Elarel – 2025-10-18
Executive Summary
- Elarel is experiencing sustained, targeted hunter‑killer activity against mining/industrial ships and easy targets (shuttles, capsules). Unprepared pilots face near‑guaranteed losses during peak windows. Treat the system as actively hostile.
Primary Threat Windows (UTC)
- Monday: 02:00–06:00 and 14:00–18:00
- Tuesday: 03:00–05:00
- Friday: 08:00–18:00 (extremely high; near‑continuous)
- Saturday: 22:00–23:00
- Sunday: 17:00–18:00
- General pattern: afternoons/evenings ~14:00–22:00 and early mornings ~02:00–05:00 are consistently dangerous.
Profiled High‑Risk Actors
- Cailin Dioltas — REAL_THREAD 4.8 (CharID 2121195895): Loki, Manticore. Primary prolific hunter; targets Ventures, capsules, MTUs. Peak Mon & Fri.
- Serqet Daphiti — REAL_THREAD 4.5 (CharID 2114753225): Abaddon. High alpha strikes; hits shuttles/capsules. Active Sat/Sun.
- Kayla Starchild — REAL_THREAD 4.2 (CharID 2120461425): Pacifier. Fast interceptor, recent Venture kills (Fri evening).
- Cadhla Dioltas — REAL_THREAD 4.0 (CharID 2120988720): Tholos. High‑damage marauder; single recorded kill but existential threat.
- Vipy Styx — REAL_THREAD 3.8 (CharID 1181591327): Loki. Opportunistic ambush (observed Sun).
- Peter Powers — REAL_THREAD 3.5 (CharID 179004085): Magus. Tackler/interdictor; holds targets for follow‑up.
Tactics Observed
- Cloaked ambush (stealth bomber), strategic cruiser positioning, high‑alpha battleship strikes, rapid interceptors, interdiction/tackle. Repeated targeting of small industrial hulls and capsules; evidence of coordinated family/group activity (Dioltas).
Immediate Recommendations
- Avoid Elarel during listed peak windows where possible.
- Do NOT solo in Ventures/Prospects/Nereus/shuttles/capsules without full precautions.
- Scout system with a dedicated scanner/alt or trusted escort before committing to belts or sites.
- Travel in combat‑capable convoys; bring tackle denial (MJD/WCS), cloaks, or warp‑out bookmarks.
- Keep defensive modules and warp options ready; set warp‑to‑0 and safe bookmarks.
- Assume hostility in local and operate with strict situational awareness.
This advisory reflects current kill‑data patterns. Exercise extreme caution if operating in or transiting Elarel.