Elarel – 2025-10-31
Elarel — RED ALERT: Elevated Hostility; Peak Hazard 17:00–05:30 UTC
EIN-Advisory based on analyst data (2025-10-24 → 2025-10-31). Elarel is currently a high-risk low-sec system. Persistent, coordinated hunting activity and repeated ambushes make unprepared transit or solo activity hazardous.
Executive summary
- 30 kill mails in 8 days (avg 3.75/day). Activity is concentrated and persistent.
- Attack groups frequently operate in duos/trios and combine stealth bombers, T3 cruisers, and heavy hulls.
- Primary danger window: 17:00 UTC → 05:30 UTC (highest risk).
- High-probability victims: capsules, haulage (T1 Industrials), exploration frigates, poorly tanked cruisers. Overall system Real_Thread: 3.8 / 5.0 (Severe Interception Hazard).
Observed tactics and patterns
- Coordinated hunting packs (duos/trios) using:
- Stealth/ambush (Manticore, Tholos) for initial engagement and positioning.
- T3 cruisers (Tengu, Proteus) and heavy hulls (Abaddon, Redeemer) for follow-up damage and tackling.
- Electronic warfare and rapid target lockdowns are common; E-War is used to disable mobility/defenses on targets.
- Attack spikes: primary evening peak (17:00–21:30 UTC) with continued risk into early USTZ (00:00–05:30 UTC). Secondary moderate activity at ~04:00–05:30 UTC and midday (~12:00–13:00 UTC).
- Aggressors have repeatedly targeted small/slow targets and Capsules; several pilots specialize in finishing capsule kills.
Named threat actors (top aggressors observed)
- Serqet Daphiti — Abaddon (3 final blows) — Heavy threat; later killed on Oct 25.
- Aladar Krahn — Garmur / Tholos / Redeemer (5 kills, 4 FB) — Elite team operator; coordinates with Dioltas wing.
- Cadhla Dioltas — Tengu / Thrasher Fleet Issue / Tholos (4 kills, 3 FB) — Part of efficient hunting wing.
- Michel Ferran — Proteus (3 kills) — T3 cruiser solo/mid-gang attacker.
- Cailin Dioltas — Manticore (3 kills) — Ambush/stealth specialist.
- Gertrud ToD — Khizriel (5 kills, 5 FB) — Opportunistic predator attacking weak targets.
Immediate advisories (do not treat casually)
- Avoid Elarel in low-tanked industrial, exploration, or T1 frigate hulls during 17:00–05:30 UTC. Risk of interception and near-certain loss for unprepared ships.
- If you must transit during peak hours, prefer:
- Highly mobile frigates (interceptors or other fast-ships) aligned and ready to warp on short notice.
- Covert-capable or blockade-runner haulers for valuable cargo; do not use un-cloaked industrials.
- Fitted combat ships with active tank and E-War resilience (sensor-boosters/targeting to reduce vulnerability, warp-core stabilizers where module fits allow).
- Do not loiter: stay aligned to a safe spot/station and warp on first sign of contacts. Avoid prolonged activities (mining, salvaging, long-site scanning) inside the system during peak times.
- Assume E-War and stealth bomber presence. Countermeasures:
- Keep signature radius and transversal in mind; smaller/smaller-signature fits reduce bomber effectiveness.
- Fit warp-core stabilizers and/or sensor-strengthening modules when practical.
- Use aggressive D-Scan discipline and combat probes before undocking or approaching gates.
- Capsules are being actively hunted — pod-escape is not guaranteed. If in a capsule, consider immediate alignment and use of cloak-capable clones where available.
- Expect coordinated counter-ganks from local hunting groups; a single aggressor’s loss (e.g., Oct 25 Abaddon) did not reduce overall threat—other operators quickly filled gaps.
Transit checklist (short)
- Review UTC time: avoid 17:00–05:30 UTC if possible.
- Fit for mobility and E-War resistance (warp-core stabs, sensor tools, tank).
- Use covert-capable haulers / blockade runners for valuable cargo.
- Align to safe, pre-saved bookmarks; keep insta-warp ready.
- Check D-scan and probes before gate approach and after emerging from warp.
Final warning
Elarel is in RED status for unprepared pilots. The combination of stealth bombing, E-War, and T3/heavy follow-up makes isolated, slow, or lightly-fitted ships highly vulnerable. Treat all engagements in-system as deliberate hunting operations until further quieting of activity is observed.
— Everyshore Intel Network (EIN)