Adeel – 2025-11-03
Summary
- Local Threat Level: Escalated — 3.5 / 5.0.
- Recent killmail activity (30 Oct & 1 Nov 2025) shows coordinated small-gang Frigate strikes, stealth-bomber ambushes, and a single confirmed Capital (Moros Navy Issue) deployment.
- High-risk windows: 03:00–05:00 UTC (early morning) and 10:00–11:00 UTC (late morning). Avoid Adeel during these times if possible.
What was observed (critical data points)
- 2025-10-30 10:46:55 UTC — Manticore stealth bomber (pilot: Cillian Dioltas) killed an Anathema (covert ops).
- 2025-11-01 03:51:39 UTC — Two Garmur frigates (pilots: Cadhla Dioltas & Aladar Krahn) executed a high-speed interception and destroyed a Vexor cruiser (Koddestia Kud Usoko).
- 2025-11-01 04:05:57 UTC — Moros Navy Issue dreadnought (pilot: Izzy Crane) deployed in-system; target unclear (possible structure/capital operation).
Threat profile
- Small-gang interceptors (Garmur pair) — Thread Level 4.5/5.0
- Fast, coordinated, long-range disruption and heavy burst damage against medium ships. Demonstrated ability to lock and remove cruisers quickly.
- Stealth-bomber ambushes (Manticore) — Thread Level 4.0/5.0
- Effective against cloaky/covert vessels and slow targets; demonstrates active counter-explorer operations.
- Capital deployment (Moros Navy Issue) — Thread Level 5.0/5.0
- Presence of a dreadnought implies potential structure siege or capital action. Sub-capitals in the system are at extreme risk while a capital is active.
- General risk to explorers, haulers, and solo pilots — elevated. Even cloaked explorers were taken in recorded incidents.
Tactical advisory (based on observed behavior)
- Avoid Adeel when possible, especially during 03:00–05:00 UTC and 10:00–11:00 UTC.
- If you must enter:
- Do not go alone. Travel with wingmates or fleet; lone pilots are primary targets.
- Use high-mobile or high-align ships when transiting gates to reduce tackle risk. Conversely, avoid slow, low-acceleration cruisers and haulers during peak windows.
- Stay off-grid and do not linger. Avoid scanning/probing in-system without a scout; cloak-capable ships are being hunted.
- Practice strict d-scan discipline on every approach and when decloaking. Assume covert hunters (bombers/ambushers) may be present.
- If you see a capital (Moros or similar) in local or on d-scan, exit immediately; capital presence implies likely structure or fleet activity — sub-capitals are collateral risk.
- Use safe-bookmarks and pre-made exit plans — align to a celestial or warp out on engagement.
- For haulers: reroute around Adeel; don't mid-point or stop under gate transit without escort.
- Probe and exploration ships: consider postponing operations. The recorded Manticore attack shows cloaked-bomber countermeasures are active.
Immediate actions for pilots already in-system
- Reassess local for the named actors (Izzy Crane, Cadhla Dioltas, Aladar Krahn, Cillian Dioltas). Treat any indication of them or similar profiles as hostile.
- If you detect tackle or incoming missiles/bombs, warp immediately to a safe or off-grid point; do not attempt to fight if outnumbered or outclassed.
- If you see a dreadnought in-system, assume structure or capital action; dock up, align, or leave system immediately unless you are part of a prepared response.
Reporting and situational awareness
- The observed pattern shows highly disciplined, time-focused operations. Assume these actors will repeat the timing and methods that succeeded.
- Plan operations outside the identified windows or within a coordinated group capable of repelling or escaping fast-tackle setups.
Bottom line
Adeel is a hotzone for both small-gang interception and targeted covert strikes, with a confirmed capital-level presence. Avoid the system during 03:00–05:00 UTC and 10:00–11:00 UTC. If travel is unavoidable, move in numbers, prioritize mobility and situational awareness, and evacuate immediately if a dreadnought is confirmed active.