Mannar – 2025-10-31
EIN-Advisory: Mannar — Elevated Risk; Black Ops & Dedicated Hunters Active (Threat 3.5/5.0)
Date: 2025-10-31
Region: Everyshore — System Mannar (Low-Sec)
Summary
- Current system threat: Moderate to severe. Analyst rating: 3.5/5.0 overall, with episodic guaranteed-lethality during confirmed Black Ops activity.
- Two distinct hostile behaviors observed:
- Persistent solo/duo hunter "Aladar Krahn" (Garmur, Tengu) preying on miners, explorers and small combat vessels during late-night UTC hours.
- A rare but highly dangerous coordinated Black Ops strike (Redeemer / Sin Black Ops Battleships) that has already destroyed a high-value capital-class target.
Confirmed temporal danger window
- High-risk window (avoid if possible): 23:00 – 05:00 UTC (peak late-night / early-morning activity).
- Notable confirmed times:
- Tuesday 00:00–01:30 UTC — serial solo/duo hunting (Aladar Krahn)
- Wednesday 03:00–04:40 UTC — coordinated Black Ops drop (Redeemer / Sin) — near-certain loss for expensive ships
Actors & Targets
- Aladar Krahn: highly active solo/duo hunter using fast tackle and hit-and-run platforms (Garmur, Tengu). Targets: Ventures, Astero/Explorers, frigates/destroyers, exposed industrials.
- Black Ops Strike Force: multiple attackers (incl. named groups in analyst raw data) using Redeemer / Sin Black Ops Battleships. Targets: high-value assets — capitals, rorquals, jump freighter staging, citadels. Presence implies cyno infrastructure and prepared strike capability.
Risk guidance (rooted in analyst data)
- Small / light targets (miners, scouts, single-fit explorers) are at high risk during the 23:00–05:00 UTC window due to Krahn-style interdiction.
- High-value and capital assets face existential risk if Black Ops elements are present — avoid any capital/rorqual/jump-freighter transits while Redeemer/Sin elements are seen or suspected.
- Lone transit through Mannar is high-risk outside safe hours; the system is not recommended as a staging point for high-value operations while current behavior persists.
Recommended precautions (actionable)
- Avoid Mannar during the 23:00–05:00 UTC window whenever possible. Wednesday mornings (~03:00–04:40 UTC) are especially dangerous.
- Do not move capitals, rorquals, jump freighters or other high-value assets through Mannar while Black Ops presence is plausible or observed.
- If you must transit:
- Travel in numbers; avoid lone movement. Small gangs deter or blunt solo hunters.
- Use scouts/covert scouts ahead of a planned transit to check for interdiction forces and cyno activity.
- Fit for escape: keep align times short, maintain instant-warp bookmarks, and carry cloaks for explorers/haulers where applicable.
- For miners: consider mining in fleets with escorts, minimize time in belts/rocks during high-risk hours, and dock when inactive.
- For haulers/mission runners: use smaller, faster ships or split cargo; insure high-value hulls appropriately; delay deliveries if possible.
- If you detect a cynosural or a Black Ops bridge in system: treat that as immediate and extreme danger — immediately set for safe warp/bookmark and evacuate by any available method. Presence of Redeemer/Sin indicates an organized capital-capable strike.
Intelligence note (analyst-derived)
- The current pattern indicates a bifurcated threat: persistent low-intensity hunting by a dedicated solo/duo (high frequency), and a rarer but catastrophic Black Ops capability capable of striking capitals and high-value staging. Both elements have been observed within the last reporting period.
EIN Threat Level: 3.5 / 5.0 (localized severe spikes to 5.0 when Black Ops elements are active)
This advisory is based solely on the intelligence analysis provided for Mannar dated 2025-10-31. Adjust operations accordingly and avoid high-value activity in-system until threat patterns subside.