Mya – 2025-11-14
Summary
- Thread level: High — assessed 4.0 (Severe Volatility). One confirmed large-scale, highly effective Loki-heavy fleet action produced catastrophic losses for a Barghest battleship wing; multiple smaller ganks and solo predators operate persistently.
- Primary threats observed: an organized Loki strategic‑cruiser force (large, coordinated fleet), a persistent solo Tengu pilot (identified as Aladar Krahn) conducting targeted opportunistic strikes, and repeated industrial/transport interdiction by small gangs (Maelstrom, Cerberus, Gnosis/Orthrus profiles).
- Operational implication: Mya is a known flashpoint. Presence in-system during peak windows carries high probability of engagement and loss.
What happened (key events)
- 2025-11-07, 17:19–17:33 UTC — Massive fleet fight: a Loki‑heavy strategic cruiser force routed and destroyed a Barghest battleship wing. Event rated 5.0 (Guaranteed Death) for ships caught in the engagement. This confirms organized, high-capacity offensive operations in-system.
- 2025-11-07, 15:21–15:51 UTC — Solo Tengu (Aladar Krahn) targeted MTU and small combat/AFK targets over an extended period; demonstrates effective solo harassment and ganking.
- Multiple dates — Routine interdiction of industrial and transport assets (MTU, Procurer, Blockade Runner) by small gangs and cruisers; attacks observed across morning to evening windows.
High-risk windows
- Primary peak: Fridays, 17:00–18:00 UTC — Extremely High Risk (documented 5.0 event). Avoid unscripted presence in system during this hour.
- Secondary activity: 15:00–16:00 UTC — frequent opportunistic ganks (Tengu, industrial hits); 21:00 UTC — cruiser/battleship skirmishes; ~06:00 UTC — small gang operations (global/alternate TZ activity).
Advisory — Recommended precautions (rooted in observed behavior)
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General transit and presence
- Avoid transiting Mya during the Friday 17:00–18:00 UTC window unless you are part of an organized, local combat force prepared for large-scale engagements. The analytical record shows this hour as the most likely window for major operations.
- Use fast alignment and keep warp cloak/covert ops where applicable. Remain aligned to safe locations and avoid prolonged orbiting or AFK activity in-space.
- Run proactive D‑scan and keep situational awareness; Loki fleets and small-gang scouts use local intel to pin down targets quickly.
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Industrial/mining/MTU protection
- MTUs and unattended loot are high-priority targets. Either pull MTUs to safe (station/pos) or keep them off-field when not actively managed.
- Avoid solo mining or leaving barges/industrial ships without a combat-ready escort in-system. Small‑gang cruisers and Cerberus/Cenotaph profiles have demonstrated consistent interdiction success.
- If you must run PI/ops in Mya, schedule around low-activity times and remain ready to warp out at any sign of aggression.
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Transport and Blockade Runner movement
- Blockade Runners and other high‑value haulers are being actively hunted. Use scouts, multiple‑layer escorts, or move during system lulls (avoid the 17:00 UTC Friday peak).
- Consider alternate routing to bypass Mya when hauling high‑value cargo unless you have guaranteed escort cover.
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Combat and small‑gang pilots
- Expect Loki strategic cruisers in numbers and with high coordination. If you intend to contest them, bring an organized force with dedicated tackle, logistics, and EWAR (ECM/target‑disruption) or long‑range options; uncontrolled Barghest or large battleship blobs are vulnerable when engaged by a coordinated Loki force (as documented).
- Solo Tengu operations (Aladar Krahn) indicate persistent targeted harassment—do not assume single‑pilot risk is negligible.
- Maintain escape plans and be prepared for rapid escalation to fleet action.
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If you plan to fight
- Operating offensively in Mya requires explicit readiness for escalation to a large, organized engagement. Force composition should assume the enemy may field strategic cruisers with flexible fittings and coordinated support.
- Do not commit large numbers of slow or tethered ships (e.g., battleship columns) inside system hotspots unless you have confirmed local superiority and contingency for logistics and extraction.
Closing assessment
- Mya is currently a severe volatility low‑sec flashpoint. The confirmed Loki fleet action on 2025‑11‑07 elevates the systemic risk for all ship classes and activities. Operators in Mya should weigh mission value against a demonstrably high chance of encountering both organized fleet-level attacks and persistent opportunistic ganking.
EIN will continue to monitor pattern shifts; use the time windows and threat signatures above when planning operations in-system.