Elarel – 2025-11-03
Summary
- Elarel (Low-Sec, Everyshore) is currently a high-risk system. Intelligence from 2025-10-27 → 2025-11-03 shows sustained, repeat predator operations using cloaky/alpha platforms (Strategic Cruisers, Stealth Bombers) and escalation-capable hulls (Black Ops, Marauder).
- Attackers focus on soft targets (miners, haulers, explorers) but have also defeated mid-tier combat ships. Capsule kills are frequent — pilots are losing pods as well as ships.
Overall threat rating
- Local Threat Warning: 4.0 — High Risk (avoid if possible).
Primary temporal risk windows (UTC)
- Western/EU primetime: ~17:00–20:00 (notably late Mon afternoons, e.g., ~17:39–18:31 on Oct 27).
- East EU / Russian primetime and early-morning activity: ~04:00–08:00 and extended morning periods (notably Sun 06:54–13:06).
- Additional spikes: Thu 14:30–15:30 and Sat 19:00–19:11.
- If you must transit, avoid the times above.
Top observed predators (repeat successful attackers)
- Cailin Dioltas — Stealth Bomber (Manticore). Heavy focus on mining vessels, active in Sunday morning window. High cloaky/opportunistic risk.
- Gertrud ToD — Pirate Battlecruiser (Khizriel). Repeated lethal activity in EU primetime; area-denial operator.
- Dejan Estemaire — Strategic Cruiser (Tengu/Ashimmu). High-end solo/small-gang capability.
- Cadhla Dioltas / Aladar Krahn — Fast attack destroyer combos and Black Ops capability (Redeemer drop observed).
- Nhimyk — Marauder / Strategic Cruiser (Paladin/Loki) — demonstrates ability to hold/inflict sustained damage.
Observed attacker doctrine implications
- Frequent use of cloaky/ambush hulls (Stealth Bombers, Strategic Cruisers) and presence of Black Ops & Marauder hulls indicate:
- High-alpha ambushes and covert drops are credible threats.
- Encounters may escalate from single to multi-hull drops quickly.
- Even combat-oriented ships have been defeated; engagements are often coordinated or use superior fittings.
Operational recommendations (all advice derived from observed patterns)
- Avoid Elarel entirely when possible, especially during the peak windows above.
- Do not mine or leave MTUs unattended in-system. MTUs and miners are explicitly targeted.
- Hauling / courier ops:
- Do not transit unescorted through Elarel during peak windows. If you must, move during off-peak hours and use fast-align, insta-warp fits.
- Consider using smaller, less obvious haulers or multiple short hops rather than long exposed hauls through Elarel.
- Keep cargo values low when operating in or near the system; delay high-value shipments.
- Exploration / scouting:
- Cloaky/stealth bombers and T3s are active — avoid long, predictable signatures in local space. Use cov-ops caution and prepare rapid extraction plans.
- Bookmark multiple safespots and warp-out points; do not rely on a single safe.
- Combat/response posture:
- If operating combat-capable forces, prepare for T3 and bomber threats (tackle and warp-disruption counters, point immunity ranges, ECM/point redundancy).
- Be aware Black Ops and Marauder presence: covert drops and heavy tank ships can appear; do not commit small gangs into unknown fights without local supremacy.
- Use scouts aligned to neighbors/systems and consider pre-checking gates/saxons but do so outside the system to reduce detection risk.
- Pod safety and implants:
- Capsule kills accounted for multiple incidents. Treat clone implants and pod safety as high priority — consider lower-risk clone/alts or avoid carrying top implants while operating in Elarel.
- Quick-exit tooling:
- Align-to-warp fits, interdiction nullification (if available), and instant-warp rigs will increase survival against fast gankers.
- Consider moving expendable or disposable functionals (MTU / probes) out of the system after use.
Final note
Elarel is currently an active predation zone with organized and individually capable hunters. The safest course: do not operate non-combat activities there during the identified windows. If you must operate, travel light, travel fast, and assume cloaked/alpha-capable attackers are present.