Elarel – 2025-10-04
Date: 2025-10-04 — Overall Threat Level: 3.5 (High Alert)
Situation Summary
Elarel is experiencing sustained, high-risk hostile activity. Analysts counted ~20 kills in the last week; multiple named aggressors are operating across broad hours and using a mix of cruisers, HACs and capital-sized threats. Miners, haulers, and lightly armoured ships are at particular risk.
Immediate Warnings (DO NOT ENGAGE UNLESS CONFIDENT/NUMBERS ADVANTAGE)
- Aladar Krahn — Real_Thread 4.5 (Extreme): 7 kills + 1 assist. Uses Tholos, Orthrus, Garmur. Active across many UTC hours (02:11, 13:48–16:42). Highly versatile—treat as primary predator.
- Cailin Dioltas — Real_Thread 4.0 (High): 5 kills + 2 assists. Loki pilot; often pairs with Aladar. Active mornings and evenings.
- Peter Powers — Real_Thread 3.8 (Significant): 4 kills. Flies Absolution, Magus, Tengu. Daytime/evening activity; capable of interdiction and target locking.
- Dejan Estemaire & Serqet Daphiti — Real_Thread 3.5 (Coordinated): Each with 3 kills. Use Ferox Navy Issue and Gnosis as a duo late evenings — dangerous to solo pilots.
- Kayla Starchild — Real_Thread 2.5 (Moderate): Seen assisting Aladar in a Tengu; limited appearances but capable.
Notable Victim Pattern
Kortofan Madullier has been repeatedly targeted (7 Venture kills + 2 capsule deaths in the period). This pattern suggests either targeted hunting or highly predictable behavior — relocation or major change of ops is strongly advised for that pilot.
Temporal Patterns (UTC) — use for route planning
- Peak: 15:00–17:00 (Aladar, Peter)
- Late night: 22:00–00:00 (Dejan & Serqet)
- Early morning / morning: 00:00–02:00 and 08:00–10:00 (Aladar, Cailin, Peter)
Activity is present across the day — no guaranteed “safe” window.
Known Ship Types to Expect
Loki, Tengu, Tholos, Orthrus, Ferox Navy Issue, Gnosis, Absolution, Magus — capabilities range from fast hunter-killers to coordinated battlecruiser force.
Recommended Actions (Low‑Sec Considerations)
- Avoid Elarel when possible. If transit is essential, travel in prepared fleets with combat support.
- Vary routines and routes; avoid predictable mining or hauling windows.
- Use scouts/alt characters for real‑time checks; D‑Scan and local chat monitoring are critical.
- Fit for survival: maximise EHP, consider warp stabilizers/inertia mods where appropriate, and ensure fast alignment/warp times.
- Prefer agile or tanked ships for essential ops; minimise valuable cargo in small or unarmed hulls.
- If operating during identified peak hours, increase caution — coordinated groups are active and mobile.
Bottom line: Elarel is a high‑risk low‑sec system with persistent, coordinated predators. Exercise maximum caution; do not assume a safe time or ship type.
— Everyshore Intel Network (EIN)