Elarel – 2025-10-28
EIN-Advisory: Elarel — Severe High-Sec Ganking Nexus (Threat 4.5/5.0)
Issued: Intelligence window 2025-10-21 → 2025-10-28
Executive Summary
- Elarel is exhibiting a Highly Elevated Threat State (4.5/5.0). Although a High-Security system, current activity mirrors low-sec gank behavior: frequent, opportunistic, and sometimes coordinated destruction of unprepared ships.
- Expect near-guaranteed aggression against unescorted, low-value, or lightly fitted vessels during peak hours. Targets range from Shuttles and Capsules to Iteron Vs and Bestowers. Multiple aggressors are operating with heavy hulls (Abaddon, Praxis), T3 cruisers, and stealth bombers.
What to know (Key findings)
- Real Threat Level: 4.5 / 5.0 — Severe; very high probability of engagement for non-combat-prepared traffic.
- Primary target set: Shuttles, Capsules, rookie frigates, industrial haulers (Iteron V, Bestower, Venture).
- Aggressors use both solo high-damage platforms (Praxis, Abaddon) and small coordinated ganks (multi-ship).
- Notable recent event: a coordinated engagement resulting in the destruction of an Abaddon (Serqet Daphiti) on 2025-10-25 — indicates both aggressor willingness to accept ship losses and potential vulnerability to well-planned counter-actions.
Temporal patterns (when risk is highest)
- Peak 1 — Mid-day EU / Early US: 12:00 UTC → 18:00 UTC (strongest activity; particularly active Tue and Thu).
- Peak 2 — Late EU / Late US: 19:00 UTC → 05:00 UTC (weekend nights show more multi-ship coordination).
- Recommended avoidance window: 12:00 UTC → 21:00 UTC daily (highest consolidated risk).
Top active threat actors observed (operational profiles)
- Kaitlynn — Praxis, Abaddon — Opportunistic cruiser/battleship ganker; very high presence (8 non-capsule kills).
- Serqet Daphiti — Abaddon — Dedicated heavy ganker; high-impact engagements (7 kills).
- Dejan Estemaire — Gnosis, Tengu — Flexible heavy hitter/support; appears in coordinated actions.
- Cailin Dioltas — Manticore (stealth bomber) — Fast, stealth strike specialist; often paired with partners.
- Michel Ferran — Proteus (T3) — High-skill subsystem/T3 operator; lower volume but high capability.
- Aladar Krahn — Garmur, Thrasher FI — Fast-attack/tackler support for ganks.
Operational guidance (actionable advice)
- Avoid transiting Elarel unless mission-essential. The safest course is to reroute around the system during the reported intelligence window until activity subsides.
- Do not haul high-value cargo through Elarel alone. Stealth/blockade-runner tactics are unreliable here given presence of T3s and detection-capable ships.
- If transit is unavoidable:
- Schedule movement outside peak windows (prefer early morning UTC off-peak: ~05:00–11:00 UTC).
- Travel in an organized combat-ready group or with experienced escorts able to contest battleship/BC-level gankers and T3 cruisers.
- Minimize risk profile: use short-align, warp-out fittings, and avoid lingering on gates/station undocks. Do not undock in shuttles or empty alignable ships during peak hours.
- Split or stagger high-value cargo to reduce single-loss impact.
- Frigate/industrial pilots: assume immediate aggression on system entry. Treat Elarel like a low-sec gank hotspot until further notice.
- While the attackers have taken casualties (see the Oct 25 counter-gank event), any attempt to interdict or counter must be planned and supported — these aggressors frequently operate in capable ships and can escalate quickly.
Bottom line
Elarel is operating as a high-risk ganking nexus despite its High-Sec status. Non-essential travel and hauling should be deferred; if travel is required, move during off-peak hours with proper combat-ready support and conservative operational discipline.
Intelligence window referenced: 2025-10-21 → 2025-10-28.