Adeel – 2025-11-18
Date: 2025-11-18 UTC
Threat Level: MODERATE–HIGH (Escalating)
Summary
- Between 2025-11-13 and 2025-11-15 Adeel recorded three aggressive incidents. Volume is low but lethality and capability are high: recorded forces include Triglavian capital (Zirnitra), multiple Vedmak cruisers, coordinated Black Ops strike elements (Widow/Panther), Loki support, stealth bombers and assault frigates.
- The presence of a Zirnitra dreadnought with Vedmak escorts on 2025-11-15 is a major escalation — this is force-projection suitable for structure killing or system denial. Black Ops activity around 18:15 UTC indicates separate, covert ambush operations against transit/PvE ships.
- Adeel is low-sec; CONCORD/neutral response is minimal and will not mitigate the observed threat types (cloaked Black Ops or Triglavian capital projection).
Incident Highlights (selected)
- Kill 131199246 — 2025-11-13 18:15 UTC: Gila destroyed by a Black Ops gang (Widow/Panther) with Jaguar tackle. Tactics: cloaked insertion/ambush on a mission/ratting cruiser.
- Kill 131236887 — 2025-11-15 10:21 UTC: Dreadnought Zirnitra + 8x Vedmak. No clear sub-capital victim recorded — suggests structure or low-value sacrificial target; demonstrates capital-level presence.
- Kill 131237056 — 2025-11-15 10:35 UTC: Continued Zirnitra/Vedmak activity with Loki and Manticore added. Indicates sustained, coordinated capital + strat/stealth element.
Observed Tactics & Implications
- Capital projection (Zirnitra) backed by Vedmaks: overwhelming alpha and escalating damage over sustained engagements. Almost certain fatality for isolated sub-capital ships caught in engagement.
- Black Ops + stealth bomber elements: high-probability cloaked drops and high-alpha strikes on uncloaked targets during transit or while ratting/missioning.
- Loki presence implies EW/support/tackle to lock down otherwise mobile threats; Manticore implies covert spotting and bombing capability.
- Temporal pattern: late-afternoon/evening (~18:00 UTC) shows Black Ops ambush risk; morning (~10:00 UTC) shows capital fleet projection. Treat both windows as high risk.
Advisory / Recommended Actions (rooted in observed intelligence)
- Immediate avoidance: Sub-capital and industrial operations should not traverse or operate in Adeel while this threat persists. Treat the system as non-traversable for expendable ships and solo sub-capital PvE.
- Do not loiter on gates, undock/warm-up, or hang on station/grid in Adeel. The attackers use cloaked/timed drops and capital fire to catch ships that linger.
- Avoid the 10:00 UTC and 18:00 UTC windows in Adeel until the Zirnitra/Vedmak presence and Black Ops activity cease or demonstrably move elsewhere.
- If transit is unavoidable:
- Use maximum warp-stability / align-to-zero fittings, instant-warp tactics, and minimize time spent at zero or decloaking in-system.
- Prefer covert-capable ships or packets with a plan to immediately disengage; consider traveling with hardened/escort forces rather than single sub-capitals.
- Expect Entropic Disintegrator-style escalation from Vedmaks/Zirnitra — prolonged engagements rapidly become unsustainable for sub-capitals.
- Navigation & routing: Re-route high-value logistics/industrial traffic away from Adeel until the capital threat is removed. Assume the system may be used to clear or deny access to a structure.
Intelligence Note
- Attack composition indicates organized, multi-role operations (covert insertion + capital projection + EW support). The Zirnitra/Vedmak deployment is consistent with preparation for structure work or decisive force denial. No confirmed alliance tags were available in the observed logs; attackers appear to be Triglavian-aligned hulls and player Black Ops elements.
EIN assessment: Treat Adeel as a high-risk pocket in Everyshore. Exercise extreme caution, avoid routine operations there, and assume attackers will reappear during the documented time windows.