Elarel – 2025-10-21
Overall Threat Assessment: HIGH
Summary
- Elarel is an active hunting ground with multiple dedicated aggressors operating across varied times. Low-sec rules apply; expect player engagement. Local chat is not a reliable safety indicator.
Local Warning
- WARNING: Significant local threats identified. Attacker activity is persistent and opportunistic. There are no reliably “safe” windows—only varying intensities of danger.
Top Threats (condensed)
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Cailin Dioltas — Manticore (real_thread 4.5)
- Active: Mon/Wed/Thu; UTC 08:00–10:00, 13:00–16:00 (also 04:00–05:00 recent).
- Targets: Miners (Venture/Prospect), Imicus, cheap haulers.
- Risk: Extremely high for mining/cheap ships. Stealth bomber alpha = near-instant loss for unescorted targets.
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Serqet Daphiti — Abaddon (real_thread 4.0)
- Active: Sun/Mon; UTC 09:00–10:00, 15:00–16:00, 21:00–22:00.
- Targets: Shuttles, Miasmos, Capsules.
- Risk: Very high for transports and unprepared explorers — heavy sustained fire and capsule kills reported.
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Kayla Starchild — Pacifier (real_thread 3.5)
- Active: Thu; UTC ~18:00–19:00.
- Targets: Ventures.
- Risk: High for unescorted miners; covert ops tackling and swift kills possible.
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Cadhla Dioltas — Garmur (real_thread 3.0)
- Active: Fri; UTC ~17:00–18:00.
- Targets: Cruisers (Vexor), frigates.
- Risk: Moderate–high for small ships and light cruisers.
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Dejan Estemaire — Gnosis (real_thread 2.5)
- Active: Sun; UTC ~21:00–22:00.
- Targets: Haulers (Miasmos).
- Risk: Moderate for transports and poorly-fitted combat ships.
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Unidentified attackers (real_thread 1.5)
- Sporadic kills with no clear perpetrator. Remain cautious of ambiguous or anonymous threats.
Pattern Notes
- Peak activity: Thursday, Monday, Sunday. Attacks occur across morning, afternoon, and prime-time UTC. No guaranteed downtime.
Operational Recommendations
- Miners/Haulers: Avoid Elarel if possible. If you must operate:
- Run with scouts and fast warp-out options.
- Use align-time optimizing fits and warp core stabilizers if transiting.
- Consider disposable ships or cheap clones.
- Explorers (Imicus): Scan quickly; use D-scan aggressively; be ready to warp off immediately.
- All pilots:
- Do not trust Local chat as a safety metric.
- Assume hostile intent; avoid AFK activity.
- Fit for survival (align, warp speed, tank if you expect to fight).
- Never fly what you can’t afford to lose in Elarel.
Conclusion
- Elarel is a high-risk, well-patrolled hunting ground with varied tactics (stealth bombers, heavy battleships, covert frigates). Exercise extreme caution and plan transits and operations accordingly.