Elarel – 2025-11-12
Date: 2025-11-12
System: Elarel (Everyshore Region)
Overall Threat Level: 3.5 / 5.0 — High Alert (Expect hostile engagement)
Executive Summary
- Elarel is under a persistent, organized threat from a small but experienced set of hunters. Activity is concentrated in two windows: late afternoon/early evening (prime time) and post‑midnight/early morning (quiet hours).
- Primary danger actors: the "Dioltas" cell (Cailin & Cadhla Dioltas) using cloaky/hunter platforms, and a set of Strategic Cruiser pilots/gangs (Legion/Tengu/Legion+EW teams) striking high‑value or slower targets.
- Vulnerable targets identified: miners (Venture, Procurer), low‑mobility haulers/logistics (Badger, Bestower), cruisers and medium hulls. Capsule losses are significant (≈36% of recorded kills), indicating follow‑up pod kills are common.
Observed Threat Actors & Tactics
- "Dioltas" cell
- Ships: Manticore (Stealth Bomber, Cailin), Garmur / Tengu / Tholos (Cadhla).
- Tactics: Cloak + warp‑in/snap engagements, probe/search then bomber strikes, fast skirmish follow‑ups. High persistence during 15:00–19:00 UTC and occasional post‑midnight hits.
- Strategic Cruiser Hunters (mixed affiliation)
- Ships: Legion, Tengu, accompanied by Vigilant and Lachesis (EW support) in gang attacks.
- Tactics: Organized strike gangs or single high‑SP pilots taking down mid‑size targets, using electronic warfare to prevent escape and ensure kills.
Temporal Risk Windows (UTC)
- Primary Surge — 15:00–19:00 (high intensity; Dioltas cell; highest risk for miners and small ships)
- Secondary Surge — 00:30–02:30 (strategic cruiser/legion activity; high risk for haulers, navy cruisers)
- Sporadic activity at other times; assume hostile presence at all hours.
Threat Profile Highlights
- Stealth bomber use means instant, cloaked engagements are likely — minimal warning for targets at gates/belts.
- Strategic Cruisers and EW gangs are used against slower, higher‑value targets — escorts/ECM counters are necessary.
- High capsule kill rate indicates attackers pursue pods; suicide + pod‑shot behavior expected.
Practical Guidance (rooted in observed data)
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Industrial & Mining Operations
- Avoid Elarel during 15:00–19:00 UTC and 00:30–02:30 UTC whenever possible.
- If you must operate: prefer tanked industrial ships (Procurer over Venture if anchors needed), minimize time in belts, and align to a safe (station/structure) before starting operations.
- Fit for survivability: maximize warp stability and minimize align time (warp core stabilizers / inertial rigs where applicable); carry multiple warp core stabilizers on haulers (as many as your hull fits).
- Use a combat escort or dedicated scout alt if operating in prime windows. If no escort is available, stay docked.
- Do not assume absence of hunters because local is quiet — cloaked bombers and CovOps destroyers are active.
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Hauling / Logistics
- Delay non‑urgent hauls through Elarel during peak windows. When moving through, use the fastest align/warp profile possible and full warp core stability.
- Consider alternative routing even if it’s longer — the recorded Legion/Tengu strikes are optimized for catching traditional haulers (Badger/Bestower).
- If moving high‑value cargo, use an escort and pre‑aligned warp routes; avoid loitering at gates.
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Combat & Roaming Pilots
- Expect Tengu/Legion solo hunters and small organized gangs with EW support (Lachesis + Vigilant). Bring electronic countermeasures, tackle redundancy, and a plan for EW denial or neutralization.
- Against bomber threat: maintain vertical awareness (d‑scan), probe sweep if you suspect cloaks, and avoid predictable single‑ship approaches to gates/belts.
- Pods are vulnerable — be prepared for follow‑up aggression after a ship loss.
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General Transit
- Assume hostile pilots present at all times. Reduce predictability: vary undock/warp times, approach gates aligned, and avoid camping in the open at gates/belts.
- Use safes and pre‑aligned bookmarks when operating solo. Keep a short window between docking and warp out when transiting system.
Targets of Particular Concern
- Cailin Dioltas (Manticore) — persistent bomber threat; short‑notice cloaked engagements.
- Cadhla Dioltas (Tengu/Garmur/Tholos) — flexible hunter/spotter supporting bomber ops.
- Small groups led by Legion pilots with Lachesis/Vigilant support — capable of assured kills on haulers and cruisers.
Bottom Line / Recommended Posture
- Treat Elarel as a high‑risk hunting ground. Avoid routine industrial or solo hauling activity during the listed peak windows. If operation in Elarel is unavoidable, mitigate risk through escorts, optimized fittings for align/warp stability, and minimized exposure time. Expect cloaked, high‑skill hunters and plan accordingly.
Everyshore Intel Network will continue monitoring patterns; this advisory is based solely on the analyst data dated 2025‑11‑12.