Mormelot – 2025-11-20
System: Mormelot (Everyshore Region)
Analysis Period: 2025-11-14 to 2025-11-19
Overall Threat Level: Moderate to High (3.5 / 5.0) — Local Threat to vulnerable pilots: High (4.0 / 5.0)
Summary
- Intelligence indicates coordinated, organized PvP activity centering on a single persistent aggressor, Begrezen, and a rapid-response opposition using the firefly callsign. This is not routine PvE risk — expect deliberate ganks, targeted hunting, and fast, heavy retaliation.
- Primary targets observed: immobile/high-value industrial hulls (Retrievers) and low-mobility/smaller combat ships (Hecate, Arazu). Begrezen has operated both a Megathron battleship and a Khizriel battlecruiser during these actions.
- Firefly-affiliated pilots have shown capacity for immediate, overwhelming counter-ganks, including use of high-value Black Ops (Redeemer) and supporting cruisers; collateral damage risk is high.
Observed Timeline & High-Risk Windows
- Event 1: 2025-11-14, 07:38–07:50 UTC — Rapid escalation: initial gank(s) by Begrezen followed within 12 minutes by concentrated retaliatory force from firefly actors. High density of kills.
- Event 2: 2025-11-18, 13:35–14:09 UTC and 2025-11-19, 16:44 UTC — Sustained hunting by Begrezen. Notably, Luigius Sublime was targeted and destroyed repeatedly in a short span on the 18th.
- Pattern conclusion: Expect elevated danger during European prime-time, roughly 13:00–17:00 UTC on weekdays. Begrezen shows a repeatable hunting cycle during these hours; firefly demonstrates rapid response capability.
Key Actors & Observed Capabilities
- Begrezen — Primary aggressor. Uses heavy-hitting/long-range hulls (Megathron) and fast battlecruiser (Khizriel). High propensity to target industrials and small/medium PvP ships. Neutralized only by superior force.
- firefly / firefly1214 — Organized retaliatory group. Capable of deploying Redeemer Black Ops and coordinated cruiser support (Caracal Navy Issue, Exequror Navy Issue, others). Likely standing or rapidly-assembled fleets.
- Primary victim profile: Mining Barges (Retriever) and solo small combat vessels (Hecate, Arazu). Recurrent victim: Luigius Sublime (multiple losses).
Advisory (Actionable Guidance)
- Avoid Mormelot when possible, especially during 13:00–17:00 UTC (Europe prime). Treat the system as a temporary avoidance/contested staging ground.
- Do not loiter undocked in vulnerable ships. Retrievers and other immobile miners are high-probability targets when Begrezen is active.
- If you must transit or operate:
- Travel with escorts or in small groups; solo, low-mobility operations are strongly discouraged.
- Use fast, alignable ships or have an immediate warp option ready; minimize time at zero speed or grid with known hotspots.
- Avoid engaging either side (Begrezen or firefly). Retaliatory events produce rapid escalation and increased collateral risk for third parties.
- Stay aware of the listed actors and ship types; encountering a Megathron or Redeemer in system during the noted windows implies elevated danger.
- Expect rapid force application from firefly; clashes can produce large, short-lived spikes in kill activity and further destabilize the local environment.
- Consider rerouting logistics, industrial ops, or PvP roams through alternate systems until sustained activity subsides.
Final Assessment
Mormelot is currently a staging ground for targeted aggression and immediate reprisal. Begrezen represents the principal active hunting threat; firefly actors represent a high-capability reactive force. For non-involved pilots, the safest course is avoidance until patterns break and activity reduces.