Everyshore Intelligence Network

EIN-Advisory — Mannar: Extreme Black Ops & Covert Gank Activity (2025-10-30 → 2025-11-02)

System: Mannar
Region: Everyshore
Assessment Period: 2025-10-30 to 2025-11-02
Threat Level: Extremely High (4.5 / 5.0) — Capital and high-value small/industrial ships at extreme risk

Executive Summary

Recent killmail traffic in Mannar shows a coordinated Black Ops Battleship force (Redeemer / Sin group) conducting a rapid alpha strike that destroyed a Phoenix-class dreadnought and its capsule. Concurrently, cloaked/specialist ships (Tengu, Cenotaph, Vulture) executed opportunistic interdictions against explorers and haulers. Mannar is currently being used as an active engagement zone or trap for high-value targets. Assume covert surveillance, covert cyno capability, and coordinated aggression in-system.

Observed Incidents (Key Data)

• 2025-10-30 03:13 UTC — Tengu vs Astero (opportunistic covert kill)
• 2025-10-30 04:36 UTC — Multiple Black Ops Battleships (Redeemer / Sin) vs Phoenix (dreadnought destroyed) — high-damage alpha strike
• 2025-10-30 04:37 UTC — Sin finished capsule (follow-up)
• 2025-11-02 18:05 UTC — Cenotaph + Vulture vs Mammoth (industrial interdiction)

Temporal pattern: major operations observed around ~04:00 UTC (deep USTZ / early EUTZ) and ~18:00 UTC (EUTZ prime). The 04:00 action appears planned and highly organized.

Principal Threats (Observed)

1. Black Ops Fleet (Redeemer / Sin group) — guaranteed-death capability vs capitals through rapid alpha + covert jump (Real Threat 5.0)
2. Cenotaph (pilot: Sick Artley) — covert-cloaked Battlecruiser used in hauler interdiction (Threat 3.5)
3. Tengu (pilot: Aladar Krahn) — covert roamer capable of hunting explorers (Threat 2.5)
4. Redeemer elements — heavy Amarr Black Ops alpha damage (Threat 5.0)
5. Sin elements — Gallente Black Ops / covert jump support and heavy DPS (Threat 4.5)
6. Vulture (pilot: Alexis glavor) — command/logistics support for organized interdictions (Threat 3.0)

(Names drawn from observed killmails during the analysis window.)

Tactical Assessment

• Black Ops groups are fielding 10+ Black Ops Battleships and used covert cynos/Black Ops jump capability to appear directly on targets. This allows near-instantaneous, overwhelming alpha damage to Capitals and poorly defended high-value ships.
• Cloaked T3Cs and combat battlecruisers are actively patrolling for industrial and explorer targets; these ships can remain unseen on gates, in belts, or inside anomaly grids until they strike.

Recommended Actions (Rooted to Observed Activity)

General

• Treat Mannar as hostile to Capitals and vulnerable subcaps until further notice. Do not assume safety because of low local traffic.
• Heightened vigilance windows: 04:00 UTC and 18:00 UTC. Exercise maximum caution during these times.

Capital & Supercapital Pilots

• Immediately suspend capital operations (dreadnoughts, carriers) in Mannar. The Black Ops fleet demonstrated the ability to kill a Phoenix rapidly.
• Avoid staging, bridging, or cyno-ing caps into Mannar. Do not light cynos in-system if you can avoid it — covert cyno-capable attackers will exploit any signature.
• If you must transit, use trusted jump routes through known-safe systems outside Mannar or delay movement.

Industrial / Haulers

• Do not transit Mannar in slow, non-aligning haulers (e.g., Mammoth) without a high-alpha contingency plan.
• Fit high-align rigs and modules, and prepare for immediate warp-out. Avoid MTUs or long stops in belts/staging areas. Travel in convoys with scouts in adjacent systems if possible.

Explorers & Scouts

• Do not assume an Astero or covert scout can operate unescorted. Tengu-class rovers are active.
• Keep probes tucked, stay aligned, and be ready to warp instantly. Prefer bookmarks at safe spots tied to rapid egress routes.

Local Subcapital/Transit Pilots

• Assume gates, stations, belts and commonly used anomaly grids are watched by cloaked ships. Use warp-in bookmarks and avoid orbital/structure camping.
• If you encounter a scout or bait (unusually vulnerable signature), withdraw — it may be deliberate to pin a larger target.

Combat Roamers / Defenders

• Expect a Black Ops fleet operating with coherent command (Sin as coherer/cyno generator + Redeemer heavy alpha + Vulture command support). Unprepared defensive responses to a fully committed Black Ops engagement will fail.
• If you attempt to contest, ensure your force can counter covert cynos and handle massive alpha damage — contingencies must include pre-scouting of potential cyno systems and denial of cynos if possible.

Intel Hygiene & Risk Mitigation

• Avoid lighting any tactical beacons (cynos, jump bridges) inside Mannar.
• Do not leave high-value ships unattended at stations or in anomaly pockets.
• If you must operate, force predictable patterns onto your ops (scheduled movement, scouts outside system) to reduce surprise vectors.

Bottom Line / Immediate Warnings

• CAPITAL ALERT: Do not deploy or operate dreadnoughts/capitals in Mannar at this time — observed Black Ops alpha strike capability is proven.
• COVERT THREAT: Cloaked T3Cs and covert-capable battlecruisers are actively hunting explorers and haulers. Treat all common camping points as compromised.
• VULNERABLE TIMES: Heightened danger around 04:00 UTC and 18:00 UTC. Plan movement and operations around these windows when possible.

EIN will continue to monitor killmail trends and threat patterns. Use the above precautions when planning any operations involving Mannar; the current risk to high-value ships and slow industrial traffic is severe.