Mannar – 2025-10-20
Mannar Advisory — Moderate (Increasing) Threat
Date: 2025-10-20 | System: Mannar (Everyshore Region)
Threat Level: Moderate (increasing). Recent activity shows a shift from isolated/suspicious events to coordinated, high-lethality strikes against low-tanked and industrial targets. Treat Mannar as contested low-sec space and assume hostile intent.
Key Observations
- Target profile: Mobile Tractor Units (MTUs) and small/fragile ships — Heron, Catalyst, Endurance — have been repeatedly struck. Static industrial objects and lightly tanked frigates/destroyers are high-value prey.
- Attacker profile: Both solo gank cruisers/assault frigates (Tholos, Enyo) and coordinated hunter pairs (Astero + Loki) are active. Notable observed pilots: Simon Aurio (Astero), php3ch0 Isu (Loki), Aladar Krahn (Tholos), Taul Zion Khamarune (Enyo).
- Temporal pattern: Elevated risk windows observed on Tuesdays, Fridays, Saturdays (and an incident Sunday) around:
- 08:00–10:00 UTC (late morning / early afternoon)
- ~16:00 UTC (mid-afternoon)
Treat these windows as higher probability for patrols/ambushes.
Top Threat Threads (summary)
- "The Coordinated Hunters" — Astero + Loki pairing: high lethality for unprepared single-pilot targets; likely tackle + heavy DPS (real_thread ~4.5).
- "The Predator Cruiser" — Tholos targeting MTUs and anchored industry: single-pilot but high effectiveness against static targets (real_thread ~3.8).
- "The Destroyer Ambush" — Enyo vs fragile combat ships: high single-ship lethality against vulnerable frigates/destroyers (real_thread ~3.5).
- "The Ghost Kill" — isolated non-player or self-destruct events noted; not indicative of direct PvP but part of overall activity picture (real_thread ~1.0).
Practical Advice (rooted in observed patterns)
- Avoid deploying or leaving MTUs unattended in Mannar during 08:00–10:00 UTC and near 16:00 UTC on Tue/Fri/Sat. If you must, schedule deployments outside those windows and minimize exposure time.
- Do not pilot fragile ships (Heron, Catalyst, Endurance) solo through Mannar during the identified windows. Travel in organized groups or use fast/covert/more-tanky alternatives.
- When moving industrial or high-value cargo consider covert transport options, smaller time-in-target windows, or routing through higher-sec systems where feasible.
- Assume coordinated tackle/DPS teams are present: align to warp, keep safespots ready, use insta-warp/cloak mechanics, and maintain active d-scan vigilance when undocking or entering belts/plexes.
- Static assets (MTUs, anchored containers) are prime targets for single-ship cruisers — do not treat low-sec anchoring as safe, even briefly.
- If engaged, expect combined tackle (Astero-style) followed by heavy DPS (Loki/Tholos/Enyo). Escape options are limited once tackled; prevention and avoidance are primary defenses.
Bottom line: Mannar is increasingly dangerous for soft/industrial targets and small ships, especially in the specified time windows. Exercise caution, minimize exposed assets, and favor group operations or alternate routing until activity subsides.