Elarel – 2025-11-15
EIN-Advisory — Elarel: HIGH Threat (Persistent Ganks, T3C Hunting Crews, and Dreadnought Presence) — Weeks 45–46 (Partial), 2025
Summary
- Elarel is operating at a HIGH threat level (real_threat ~3.5/5). Recent activity shows sustained, organized hunting and opportunistic ganking focused on low‑HP targets: explorers, mining frigates, and industrials.
- Attackers use high‑alpha stealth bomber strikes and coordinated Strategic Cruiser (T3C) gangs; a Moros Navy Issue dreadnought was also deployed in-system on 12 Nov (UTC 21:18–21:33), representing a severe escalation and possible capital-level operation.
Key observed patterns
- Primary target profile: expedition scanners (Probe, Heron, Imicus, Prospect), mining frigates (Venture), and haulers (Badger, Bestower, Iteron V). Capsules (pods) frequently destroyed after ship kill.
- Tools of choice: Manticore stealth bomber (single-operator kills), multiple Lokis/Tengus/Legion (T3Cs) supported by combat recon (Curse, Lachesis) for coordinated takedowns, and one recorded Moros Navy Issue dreadnought deployment.
- Highest activity windows (UTC):
- Pre-downtime / early morning: 00:00–05:00 — regular late‑night hunts.
- Peak mid-morning / lunch: 08:00–13:00 — highest volume and severity (Gila, Ishtar kills).
- Late afternoon: 15:00–17:00 — secondary sustained hunting phases.
- Notable incident: Moros Navy Issue (Kill IDs 131183390 and 131183650) used in two brief incidents on Wed 12 Nov (UTC 21:18–21:33). Victims not standard pilots — indicates capital use for structure/asset work or an extreme gank.
Top aggressor profiles (observed)
- Cailin Dioltas — Manticore Stealth Bomber. Repeated solo/duo high-alpha strikes against explorers/miners and capsules. Persistent and efficient.
- Hunter / Shepard / Boruet (T3C Gang) — 2x Loki, Curse, Tengu. Organized small gang using EWAR and T3C punch to remove cruisers and haul targets; also remove MTUs.
- Kayla Starchild / Aladar Krahn — Tengu (±Gnosis). Fast-strike T3C duo hitting Navy‑issue cruisers and industrials.
- Izzy Crane — Moros Navy Issue (Dreadnought). Capital-level presence; treat as marker of potential structure or fleet escalation.
- Additional T3C/recon duos (Legion/Lachesis, solo Tengus) operating opportunistically.
Operational Advice (rooted in observed data)
- Avoid low‑HP solo activities in Elarel during threat windows (UTC 00:00–05:00, 08:00–13:00, 15:00–17:00). Mid‑morning (08:00–13:00) is the most dangerous period.
- Explorers / Scouts:
- Use covert ops cloak (CovOps) and stay aligned to a station/safe at all times. Do not remain stationary or bookmark‑scan in plain space during peak hours.
- Expect stealth bomber alpha; minimize time on‑grid and avoid predictable warp‑in points.
- Miners:
- Avoid mining frigates/ventures solo in belt; operate in groups or use faster emergency warp/align fits. Consider moving ore out of system with escort or using a more secure routing.
- Haulers / Industrialists:
- Do not transit high‑value cargo alone during observed active windows. Use timed runs outside peak hours, consider alternative routes, and prefer secure hauling options (escorts, covert logistics where available).
- MTUs and unattended assets are being targeted — avoid leaving MTUs deployed in local space.
- Cruisers/HACs (Gila/Ishtar and similar):
- T3C gangs and combat recon are actively hunting heavy cruisers. Avoid long docks in system and maintain off‑grid recon before committing to activities. If entering, travel with backup or in numbers.
- General movement and OPSEC:
- Remain aligned, keep warp‑core stabilizer/warp core strength in mind if expecting tackle (where fit applicable), and minimize time spent in low‑speed warp‑in or stationary situations.
- Be cautious of local chat and sudden drop‑ins; the presence of a naval dreadnought indicates possible coordinated fleet activity. Treat any capital signatures as high risk and avoid nearby grid operations.
- Do not leave lootable containers/MTUs unattended; attackers have been clearing MTUs after kills.
Dreadnought watch (critical)
- The Moros Navy Issue deployment on 12 Nov represents an unusual and dangerous escalation in Elarel. This could signal:
- A targeted structure operation (high risk for collateral activity around gates/stations),
- Or a demonstration/response capability accompanying hunting crews.
- If you detect additional capital movement or large fleets gathering, suspend solo operations immediately and route around the system.
Closing
- Elarel is actively contested and should be treated as hazardous for solo, low‑survivability activities. Plan transits and operations to avoid the documented threat windows, employ the recommended OPSEC measures, and assume both high-skill solo hunters (stealth bomber/T3C) and organized gangs are patrolling the system.