Groothese – 2025-11-15
Reporting Date: 2025-11-15
Executive Summary
- Groothese is behaving far above a normal High‑Security risk profile: coordinated, high‑commitment ganks are now the dominant threat. Rolling 7‑day threat: 3.5/5.0 — Elevated Hostility / Organized Ganking.
- Two distinct, persistent actors are responsible for most of the recent losses: the “Artley Group” and the McBride/Krahn duo, plus a highly capable single operator, Edgar Berdnikow, whose Rattlesnake executed a multi‑kill against high‑value targets on 2025‑11‑15.
- Peak danger windows are late UTC afternoons/evenings on weekends and late‑night/early‑morning UTC on weekdays. Slow or high‑value ships (Industrial Command Ships, Strategic Cruisers, Black Ops, haulers) are being actively hunted.
Key Threat Actors (observed)
- Artley Group — Legion/Lachesis/Vagabond/Vigilant compositions. Active: Sunday 18:00–22:30 UTC. Threat Rating: 4.5/5. Specialized at killing slow, high‑value targets (e.g., Porpoise).
- McBride / Krahn Duo — Gnosis (combat BC) solo/duo operations. Active: late night / scattered afternoon UTC. Threat Rating: 3.0/5.
- Edgar Berdnikow — Single Rattlesnake responsible for a Saturday multi‑kill including a Widow (Black Ops) and multiple Lokis (Strategic Cruisers). Active: Saturday mornings. Threat Rating: 4.8–5.0 (single incident level).
Temporal Patterns — When to be most cautious
- Highest-risk: Weekend late UTC afternoon/evening — particularly Sunday 17:00–23:00 UTC (major coordinated ganks recorded).
- Secondary spikes: Friday mid‑afternoon (14:45–17:45 UTC) and Saturday morning (08:30–11:00 UTC).
- Persistent low‑volume risk: Late night / early morning UTC (00:30–05:00 UTC) from small, fast strike teams or combat BCs.
Notable Recent Incident (operational significance)
- 2025‑11‑15, 09:43 UTC — Single Rattlesnake executed a multi‑kill removing a Black Ops Battleship, several Strategic Cruisers, and a Heavy Assault Cruiser. This indicates premeditated targeting, reliable scouting, and the capability to intercept and overwhelm even high‑tanked, high‑value fleet elements.
Risk Mitigation — Actionable Guidance (rooted in observed tactics)
- Avoid bringing slow, high‑value ships into Groothese during peak windows: Industrial Command Ships (Porpoise), Epithal/porpoise-class haulers, Strategic Cruisers, Black Ops, and other slow, high‑value hulls.
- If travel is essential:
- Move during non‑peak hours (mid‑UTC daytime weekdays appears lower risk than weekend evenings).
- Travel in escorted groups/wingmates. Small gang support changes engagement calculus against focused gankers.
- Use fast, highly mobile ships when possible; avoid being caught unaligned or stationary.
- Check D‑scan and directional probes before undocking or before warping to known slow points; do not assume Local will warn you of pre‑locked ambushes (recon ships are present and actively scouting).
- Fit for escape: keep ships aligned to a celestial/structure and ready to warp; consider modules that improve escape survivability for cruiser/hauler fits (fit choices depend on hull and role).
- For hauling/mining: split cargo, employ dummy freights where feasible, and prefer convoys with combat escort rather than lone high‑value runs.
- Recon awareness: Presence of Lachesis/Vigilant/Falcon frames indicates deliberate sensor and tackle chains. Expect baiting, pre‑locking and tackle webs — treat any group with recon elements as hostile until proven safe.
- DO NOT assume a single loss is opportunistic — multiple incidents show deliberate scouting and target acquisition.
If Engaged or Threatened
- Immediate priorities: align and warp to a safe (station/structure) if possible; call for group support if available. Avoid prolonged fights in-system against force‑multiplied, prepared gank teams.
- For strategic fleetops: exercise OPSEC and stagger movement times; assume hostile intelligence collection in system.
Outlook
- Expect continued, organized harassment and targeted ganking in Groothese while these actors remain active. Weekend late‑UTC periods pose the highest risk for multi‑ship ambushes and high‑value losses. Treat Groothese as a contested space rather than benign High‑Sec while planning operations.
EIN Assessment: Maintain elevated caution in Groothese. Adjust op tempos, ship choices, and routing to avoid confirmed peak windows and to negate the recon/tackle advantages the hostile groups are using.