Mya – 2025-10-30
Red Alert: Capital-Heavy Coalition Deployment; Persistent Solo/Small-Gang Predators
Executive Summary
- Mya is currently flagged EXTREMELY HIGH RISK. A highly organized, capital-capable coalition ("The Widow Fleet Coalition" in analyst data) executed 18 consecutive engagements on Thursday 23 Oct 2025 between 13:59 Z and 14:02 Z. Fleet composition included Force Recon (Widow), Dreadnoughts (Naglfar, Phoenix Navy Issue), Heavy Interdictors (Vulture), Logi Cruisers (Basilisk, Onyx) and a Drifter Battleship (Zirnitra).
- Separately, persistent solo/duo predators (T3 cruisers, assault frigates, high-DPM frigates) operate on multiple days and at varied hours. Notable recurring individuals include Ronen Uitra (Loki/Hecate) and Michel Ferran (Proteus).
- Immediate operational posture: avoid non-essential movement of capitals and high-value assets through or into Mya. Sub-capital traffic should operate with maximum caution.
Threat Assessment
- Mass Fleet Threat (Real_Thread 4.5 / Extreme): The October 23 surge demonstrates capacity and intent to target large structures and capitals. The presence of a Zirnitra elevates risk to any anchored or slow-reacting ships—assume high alpha and precision E-War. The coalition identity is unspecified beyond analyst labels.
- Persistent Predator Threat (Real_Thread 3.5 / High): Dedicated hunters working cloaky/T3/fast-frig platforms strike across early-morning and evening windows on multiple days — high risk to lone or lightly-scanned sub-capitals and industrial ops.
Recent Activity Snapshot (Key Data Points)
- Peak mass action: 18 engagements on Thu, 23 Oct 2025 — 13:59 Z to 14:02 Z.
- Frequent solo/small gang activity across Thu, Fri, Sun, Tue — times range 04:31 Z, 07:47 Z, 21:15 Z and other windows.
- Identified tools used by attackers: Widow (Force Recon), Naglfar, Phoenix Navy Issue, Zirnitra (Drifter BS), Vulture (HIC), Basilisk/Onyx (remote logi), Loki/Proteus/Garmur, Hecate.
Notable Threat Actors (from analyst data)
- The Widow Fleet Coalition — Unspecified organized coalition; capital and siege-capable fleet (Widow, Naglfar, Phoenix NI, Zirnitra). Level: 4.5
- Ronen Uitra — Recurrent solo/duo hunter (Loki / Hecate). Level: 3.8
- Mr Bio — Zirnitra operator; multiple final blows during the massive action. Level: 3.5
- Kurt Harry Spett — Naglfar pilot in coalition. Level: 3.5
- Michel Ferran — Proteus operator; responsible for multi-loss pattern. Level: 3.2
- Boruet Annages — Fast-frig hunter (Garmur). Level: 2.5
Operational Advisories (Immediate / Mandatory Guidance)
- Avoid Mya during the Thursday 13:00–15:00 Z window. The analysts recorded the mass operation at ~14:00 Z; assume recurrence is likely at that daily peak.
- Do NOT move capitals, supercapitals, or high-value siege assets into or through Mya unless escorted by confirmed friendly capital forces and local intel consensus. If possible, relocate assets to high-sec/null-sec or safer Everyshore systems outside the risk window.
- Sub-capitals and industrial vessels should:
- Travel in scout-backed groups (minimum 3+) and use a dedicated warp-scout or fleet of alignable cloak/scan platforms.
- Avoid prolonged on-grid exposure (minimize MTU/anchoring operations; keep ships aligned for instant warp).
- Fit for survivability and quick exit: high align, warp-core stabilizers judiciously (weigh risks vs. tackle), and consider local E-War counters.
- Stations, citadels, and anchored assets: minimize offline vulnerable timers during the high-risk window. If you operate vulnerable POS-like activity or services, schedule maintenance outside the Thursday ~14:00 Z period.
- Logistics & Hauling:
- Stagger high-value hauls away from the risk window; use smaller, less enticing transports if you must move during risky hours.
- Avoid moving capitals via low-sec cyno chains through Mya without thorough route control.
- Cloaky/T3 predator mitigation:
- Assume cloaky disruptors and tackle will be present at varied hours. Use probe/scan discipline, warp-in checks, and active d-scan before committing to stationary activities.
- Use local scouts and keep safe spots refreshed; never assume any gate or bookmark is safe without recent verification.
- If engaged or under threat: prioritize immediate disengagement—warp off, use pre-aligned safe spots, and avoid re-engaging in system without superior force or clear advantage.
Tactical Notes for Fleet Commanders
- Expect coordinated E-War and spectrally diverse damage sources (drifter remote damage + dreadnought siege). Prioritize:
- Quick target ID on any Zirnitra present; its presence correlates with decisive alpha-strike capability.
- Denial of enemy cynos and HIC tackle where possible (gate-camp mitigation, fast tackle suppression).
- If planning a counter-operation, assemble multi-layered fleets: logi, HIC counter, E-war suppression, and dread-capable response. Do not assume friendly presence in system without direct confirmation.
Risk Windows (Summary)
- Extreme risk: Thursdays ~13:00–15:00 Z (highest likelihood of coalition return)
- High risk: Early mornings 04:00–08:00 Z; evenings 18:00–22:00 Z — heightened solo/small-gang hunting activity
Analyst Conclusion (Operational Imperative)
- Mya is a hazardous low-sec node with demonstrated capacity for both large-scale capital operations and skilled small-gang harassment. Operational default: treat Mya as hostile territory. Move assets out, schedule activities outside the identified windows, and employ maximum movement discipline and reconnaissance if presence in-system is unavoidable.
This advisory is issued on the basis of the analyst data provided. Assess your fleet composition, adjust operational timelines, and prioritize asset safety accordingly.