Adeel – 2025-11-06
Executive Summary
System Adeel (Low‑sec, Everyshore) has recorded coordinated hostile activity targeting medium‑sized ships during an early‑UTC predator window. Observed events show a Garmur frigate pair executing a precision kill on a Vexor cruiser and an anomalous Moros Navy Issue (MNI) capital involvement. Current assessed Threat‑Level: 3.5 / 5.0 (Moderate→High / Serious Danger). Exercise extreme caution — especially for cruiser/B/C‑class pilots during the early morning UTC hours.
Key Observations (from analyst data)
- Two kills recorded on 2025‑11‑01 at 03:51 UTC and 04:05 UTC — a tight 14‑minute window indicating a deliberate low‑traffic hunting period. Highest local risk 03:00–05:00 UTC.
- Attackers included two Garmur frigates (Aladar Krahn; Cadhla Dioltas) that rapidly engaged and killed a Vexor (Koddestia Kud Usoko). Garmurs in this context are high‑speed, long‑tackle precision hunters — highly effective against drone‑dependent, slower cruisers.
- Anomalous capital presence: Moros Navy Issue (Izzy Crane) recorded as final blow against a null/structure victim. This implies potential capital operations or an escalatory action in/near Adeel (structures, mobile depots, or a capital engagement).
Threat Profile Summary
- Garmur Hunter Gang: Primary active threat — high mobility, extended warp‑disruption/tackle ranges, coordinated precision strikes; lethal to cruisers and other medium, slower targets when operating without support.
- Capital Escalation Flag: Presence of an MNI in a sub‑capital system greatly raises the stakes — potential for cyno usage and capital reinforcement. Sub‑cap pilots are at severe risk if capitals are active on grid or nearby.
Actionable Advisories (rooted in observed data)
- Avoid the predator window: Do not make non‑essential jumps into or through Adeel between 03:00–05:00 UTC (UTC timestamps from observed events).
- Cruisers and slower medium hulls: Do not operate solo in Adeel without quick‑response backup. Drone‑heavy cruisers (e.g., Vexor) are particularly vulnerable to Garmur kite + tackle tactics.
- If you must transit or operate:
- Favor high‑mobility ships (interceptors, fast frigates) or ships with very short align times to reduce being caught by extended scrams/tackles.
- Maintain range beyond known tackle/scram reach when possible (engage from long range or remain able to warp immediately).
- Travel in numbers or with local tackle/logistics support — small local gangs of Garmurs can overwhelm lone medium targets.
- Watch for capitals/cynos: Any visible cynosural activity or capital visuals should be treated as an immediate extraction cue — withdraw to safe distance or dock. The recorded MNI presence signals a real risk of capital escalation around likely strategic points (stations, structures, or jump infrastructure).
- Avoid high‑value structure work or moving critical assets through Adeel while hostile activity persists. Structures and mobile assets may be the intended targets of capital actions.
Recommended Caution Levels by Ship Class (based on incidents)
- Interceptors/fast frigates: Low risk if flown with typical caution — still avoid the 03:00–05:00 UTC window.
- Cruisers / Battlecruisers: High risk — do not solo; bring backup or operate outside observed window.
- Capitals / Supercap exposure: Sub‑cap pilots should assume capitals may be present; do not anchor on grid where cynos or heavy icons are visible.
Closing Note
Adeel currently hosts organized, high‑skill anti‑cruiser activity with the additional intelligence flag of a capital engagement. Adjust operations, transit timing, and asset movement accordingly. Treat early‑morning UTC hours as the highest immediate hazard and plan routes and fittings to prioritize mobility and escape until hostile behavior subsides.