Groothese – 2025-11-03
Date: 2025-11-03 (analysis period 2025-10-27 → 2025-11-03)
System Security: Low-Sec — transit and stationary operations have elevated risk.
Summary
- Total incidents (period): 20 killmails across 16 unique engagements.
- Current assessed threat: High — Real Threat Level 4.0 system-wide with episodic 5.0 strikes.
- Principal hazard: coordinated, professional predator teams employing Black Ops battleships, Strategic Cruisers, Marauders and cloaky/stealth strike hulls. This is purposeful hunting, not random griefing.
Peak risk windows (UTC)
- Friday: 17:00–18:00 — very high activity (Real Thread 4.5).
- Sunday: 22:00 onward — major coordinated Black Ops strikes (Real Thread 5.0).
- Wednesday & Thursday: multiple midday/evening spikes (Real Thread ~4.0).
- Additional elevated windows: Tuesday 22:00–23:00, Saturday 17:00–20:00.
Notable threat profiles (observed)
- Black Ops Strike Team (Operation Talos): Karl Rudolf Horse, Vladislav Saken, Ahmya Hina, Daverosh Saissore, W0wbagger — Panthers/Marshal/Black Ops Battleships supported by covert ops (Buzzard). Most lethal thread observed; Sunday night strikes destroyed multiple Talos hulls and capsules. (Real Thread 5.0)
- Solo/Small-Gang Marauder hunter: Alexis glavor — Babaroga Marauder plus mixed Machariel/Stabber FI activity. Demonstrated high-durability solo kills. (Real Thread 4.5)
- Strategic Cruiser hunters: Hunter Dredd, Pains Wife et al. — Loki/Ikitursa/Tengu use against other strategic/T2 targets. (Real Thread 4.0)
- Cloaky strike teams: Aladar Krahn, Cadhla Dioltas — Tholos/Manticore/Garmur compositions used to ambush miners, haulers and capsules. (Real Thread 4.0)
- Battleship+Recon gangs: Sick Artley et al. — Machariel + Lachesis teams for heavy DPS + E-war. (Real Thread 3.5)
- Opportunistic high-value hunters: various pilots ganking MTUs and unattended haulers with strategic cruisers. (Real Thread 3.0)
Representative engagements (selected)
- Kill ID 130951130 / 130951135 / 130952690 / 130952691 (2025-11-02 22:36 → 2025-11-03 00:30 UTC): Coordinated Black Ops strikes destroyed multiple Talos hulls and pods using Panthers/Marshal and covert ops support. Highest-severity activity observed.
- Kill ID 130917237 (2025-11-01 17:26 UTC): Alexis glavor (Babaroga) solo-kill of a Kikimora — demonstrates Marauder solo capability and elevated Friday risk.
- Kill ID 130868100 (2025-10-30 14:26 UTC): Tengu destroyed by Loki + Ikitursa — indicates willingness to engage expensive strategic hulls in contested fights.
- Kill ID 130892733 / 130892752 (2025-10-31 18:37 UTC): Procurer + capsule lost to Tholos — shows cloaky destroyer risk to miners and small ships.
Tactical Guidance (rooted in observed behavior)
- Transit caution: Avoid transiting Groothese during peak windows if possible. Sunday 22:00+ and Friday 17:00–18:00 are particularly hazardous for lone/high-value ships.
- Do not leave unattended assets: MTUs, anchored modules, and unmanned structures are high-risk and were successfully taken. Do not deploy MTUs in this system.
- High-value hulls: Avoid moving Talos, Tayra, Tengu, Marauders, Black Ops or unescorted battleships through the system during peak times. These hulls are explicit targets.
- Expect cloaky/Black Ops presence: Covert ships (Tholos, Manticore, Buzzard/Covert) and Black Ops deployment indicate gates, belts and warp-ins may be watched — minimize time spent warping to/from points and do not linger on gates.
- Grouping and scouting: Transit in screened groups when possible. Use reliable scouts and pre-warp checks (d-scan/probes) and insist on dedicated scouting for cloaky/Black Ops threats.
- Route choice: Consider alternate routes to avoid Groothese during high windows, or move valuable assets at low-risk times (system is lower risk outside the listed peaks).
- Capsule/escape planning: Black Ops and Marauder activity increases the likelihood of pod/killing — pilots should plan for safe pod extraction and backup clones in alternate stations if possible.
Immediate watch-list (known names / hulls observed)
- Black Ops Strike Team: Karl Rudolf Horse, Vladislav Saken, Ahmya Hina, Daverosh Saissore, W0wbagger — Panthers / Marshals (Black Ops BS) + Buzzard.
- Marauder hunter: Alexis glavor — Babaroga (+ Machariel/Stabber FI mixed gangs).
- Strategic hunters: Hunter Dredd, Pains Wife, Ena Yleto Yanumano, Vipy Styx — Loki / Ikitursa / Tengu.
- Cloaky strike pilots: Aladar Krahn, Cadhla Dioltas — Tholos / Manticore / Garmur.
Assessment conclusion
Groothese has shifted from opportunistic ganks to coordinated predator operations centered on high-end hulls and cloaky Black Ops tactics. For routine commerce, mining, or solo PvE/PvP there is a significant and recurring risk — treat the system as a high-threat transit node and plan movements and operations around the windows and profiles listed above.
This advisory is based on the analyst data covering kills through 2025-11-03 and reflects observed activity and named actors within that period.