Mannar – 2025-11-13
Threat Level: HIGH (Spiked) — Lowsec: Mannar (Everyshore)
Summary
- Between 2025-11-07 and 2025-11-11 data shows a highly coordinated Black Ops strike concentrated on Saturday 2025-11-08, producing multiple rapid kills of support cruisers and T3/BC-class ships.
- Peak danger is tightly time-boxed: Saturday 07:50 – 09:15 UTC. Outside that window Mannar returns to typical Lowsec risk levels, but remains intermittently dangerous.
Observed events and tactics (selected)
- 07:50:15–07:50:22 UTC — Three Ospreys destroyed in near-simultaneous strikes by groups of Redeemer (Black Ops BS) with Force Recon support.
- 08:13–08:30 UTC — Arazu (Force Recon) and Tengu (Strategic Cruiser) eliminated by Redeemer-heavy teams; Manticore stealth bomber present during the Tengu kill.
- 08:29–08:41 UTC — Naga (BC) and Loki (Strategic Cruiser) destroyed or removed in follow-up strikes; mixed cleanup engagements continued through ~09:11 UTC.
- Attack composition: core of multiple Redeemers (3–5 Black Ops BS) supported by Force Recon (Arazu), ECM/ew (Celestis), stealth bombers (Manticore), and command/utility destroyers. Analyst-identified recurring operators include: Ronnie Cordova, Krimson Serenity, Hippaforalkus Alteranus, CaptainSarge (Redeemer pilots).
- Tactics indicate covert jump capability (covert cynos / Black Ops entrances), high-alpha collapse on high-value targets, EW to suppress responses, and bombing/interdiction support for denial and rapid kill.
What this means for pilots
- Mannar is effectively a "deathtrap" for strategic cruisers, battlecruisers and support cruisers during the Saturday 07:50–09:15 UTC window. Redeemer-heavy gangs can alpha down T3s and BCs before local response arrives.
- Presence of Force Recon, ECM and bombers increases the chance of trap, interdiction and suppressed countermeasures.
- Non-peak times are lower risk than the spike window, but remain standard Lowsec danger.
Recommended immediate actions (rooted in observed data)
- Avoid Mannar entirely during the peak window: Saturday 07:50–09:15 UTC (UTC).
- Do not light covert cynos or attempt carrier/Black Ops movement through Mannar during this window — the attackers demonstrate covert jump capability and will exploit cynos.
- Do not transit with strategic cruisers, battlecruisers, support/logi cruisers, or other high-value/vulnerable hulls during the spike window.
- If you must be in-system during peak hours: stay cloaked, aligned, and ready to warp out immediately. Assume hostile Black Ops can appear with minimal warning.
- Gate and warp points are high-risk: use extreme caution, high readiness to cloak/warp, and avoid lingering on gates. Expect bombs and interdiction tactics.
- If you detect force recon/ECM (Arazu, Celestis) on grid, treat the area as hostile and withdraw — EW presence correlates with Black Ops strikes in this spike.
Ship and fitting guidance (based on attacker profiles)
- Avoid flying vulnerable or high-value strategic/BC hulls alone in Mannar during the peak window.
- If operating in or near Mannar outside peak hours:
- Use strong sensor and target redundancy (ECCM, signal amplifiers) where possible to mitigate ECM effects.
- Scout with cloaky cov-ops or covert cyno-denial tactics only outside the identified window — but do not provoke or light cynos inside the system during peak hours.
- Consider fast, small hulls that can warp off quickly and avoid grid fights rather than attempting to brawl.
- Do not rely on local support arriving fast enough to counter a fully committed Black Ops alpha strike.
Operational note
- The spike demonstrates a professional Black Ops gang employing Redeemers supported by recon/ECM and bombers to obtain rapid, decisive kills. The pattern is temporally concentrated and highly lethal; treating the window as a temporary no-fly period is the safest course.
Closing
- Mannar is presently dominated by a Redeemer-led Black Ops threat during the Saturday 07:50–09:15 UTC window. Reroute or reschedule high-value transit operations to avoid this period; exercise extreme caution if you choose to operate in-system at any time.