Elarel – 2025-10-30
Date: 2025-10-29 UTC
System: Elarel (Low-Sec, Everyshore Region)
Classification: IMMEDIATE ACTION / HIGH AWARENESS
Thread-Level Assessment (System-Wide): 4.0 / 5.0 — HIGH DANGER (Evasive maneuvers strongly recommended)
Executive summary
- Elarel is operating as a concentrated hunting ground for a small group of highly skilled, coordinated hostile pilots. Activity has progressed from an initial high-impact capital presence to sustained, multi-actor small-gang operations using cloaky and high-alpha platforms. Victims are primarily low-value miners, explorers and light transports. Expect surgical, decisive strikes rather than prolonged engagements.
Temporal threat windows (UTC) — highest measured risk
- Peak EU / Early US: 17:00–21:00 (consistently highest density of hostile action)
- US/AU transition (late night US / early AU): 02:00–05:00 (frequent dedicated stealth-bomber activity)
- Note: Dangerous activity was also recorded across multiple weekend times — there is no guaranteed “safe” hour in Elarel.
Primary threat actors (most consistent/highest threat)
- Serqet Daphiti — Abaddon (Battleship). Established initial extreme threat; was neutralized in a counter-attack but created the conditions for follow-on predator behavior. (Status: Neutralized for now.)
- Cailin Dioltas — Manticore (Stealth Bomber). Specialist in high-alpha, cloaked strikes on lone miners/explorers. Operates in small, coordinated gangs.
- Michel Ferran — Proteus (T3 Strategic Cruiser). Versatile, covert-capable hunter targeting explorers and small combatants.
- Aladar Krahn — Garmur / Thrasher Fleet Issue. High-speed small-ship PVPer and finisher, regularly pairs with bomber pilots.
- Dejan Estemaire — Tengu (T3 Strategic Cruiser). Demonstrated capability to defeat other cloaky platforms; threat to subcapitals.
- Gertrud ToD — Khizriel (aggressive frigate). Rapid, repeat-target aggression against poorly prepared pilots.
Observed patterns and operational implications
- Attack profile: cloaked approach (Manticores and T3s), targeted alpha strikes against low-value/unsuspecting pilots, and small, coordinated pairings that increase kill certainty and reduce escape chances.
- Primary victims: Venture, Heron, Imicus, Tayra, Moa, Vexor — i.e., miners, explorers, transport/utility ships.
- Coordination: Recurring pairings (e.g., bomber + small-ship finisher; T3 support) indicate organized small-gang tactics rather than purely opportunistic solo ganking.
Recommended actions (rooted in current intelligence)
- Avoid running mining, exploration or light transport operations in Elarel during the peak windows above. If activity is not essential, route around Elarel.
- Do not transit solo in low-value ships (Venture, Heron, Imicus, light transport hulls). These are primary targets.
- If you must operate in-system:
- Travel in numbers — bring escorts or a small combat-capable wing; coordinated defense reduces success of fast alpha strikes.
- Use fast align/warmup discipline: stay aligned to safe spots, have instant-warp bookmarks, and be ready to warp off immediately.
- For explorers: prefer cloaked covert ops fitted for escape (but remain aware T3/Tengu/Proteus pilots have special counters). Consider jump-clone or alt staging offsite.
- For haulers: consolidate cargo, use higher-cost tanked or escorted transit fits, and avoid predictable gate/pos routines.
- Utilize stargate/Gate-camp awareness: given a past battleship presence, expect potential bold gate aggression; do not assume gate safety.
- If you suspect a cloaked threat (stealth bomber or T3) is active, minimize loitering, avoid isolated sites, and consider postponing ops until activity drops.
Operational note
- The neutralization of the initial capital threat did not stabilize the system — it has instead enabled multiple cloaked/strategic subcapital actors to operate with impunity. Treat Elarel as an active hunting ground with a persistent, organized small-gang presence.
EIN Assessment summary
- High, persistent danger to vulnerable pilots in Elarel. Expect cloaked, high-alpha strike tactics during peak EU time and late-night US/AU windows. Strict avoidance of solo/light industrial/explorer activity during those windows is the most reliable risk mitigation.
Everyshore Intel Network — Stay aware and operate with caution in Elarel.