Elarel – 2025-11-17
Summary
- Elarel (Low‑Sec, Everyshore) experienced a sustained and concentrated spike in violence between 2025‑11‑10 and 2025‑11‑16. Recorded events: 32 kills (16 ships + 16 capsules). Threats are organized and persistent; both solo gankers and coordinated cruiser gangs are active.
- Immediate risk: industrial/exploration traffic and solo high‑value combat hulls. Presence of a Moros Navy Issue indicates possible capital‑level escalation.
Key findings
- Attack concentration: two major daily windows — 05:00–15:00 UTC (stealth bomber/solo gank activity) and 16:00–02:00 UTC (coordinated cruiser gangs / prime time).
- Primary attacker types observed:
- Stealth Bombers (Manticore) — repeated instant‑kill ganks on explorers, Ventures, and capsules (notably Cailin Dioltas).
- Strategic Cruisers (Tengu, Loki) with EW and tackle support (Curse, Broadsword) — coordinated hunting of Cruisers, HACs, Battleships (Hunter Dredd, John Shepard21, Cadhla Dioltas).
- Heavy capital presence: Moros Navy Issue (Izzy Crane) — signals willingness to deploy capital assets in system.
- Typical victims: Ventures, Probes, Heron, industrial haulers (Iteron Mk V, Bestower), miners/exhumers (Prospect, Mackinaw, Procurer), and high‑value combat hulls (Gila, Ishtar, Armageddon Navy Issue).
Threat actors (names & patterns taken from observed kills)
- Cailin Dioltas — persistent Manticore ganker; high frequency morning attacks; multiple repeat victims.
- Hunter Dredd, John Shepard21, Cadhla Dioltas — coordinated Loki/Tengu gang with EW and heavy tackle; target high‑value combat/industrial ships.
- Izzy Crane — Moros Navy Issue observed in system; capital‑class escalation risk.
- Several Tengu solo hunters (Peter Powers, Kayla Starchild) active during off‑peak hours.
Advisory — Recommended precautions (rooted in observed patterns)
- Avoid solo high‑value operations:
- Do not operate Exhumers, Battleships, HACs, or expensive Cruisers alone inside Elarel during the identified windows.
- Avoid ratting, mining, and long loitering in expensive hulls in system prime times.
- Hauling and logistics:
- Postpone high‑value hauls through Elarel when possible. If transit is unavoidable, split cargo into lower‑value shipments and use convoying.
- Use multiple redundancies (duplicates of critical items) rather than a single high‑value load.
- Movement and fitting:
- Use fast align/warp‑out fits and/or cov‑ops/covert cloak ships for exploration and scanning if available. Cloaked scouts reduce instant gank vulnerability for explorers.
- Keep ships lightly fitted and low‑value when operating in system; carry minimal cargo or blue loot to reduce losses.
- Always have at least one bookmarked safe spot and plan immediate warp exits — attackers rely on quick application of damage and tackle.
- Grouping and local defense:
- Travel in numbers. Even a small, coordinated wing can deter stealth bomber solo ganks and contest cruiser gangs.
- If operating high‑value ships, bring ECM/remote reps or dedicated tackle/warp‑disruption countermeasures — recorded gangs use Curse and Broadsword support.
- Timing:
- Highest danger windows: 05:00–15:00 UTC (expect stealth bomber ganks) and 16:00–02:00 UTC (expect coordinated cruiser gangs).
- If activity cannot be avoided, prefer brief transits during the narrowest lull possible and avoid safe‑spot camping or slow site work in those windows.
- Capital and structure safety:
- The recorded presence of a Moros Navy Issue implies potential structure/capital operations. Avoid deploying capitals, supercaps, or shields on citadels in Elarel until risk subsides.
Severity assessment
- Real Threat Index: Multiple threads rated 4.0–5.0 (high to critical). The combination of precision stealth ganking and coordinated strategic‑cruiser gangs makes Elarel a high‑risk low‑sec system for solo and high‑value activity.
Closing
- Immediate takeaway: treat Elarel as hostile to solo economic and high‑value combat operations. Use convoys, reduce ship value, and avoid peak windows. The mix of stealth bomber repeat offenders and coordinated Tengu/Loki gangs — plus a confirmed dread presence — increases both the likelihood and cost of losses.
Everyshore Intel Network will continue to log activity and update future advisories as patterns evolve.