Adeel – 2025-10-10
EIN-Advisory — Adeel (Low-Sec): Moderate Threat, Targeted Gankers Active
Threat Level: MODERATE — elevated risk for industrial and unescorted vessels. Low-sec behavior observed: coordinated strikes, stealthy tacklers, and unexplained high-alpha losses.
Key Observations
- Primary aggressors identified: Aladar Krahn (Orthrus; high threat hunter) and Grumppy Bear (Astero; coordinated tackler/scout). Orthrus delivered a confirmed final blow on a Porpoise; Astero participated in the same engagement.
- Primary ship threats: Orthrus (fast, heavy missile cruiser suited to dictate range and execute quick kills) and Astero (cloaky scout/tackler used to initiate or hold targets).
- High-value victims: Porpoise (industrial command ship) was destroyed in a coordinated attack. Industrial ships (Orca, Porpoise, Prospect, etc.) are clear primary targets.
- Unexplained losses: Horscht Vollstitch lost a Hecate and a Sunesis within 17 minutes with no recorded attackers — indicates potential for smartbombs, high-alpha ambushes, or other methods that may leave little trace on standard killmail records.
Temporal Patterns
- Peak activity window observed: ~14:00–17:00 UTC.
- Noted days of activity in the sample: Monday and Friday — treat these as higher-probability days for aggression.
Tactical Warnings (operational guidance)
- Industrial ships are prime targets. Do not operate solo in Porpoise/Orca/large haulers during peak windows unless heavily escorted or in a prepared fleet.
- Orthrus engagements are fast and lethal. If an Orthrus is on grid, assume aggressive intent — avoid prolonged range fights unless you are purpose-fitted to counter missile cruisers.
- An Astero on D-scan or uncloaked nearby can precede an ambush. Expect tacklers or electronic warfare support.
- The unexplained combat-capable losses mean even agile frigates can be eliminated quickly. Stay aligned, maintain warp readiness, and respect gate and anomaly choke points.
- Avoid predictable gate/station approach patterns during peak times. Consider cloaking through gates, scanning for bubbles/smartbombers, and using scouts or alternate routing.
- Use D-scan, overview discipline, and constant situational awareness. Early detection and immediate warp/directional response are primary survivability tools.
Bottom line
Adeel is not constantly hot, but it is a risky low-sec system for unescorted industrials and even lone PvP ships. Expect opportunistic, coordinated hunters using Orthrus + Astero tactics in the early- to mid-afternoon UTC window, particularly on Mondays and Fridays. Exercise heightened caution.