Mannar – 2025-11-18
Summary
- System: Mannar (Low-Sec, Everyshore)
- Date range analyzed: 2025-11-11 → 2025-11-17
- Current system threat: 3.5 (Medium/High)
- Primary danger window: UTC 18:00 → 23:00 (peak 21:00–22:00) on weekdays
- Nature of threat: Professional solo/small‑gang hunters using high-end combat hulls (HACs, FRS, T3D). Targets include low-value scouts/industrials and combat-capable cruisers.
Threat snapshot
- Attackers are fielding high-skill, high-capability hulls: Ishtar (HAC), Enforcer (FRS), Vagabond (HAC), Hecate (T3D). These ships are optimized for sustained DPS, projection, warp‑scramble/point control, and mobility — a lethal mix for unescorted or slow targets.
- Victim profile: Imicus / Velator frigates and at least one Exequror Navy Issue cruiser. This shows aggressors will engage both cheap gank targets and combat ships when opportunity presents.
- Operational cadence: Consistent primetime activity on weekdays — a predictable window that increases transit risk.
Notable engagements (selected)
- 2025-11-11 21:01 UTC — Vagabond (pilot: Tasaro Sunji) destroyed a target (HAC-class attacker).
- 2025-11-13 22:01–22:02 UTC — Ishtar (pilot: Sien Motsu) recorded a double kill, including an Exequror Navy Issue and the capsule.
- 2025-11-14 21:09–21:12 UTC — Enforcer (pilot: Znuts Aurgnet) recorded rapid twin kills (Imicus and capsule).
- 2025-11-17 18:24 UTC — Hecate (pilot: Luigius Sublime) engaged and destroyed a target.
Identified high-priority threats
- Sien Motsu — Ishtar (HAC): highest real-threat rating in current data; capable of dismantling cruisers and killing capsules.
- Znuts Aurgnet — Enforcer (FRS): likely to pin and neutralize targets at range and control movement.
- Tasaro Sunji — Vagabond (HAC): fast, high-DPS hunter optimized for striking exposed pilots.
- Luigius Sublime — Hecate (T3D): high burst damage and projection against small ships.
Advisory — Immediate actions (rooted in analyst data)
- Avoid Mannar between 18:00 and 23:00 UTC on weekdays. Transit risk is materially higher in this window.
- If transit is unavoidable during primetime:
- Use cloaking (CovOps/Black Ops) where possible.
- Move in properly tanked, high‑align, high‑warp ships (or dedicated combat ships capable of fighting off HAC/FRS/T3D engagements).
- Travel in numbers: small gangs with logi or point denial mitigation reduce single‑ship vulnerability.
- Do not linger on gates or celestial bookmarks during primetime; align and warp immediately.
- Non‑combat and industrial pilots (frigates, mining/hauling barges, scout ships) should re-route or strictly schedule trips outside the 18:00–23:00 UTC window.
- Assume attackers have effective warp‑interdiction and instant capsule neutralization capability — one successful tackle/point can quickly escalate into a pod kill.
Tactical considerations
- Against Ishtar HAC: drones are the primary damage source — target drone control/ECM where possible; use strong tank and transversal to reduce drone effectiveness.
- Against Enforcer FRS: expect warp‑scramble/point tactics and long scram/point ranges — mitigate by high warp speed/align, interdiction nullifiers are not available in low‑sec, so contingency is to avoid predictable gate traps.
- Against Vagabond/Hecate: high DPS burst and mobility — counter with over‑tanked hulls, reliable remote repair (if in fleet), or avoid engagement entirely unless reinforced.
Final note
Mannar is presently a focused hunting ground run by skilled capsuleers operating during predictable hours. Follow the above mitigations if you must enter the system; otherwise, schedule operations outside primetime or choose alternate routing. EIN will continue to monitor patterns and will report changes to threat cadence and actor behavior.