Elarel – 2025-10-19
Threat Level: HIGH — Frequent, coordinated hostile activity in low-sec Elarel. Mining and exploration traffic are primary targets. Operate with extreme caution.
Immediate Local Threats (UTC)
The analyst data shows a persistent, organized predator group focusing on vulnerable industrial ships and capsules. Expect coordinated tackles, cloaked hits, and heavy alpha strikes.
High-risk windows:
- Monday 02:00–03:00 — single actor (Cailin Dioltas) targeting industrials.
- Monday 14:00–18:00 — sustained Cailin activity; Ventures and an MTU attacked. Extremely dangerous.
- Tuesday 03:00–04:00 — solo/paired Cailin operations.
- Friday 08:00–18:00 — multiple actors (Cailin, Cillian, Kayla) active; very high threat throughout.
- Saturday 10:00–18:00 — Cadhla Dioltas hunting frigates/cruisers.
Note pattern: clustering in early UTC mornings (02:00–05:00) and afternoons (14:00–18:00), with Friday showing elevated, sustained predation.
Top Threats (summary, by observed lethality)
- Cailin Dioltas — real_thread 4.8: primary hunter. Uses Loki & Manticore. Assume immediate hostile intent; double-taps capsules.
- Cadhla Dioltas — real_thread 4.5: fast, lethal (Garmur, Tholos). Often delivers final blows.
- Serqet Daphiti — real_thread 4.2: Abaddon battleship present; immediate evac if sighted.
- Kayla Starchild — real_thread 3.8: Pacifier interceptor; hard tackler, fast lock.
- Cillian Dioltas — real_thread 3.5: Manticore cloaked attacks, active Fridays.
- Miner McBride — real_thread 2.0: Arazu support/EW; indicates coordinated ops.
Cloaked/stealth bomber activity and at least one kill with no listed attacker indicate a cloaked threat or incomplete attacker data — treat as higher stealth risk.
Tactical Recommendations (low-sec context)
- Avoid Elarel during listed high-risk windows if possible.
- Do not AFK in-system. Maintain active D-Scan and watch Local. Pre-align and warp at range, especially in Ventures/Prospects.
- Industrial pilots: travel in convoys or with combat escort. Consider alternative routes/systems.
- Use faster or better-tanked ships for transit; avoid slow, unarmored industrials alone.
- Be wary of cloaked threats (Manticore) and high-alpha attacks (stealth bombers/Abaddon). If you spot a hostile on grid, prioritize immediate escape over loot recovery.
- Expect coordinated tackle + EW (Arazu) — break tackle windows quickly and use warp core stabilizers or point-clearing tactics when possible.
This advisory is based on analyst data for Elarel as of 2025-10-18. Exercise heightened vigilance when operating in low-sec Elarel.