Elarel – 2025-10-27
Executive Summary
- The Elarel system is experiencing a concentrated, systematic ganking campaign. Activity is highly persistent and focused on vulnerable, low‑value targets (Shuttles, Capsules, small industrial and explorer hulls).
- Threat window concentrates around EU/US prime times; attackers show predictable patterns and repeat offenders. Treat any non‑combat transit through Elarel as high risk.
System Threat Level
- Overall: HIGH — 3.5 / 5.0
- Real danger is not random: dedicated high‑DPS hulls and stealth/ambush assets are operating regularly at gates and stations.
Main Threat Actors (observed)
- Kaitlynn — Praxis / Abaddon (Top threat; systematic, high-volume ganking). real_thread 4.9
- Serqet Daphiti — Abaddon (frequent Capsule finishes). real_thread 4.5
- Dejan Estemaire — Gnosis (industrial-target specialist). real_thread 4.0
- Cailin Dioltas — Manticore (stealth bomber ambushes). real_thread 3.5
- Aladar Krahn & associates — Garmur / Manticore combos (fast-strike setups). real_thread 3.0
- Michel Ferran — Proteus (occasional heavy opportunist). real_thread 2.5
Temporal Pattern (when to be most cautious)
- Peak threat: 12:00 UTC – 18:00 UTC (European Prime Time) — highest measured kill volume and repeat operations.
- Elevated threat continues through 00:00 UTC (US Prime Time).
- Relative lull: 04:00 UTC – 08:00 UTC shows lower activity but is not risk‑free.
Tactics Observed
- High‑alpha DPS ships (Praxis/Abaddon) used to quickly delete fragile hulls and often the Capsule.
- Covert elements (Manticore, Gnosis/Arazu/Tengu mix) used for ambushes at chokepoints (gates/station approaches).
- Kill pattern includes both the ship kill and subsequent pod kill — "shipless is not safe."
Operational Recommendations (actionable)
- Avoid non‑combat ships: Do not transit Elarel in Shuttles, Explorers, standard haulers, or unescorted industrial hulls during peak windows. Prefer to delay movement until lower‑activity hours.
- Use escorts/scouts: If transit is unavoidable, travel with combat escorts and active scouts. Assume enemies will be watching gates and station undock points.
- Fly expendable or fast ships: Consider using cheaper, faster, or purpose‑designed blockade runners/stealth capable ships for valuable cargo rather than standard haulers in-route.
- Align and minimize time on grid: Always stay aligned, keep warp engines active, and minimize time loitering on gates or wrecks. Do not remain on a wreck or container; attackers are actively killing Capsules shortly after ship loss.
- Clone management: Maintain a low‑cost jump/medical clone in a secure location well before transits. The observed focus on Capsule kills increases the chance of clone loss if pod is destroyed.
- Treat sightings as immediate threat: The presence of Abaddons, Praxes, Gnosises, or Stealth Bombers on local or near gates should be treated as a signal to break contact and leave grid immediately — assume an ambush.
- Avoid salvage/looting in system: Given the tendency to finish off capsules and targets on grid, looting wrecks or salvaging in Elarel is significantly dangerous.
Immediate Action Checklist (if operating in/near Elarel now)
- Do not undock high‑value non‑combat ships during 12:00–00:00 UTC unless escorted.
- Align to exit gate/station when enemy hulls matching the above list are present.
- If your ship is destroyed, attempt to initiate warp as quickly as possible from the wreck/scene; do not delay for cargo or salvage.
- Use disposable alternatives or plan convoys with multiple escorts for necessary logistics.
Closing
Elarel’s activity pattern indicates an organized ganking cell with repeat operators using high DPS and stealth ambush tactics. The risk to pilots — including pod loss — is elevated and predictable. Adjust operations to avoid prime times, use escorts and scouts, and prioritize clone and pilot safety over cargo recovery.
EIN — Everyshore Intel Network (EIN‑Advisory)