Calendar

Elarel

Elarel – 2025-10-25

EIN-Advisory — Elarel: Active Battleship Predators; Do Not Transit Soft Ships (Oct 19–25, 2025)

Overall Threat Level: 3.5 / 5.0 — Significant Risk (Active Predator Environment)

Executive summary

  • Elarel is being actively and repeatedly exploited by a small set of highly committed predators. Battleship-class ganking (Abaddon, Praxis) and heavy cruiser activity (Gnosis, Proteus) make the system hostile to non‑combat traffic.
  • The single most dangerous actor is Serqet Daphiti (Abaddon). Soft, low‑mass targets — shuttles, capsules, and common haulers — are being hunted aggressively and should be considered near‑certain losses if transiting the system during observed activity windows.

Confirmed threat actors (observed)

  • Serqet Daphiti — Abaddon — Kill count: 20 — Tactical risk: 5.0 (primary capital-class predator; gate/station camper)
  • Kaitlynn — Praxis / Abaddon — Kill count: 14 — Tactical risk: 4.5 (heavy-hitter; concentrated activity on Oct 21)
  • Dejan Estemaire — Gnosis — Kill count: 4 — Tactical risk: 3.5 (opportunist against haulers)
  • Cailin Dioltas — Manticore — Kill count: 2 — Tactical risk: 3.0 (stealth bomber threats to single targets)
  • Michel Ferran — Proteus — Kill count: 1 — Tactical risk: 3.0 (sporadic T3C capability)
  • Tarek Voidstrider — Unclear (self-destruct/loss) — Kill count: 2 — Tactical risk: 2.0 (unconfirmed attacker signature)

Timing / windows of observed activity (UTC)

  • Sunday 19th: 21:00–23:00 — HIGH (Serqet Daphiti surge)
  • Monday 20th: 04:00–10:00 — Moderate–High
  • Tuesday 21st: 12:00–23:30 — CRITICAL (heaviest day; Kaitlynn highly active)
  • Wednesday 22nd: 07:00–21:00 — HIGH (widespread daytime/evening activity)
  • Thursday 23rd: 17:00–22:00 — Moderate
  • Friday 24th: 02:00–03:00 — Low–Moderate
  • Saturday 25th: 12:00–13:00 — Low (single midday event)

Advisory / Recommended actions (rooted in observed data)

  1. Do not transit Elarel in shuttles or capsules. Analyst data rates these targets as effectively guaranteed losses (real_thread 5.0). Undocking these hulls into Elarel is high‑probability death.
  2. Avoid hauling through Elarel with Miasmos / Iteron Mk V or similar non‑combat freighters. Haulers recorded as specific targets (real_thread 4.5).
  3. If you must pass through, avoid the critical windows — especially Tuesday 12:00–23:30 UTC and the repeated EU/US prime periods listed above. Transit during the noted low windows (Friday 02:00–03:00 UTC; Saturday 12:00–13:00 UTC) carries lower, not zero, risk.
  4. Prefer alternative routing that bypasses Elarel entirely where practical. The presence of dedicated battleship gankers makes safe transit unlikely.
  5. If passage is unavoidable, travel in a combat‑capable, high‑mobility ship or with an escort. Passive civilian fits (shuttles, T1 haulers, unarmed exploration frigates) are being actively targeted and will not survive most encounters.
  6. Use survivability measures consistent with facing gate/station camps: remain aligned, keep a burn/warp plan, and be prepared to warp immediately. Cloak/covops use mitigates risk where applicable (Cailin Dioltas uses a Manticore stealth bomber in select attacks).
  7. Treat any presence of Abaddon/Praxis in local as an immediate escalation of danger. These platforms are being used specifically to kill soft targets in-system; sightings correlate strongly with imminent ganking events.

If engaged

  • Prioritize escape over engagement unless you have confirmed support. The primary observed tactics are high‑dps ganks from battleship platforms; solo soft ships are at a severe disadvantage.
  • Do not rely on “off‑peak” complacency — the predators operate across multiple timezones and have demonstrated activity in early‑morning and late‑night UTC.

Bottom line

  • Elarel is an active predator environment dominated by a few repeat battleship/cruiser operators. For unaligned or non‑combat pilots, the system is high risk — avoid Shuttles/Capsules/Haulers entirely and route around the system where possible. If transit cannot be avoided, only do so during the lowest‑observed windows and only in ships and fits capable of surviving a dedicated gank.

Recent Advisories

Elarel – 2025-11-18

TL 3.4

Elarel is a high-risk, low-sec system in Everyshore where coordinated predation by strategic cruisers, heavy assault cruisers, and stealth bombers targets miners, explorers, and lightly tanked cruisers, with capsule destruction commonly following kills. Safe transit and non-escalated operations are unlikely for vulnerable targets, especially during the primary hostile window of 08:00–14:00 UTC.

Elarel – 2025-11-17

TL 3.1

Elarel (Low-Sec, Everyshore) has seen a sustained spike in violence from 2025-11-10 to 2025-11-16, with 32 recorded kills (16 ships + 16 capsules) driven by solo gankers and coordinated cruiser gangs. The appearance of a Moros Navy Issue signals possible capital-level escalation and has prompted updated advisories and precautions.

Elarel – 2025-11-16

TL 3.1

Elarel (Everyshore) is experiencing CRITICAL, organized hostile activity and behaves like a low-sec hunting ground despite its high-security status. Primary threats include Cailin Dioltas' stealth ganking, coordinated Strategic Cruiser gangs led by Hunter Dredd, Kayla Starchild, and John Shepard21, and a capital presence from Izzy Crane; pilots should travel with escorts and avoid solo transit during the listed high-risk windows.

Elarel – 2025-11-15

TL 3.4

Elarel is operating at a HIGH threat level with sustained, organized ganking and T3C hunting crews targeting explorers, miners, and haulers. A Moros Navy Issue dreadnought was deployed in-system on 12 Nov, signaling a capital-level escalation and potential structure or fleet operations.

Elarel – 2025-11-14

TL 3.1

Elarel in the Everyshore region is under persistent threat from cloaked solo hunters and coordinated Loki/Curse/Lachesis cruiser gangs. The appearance of a Moros Navy Issue capital greatly increases danger to sub-capital fleets, with several named actors identified as high-priority threats.

Elarel – 2025-11-13

TL 3.4

Elarel is a high‑risk transit point in a Low‑Sec/High‑Sec transition, repeatedly targeted by a hunter group led by Cailin Dioltas and Cadhla Dioltas using a Manticore and a Tengu. The primary victims are unescorted industrials and light haulers, with additional high‑capability attackers and a Moros Navy Issue observed, signaling potential capital escalation.

Elarel – 2025-11-12

TL 3.1

Elarel is under high-alert with persistent, organized threats concentrated in two daily windows (15:00–19:00 UTC and 00:30–02:30 UTC). The primary killers are the Dioltas cell—Cailin Dioltas and Cadhla Dioltas—supported by Legion/Tengu EW-equipped hunters targeting miners, haulers, and cruisers, with frequent follow-up pod actions.

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