Elarel – 2025-11-18
Timeframe covered: 2025-11-12 → 2025-11-17
Security: Low-Sec (Everyshore)
Overall System Threat Level (analysis period): 4.0 — High Risk (Expect Hostile Engagement)
Summary
- Elarel is presently dominated by coordinated, high-capability predation. Attackers operate strategic cruisers, heavy assault cruisers and stealth bombers and consistently target miners, explorers and lightly tanked cruisers.
- Attackers frequently follow up kills with pod (capsule) destruction — escape is not guaranteed for soft targets.
- Do not transit or operate in Elarel in vulnerable, low-tank ships unless you accept very high likelihood of loss.
Primary threat windows (UTC)
- Primary: 08:00 – 14:00 (morning/noon) — highest volume of attacks; heavy targeting of miners and explorers.
- Secondary: 21:00 – 03:00 (late evening → early morning) — persistent threat level, lower volume but frequent stealth/ambush activity.
- Other recorded spikes: concentrated activity on Tue (12th), Thu (14th) and Mon (17th) during listed windows.
Most commonly targeted ship types
- Mining Barges / Exhumers: Venture, Procurer, Mackinaw — extreme risk.
- Exploration / Scout Frigates: Prospect, Heron, Imicus, Probe — extreme risk.
- Low-tank cruisers and industrials (Iteron V, Orca) are regularly hunted.
- High-value combat ships are at serious risk when engaged (Gila, Armageddon NI destroyed during the period).
Top confirmed threads (names, ships observed, thread-level)
- Hunter Dredd & John Shepard21 — Loki (Strategic Cruiser) + Curse support — Thread-Level 5.0 (Guaranteed Death). Wide targeting range; excellent coordination and E-War support.
- Cailin Dioltas — Manticore (Stealth Bomber) — Thread-Level 4.5 (Extreme). Consistent single-ship stealth strikes against explorers/ventures; capsule kills observed.
- Kayla Starchild — Tengu (Strategic Cruiser) — Thread-Level 4.0 (Serious). Versatile, able to down cruisers and fragile targets quickly.
- Boruet Annages — Curse / Ikitursa (Combat Recon / Triglavian HAC) — Thread-Level 4.5 (Extreme). Targets industrials and higher-value ships; E-War and heavy DPS capability.
- Peter Powers — Tengu — Thread-Level 4.0 (Serious). Targets higher-value ships (exhumers, battleships).
- Cadhla Dioltas — Garmur / Tengu (Frigate / Strategic) — Thread-Level 3.0 (Moderate). Acts as rapid tackle/support for larger strike groups.
Operational advisories (actions grounded in observed activity)
- Avoid Elarel during 08:00–14:00 UTC unless operating with a prepared combat escort or in a ship specifically designed to defeat tackle/E-War. Secondary avoidance window: 21:00–03:00 UTC.
- Miners and explorers: Do not operate in Ventures, Procurers, Mackinaws, Prospect/Heron/Imicus/Probe in-system. Risk of immediate engagement with capsule follow-up is very high.
- If transit is unavoidable:
- Use high-warp, align-to-warp ships and keep warp pre-aligned. Move through the system with minimal on-grid time.
- Prefer blockade runners / covert ops blockade runners or cloaked covert-capable ships for hauling or high-value transit. These reduce exposure to tackle and E-War.
- Travel in combat-ready hulls or bring local escort with E-War and tackle-clearing capability where possible.
- Expect stealth-bomber and strategic-cruiser ambushes — do not remain stationary; avoid predictable routes and bookmarks.
- Fit appropriate countermeasures for E-War (modules that improve resilient targeting, propulsion or warp core stabilizers as needed) and prepare to disengage immediately if dropped on.
- Industrial operations (Orca, freighter transfers) are high-priority targets — avoid staging in or through Elarel without heavy protection.
Risk call
- Vulnerable pilots (miners, explorers, unescorted industrials): Extreme — near-guaranteed loss if encountered by identified threads.
- Combat-capable pilots (HACs, Battleships, Strategic Cruisers): Serious risk — attackers will engage higher-value ships when opportunity or advantage is present; do not assume safety.
Intelligence reference
- Source: EIN analytic report EVER-2025-11-12/17 covering kill data and thread profiling for Elarel (Everyshore region).
Conclusion
Elarel is currently a high-risk low-sec hunting ground dominated by coordinated strategic cruiser and stealth-bomber activity. Avoid non-essential travel and all unescorted mining/exploration operations during the primary hostile window (08:00–14:00 UTC). If transit or operations are required, take the recommended defensive and evasive measures above.