile fleet support during known risk windows. Consider shifting operations temporarily to safer systems.
- Transit caution: Assume cloaked Black Ops or covert-capable ships may be present at any celestial or gate. Do not sit in warp-to-land positions (e.g., bookmarks at 0–1k from gates/structures); pre-warp to safe spots and align to multiple safes.
- Gate/scan discipline: Use scouts (uncloaked or cloaked depending on procedure) and clear the local grid before committing to gates. Be prepared for interdiction — avoid prolonged gate-clocking.
- Fleet readiness: If operating in combat hulls, expect coordinated enemy E-war + Black Ops support. Bring dread/tackle/backup appropriate to counter cloaked drops and fast tacklers. Maintain chain-of-command discipline for rapid disengage.
- Asset security: Delay or relocate static structures or vulnerable MTUs if feasible. Haul high-value goods with heavy escort or through alternate routes; avoid leaving MTUs unattended during morning windows.
- Expect escalation: Recent Redeemer Black Ops retaliation indicates ongoing, high-cost engagements; prepare for continued cyclical escalation between repeat offenders.
Operational Note
- The observed activity is concentrated among repeat pilot actors and small groups rather than clearly identified alliances. Corps/alliances involved are not specified in the available analysis.
System Threat Summary
- Current overall rating: High (4.0 / 5.0). Mormelot is an active combat environment with high probability of aggressive hot-drops and targeted industrial suppression. Exercise maximum caution.
— Everyshore Intel Network (EIN) Advisory Team