Mormelot – 2025-10-30
Summary
- System: Mormelot (Everyshore Region) — reported as High-Security, but displaying Low-Sec style risk behaviors.
- Current Threat Level: ELEVATED (Threat 3.0 / 5.0)
- Window covered: 25–27 October 2025 — four documented kills show a mix of opportunistic cyno-targeting, small‑gang ganks, and a focused duelist/hunter.
- Primary risk vectors: Mobile Cynosural Beacon targeting; solo/ small‑gang ganking; repeat targeted hunts against named pilots.
Recent Incidents (documented)
- 25 Oct, 09:31:57 UTC — Mobile Cynosural Beacon destroyed (attacker: Alexis glavor in Svipul). Indicates active scanning/monitoring of logistics or cyno activity in-system.
- 27 Oct, 03:35:13 UTC — Deep‑night gank of a Brutix Navy Issue (victim: BarryBravo). Typical opportunistic small‑gang behavior.
- 27 Oct, 18:36:29 UTC — Two rapid successive kills (ship + capsule) on the same pilot (Luigius Sublime). Attacker identified as Jason Ozran (Hecate). Pattern = focused hunter/duelist.
High‑Priority Threats (watchlist)
- Jason Ozran — Hecate: repeat aggressor; responsible for rapid double kills on same target. High localized threat to repeated/known targets.
- Alexis glavor — Svipul: targeted a Mobile Cyno Beacon; threat to logistics and any cyno/capital staging in or near Mormelot.
- Cadhla Dioltas — Tengu: finisher in small‑gang ops; indicates coordinated missile/strategic cruiser presence.
- Aladar Krahn — Garmur: high‑speed DPS/scout support for small gang operations.
- Luigius Sublime — repeat victim (Hecate): indicates specific targeting of certain pilots/contacts.
- BarryBravo — Brutix Navy Issue victim: example of opportunistic loss to small‑gang activity.
Threat Analysis — key takeaways
- High‑Sec status is not preventing aggressive small‑gang/solo behavior. Concord response exists but is a weak deterr to fast, skilled attackers.
- A documented kill on a Mobile Cyno Beacon implies particular risk to logistics, cyno work, and any capital preparation near Mormelot.
- Temporal clustering: Monday (27 Oct) showed the highest activity. Prime‑time European hours (~18:00 UTC) had a notable double kill. Attacks are otherwise distributed across time zones — threat can appear morning, deep night, and evening.
Tactical Advisory (actions rooted in observed data)
- If transiting Mormelot:
- Treat the system like low‑security space: travel warped/aligned and ready to warp off; avoid lingering undocked in busy or known gate areas.
- Avoid activating or placing Mobile Cynosural Beacons inside the system unless you can ensure immediate security and local control. Recent behavior demonstrates active cyno hunting.
- Avoid moving capitals, jump freighters, or staging cynos through Mormelot until persistent patterns dissipate or escorts are guaranteed elsewhere.
- If operating combat ships or expensive hulls:
- Do not assume High‑Sec immunity — consider avoiding solo or unscouted operations within the system during known activity windows.
- Be particularly cautious on Mondays and around ~18:00 UTC (EUTZ prime time), and note deep‑night risk around USTZ times as well.
- If logging in/out, docking, or undertaking logistics:
- Use secure docks/structures away from gates where possible and maintain conservative undocking behavior (e.g., immediate warp/alignment).
- Limit predictable routines that could allow a repeat hunter to target the same pilot.
Operational Notes
- The presence of fast, skilled small‑gang pilots using Svipul, Garmur, Tengu, and Hecate indicates both speed/stealth and coordinated finishing tactics — expect quick engagements and short windows to react.
- A single repeat aggressor (Jason Ozran) demonstrated intent and capability to follow and finish targets; pilots identified as recurring/deliberately targeted should assume continued risk.
EIN Assessment
- Short term: Continue to treat Mormelot as elevated risk. Avoid logistics/cyno use and unescorted, high‑value movement through the system.
- Medium term: Patterns suggest hunters operate across multiple time zones — do not restrict caution to a single TZ. Monday and EUTZ prime remain higher‑risk moments.
- This advisory is based on four confirmed incidents from 25–27 Oct 2025 and reflects immediate operational risk; adjust local tactics accordingly.