Mormelot – 2025-11-03
Summary
- Location: Mormelot (Everyshore) — treat as low-sec transit environment for operational caution.
- Threat actor: Identified pilot Jason Ozran operating a Hecate-class tactical destroyer.
- Incident profile: Solo ship-on-ship gank resulting in target vessel destruction and capsule kill (complete pod loss).
- Observed time window: Monday, 18:36–18:37 UTC. Operates in a concentrated burst within the 18:00–19:00 UTC hour.
- Real Threat Levels (from analyst data): General transit — 1.5 (Low Caution). Targets < Cruiser or like-for-like tactical destroyers during active hour — 3.0 (Significant Risk). Capsule kill profile rated at 5.0 for victims who lose their ship.
Threat Details
- Tactics: Rapid, decisive single-ship alpha/gank. Attacker likely leverages Hecate mobility and mode bonuses (Sharpshooter for alpha damage or Propulsion for quick engagement/disengagement) to close and delete targets quickly.
- Target set: Demonstrated ability to eliminate an equal-class Hecate; inferred high effectiveness against Frigates and other Destroyers. Capsule is explicitly targeted after ship kill.
- Pattern: Very low but highly concentrated activity — short duration, high lethality. Expect punctual opportunistic ganks rather than sustained fleet action.
Operational Advisory / Recommended Mitigations
- Avoid solo transit in Frigates, Attack Frigates, Destroyers (including Hecates) through Mormelot between 18:00–19:00 UTC (UTC Monday is the observed peak). If you must transit, do so outside that hour where practicable.
- Do not engage in one-on-one duels or loiter in local during the identified hour unless you have clear force advantage. The attacker has demonstrated the ability to kill equal-class opponents.
- Prefer ships with higher survivability (Cruiser and above) or travel in numbers during the active window. Tech I Cruisers often deter a solo Hecate unless the attacker is exceptionally skilled.
- Maintain minimal align/warp times and pre-fit warp-in points. Avoid slow-aligning fits or cargo that prevents quick escape.
- If flying high-value toons/ships, consider avoiding Mormelot at the identified time entirely or use convoying/allied escorts.
- Assume capsule loss is possible if your ship is destroyed. Avoid carrying irreplaceable implants/character assets during transit if you cannot risk a pod loss.
- Be extra cautious on Mondays in the 18:00 UTC hour — this is the only confirmed recurrence in the dataset and aligns with peak player activity.
Risk Notice
- The present data set is small (two connected killmails) but consistent: a single, capable pilot executed a rapid and complete kill. While system-wide persistent warfare is not indicated, the pilot represents a significant localized hazard to small and solo PvP targets in the listed time window.
EIN Assessment Bottom Line
- Routine transits: proceed with Low Caution (1.5) outside identified hours.
- Small / solo combatants and vessels smaller than Cruiser during 18:00–19:00 UTC (Monday): treat as Significant Risk (3.0). Pod loss is a realistic expectation upon ship destruction.
This advisory is issued on the analyst data provided and will be updated should further corroborating incidents or pattern changes be observed.