Elarel – 2025-11-13
Date: 2025-11-13
System: Elarel (Everyshore) — Low‑sec / high‑sec transition area (inferred)
Threat Rating (System): 3.8 / 5.0 (Significant Risk)
Executive summary
- Elarel is currently a high‑risk transit and operation point. A small, consistent hunter group — principally Cailin Dioltas and Cadhla Dioltas — is conducting repeated, successful ambushes using Stealth Bombers (Manticore) and Strategic Cruisers (Tengu).
- Primary victims are unescorted industrials (Procurer, Prospect, Venture), low‑value haulers (Badger, Bestower), and exploration frigates (Probe, Imicus).
- Other independent aggressors operating in Elarel include Legion, Loki, Vigilant and at least one Moros Navy Issue dreadnought — indicating the presence of high‑tier strike and possible capital escalation.
Local threat profile (key points)
- Industrial/mining ships: 5.0 / 5.0 — unescorted miners are being reliably destroyed, often followed by capsule kills.
- Haulers/transports: 4.0 / 5.0 — coordinated interdiction gangs with strategic cruisers and cruiser support are active.
- Exploration/Frigates: 3.0–4.5 / 5.0 — cloaked stealth bomber sweeps and fast tackle vessels making small targets unsafe.
- Capital/structure risk: 4.8 / 5.0 — Moros Navy Issue presence demonstrates potential for capital‑level operations; move capitals only with extreme caution and alternative routing.
Observed temporal patterns (avoid these windows where possible)
- 01:00–02:30 UTC (Tues, Fri) — High activity. Dioltas group strongly active; mining and capsules targeted.
- 08:00–12:45 UTC (Mon, Tues; also mid‑day peaks) — High activity. Industrials and combat cruisers targeted.
- 05:00–08:30 UTC (Wed) — Moderate activity from Manticore sweeps.
- 16:00–22:30 UTC (Sat, Mon, Tue) — Moderate‑high, more varied and heavier fleets present.
Notable recent incidents (selection)
- 2025-11-08 01:31 UTC — Cadhla Dioltas (Tengu) + Cailin Dioltas (Manticore) destroyed a Procurer and later the pod (double tap). (Guaranteed-industrial ambush)
- Multiple kills across Mon–Wed by Cailin Dioltas in a Manticore against exploration frigates and light haulers (consistent cloaked sweeps).
- 2025-11-12 02:27 UTC — Kayla Starchild (Tengu) destroyed an Exequror Navy Issue, showing Tengu ambush lethality against combat cruisers.
- 2025-11-09 22:30 UTC — Multi‑ship interdiction (Legion + Vigilant + Lachesis) destroyed a Badger hauler (organized freight ambush).
- 2025-11-12 21:18 UTC — Moros Navy Issue observed in system — indicates capacity for capital escalation or major operations.
Actionable mitigations (rooted in observed patterns)
- Do not transit Elarel in unescorted industrials, mining barges, Prospect, or unarmed haulers. Loss is highly likely.
- Avoid Elarel during the two highest‑risk windows: 01:00–02:30 UTC and 08:00–12:45 UTC. If travel is unavoidable, schedule for outside these windows.
- If operating in system, travel in combat‑ready fleets or convoys with dedicated combat escorts. Solo or light solo fits are routinely overwhelmed.
- Cloaky scouts and cov‑ops probes improve detection of ambushes but are not foolproof — the Dioltas group uses cloaks (Manticore) and may still catch cloaked or slow targets. Treat cloaks as detection tools, not guarantees of safety.
- Fit haulers/transporters defensively where practical (emphasis on align‑out discipline, warp‑core stabilizers and ECM/EWAR resistance is situational). Do not rely solely on warp‑core stab if tackle and heavy alpha are possible.
- Refrain from moving capitals or conducting capital ops through Elarel while Moros/Navy Issue presence is reported. Consider alternate routing until capital activity subsides.
- For miners: use station/structure mining, fleet‑protected operations, or move mining ops to safer systems. Do not mine unescorted in belts in Elarel.
Intelligence conclusion
- Elarel is actively hunted space. The Dioltas group represents a persistent, specialized threat focused on industrial and exploration targets; other independent, high‑capability attackers operate intermittently and can escalate to organized interdiction or capital action. Any unescorted, non‑combat traffic through Elarel should be considered at severe risk. Plan routes and operations with those risks in mind.
Everyshore Intel Network will continue monitoring activity patterns and publishing advisories as threat behavior evolves.