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Mannar

Mannar – 2025-10-31

EIN-Advisory: Mannar — Elevated Risk; Black Ops & Dedicated Hunters Active (Threat 3.5/5.0)

Date: 2025-10-31
Region: Everyshore — System Mannar (Low-Sec)

Summary

  • Current system threat: Moderate to severe. Analyst rating: 3.5/5.0 overall, with episodic guaranteed-lethality during confirmed Black Ops activity.
  • Two distinct hostile behaviors observed:
    1. Persistent solo/duo hunter "Aladar Krahn" (Garmur, Tengu) preying on miners, explorers and small combat vessels during late-night UTC hours.
    2. A rare but highly dangerous coordinated Black Ops strike (Redeemer / Sin Black Ops Battleships) that has already destroyed a high-value capital-class target.

Confirmed temporal danger window

  • High-risk window (avoid if possible): 23:00 – 05:00 UTC (peak late-night / early-morning activity).
  • Notable confirmed times:
    • Tuesday 00:00–01:30 UTC — serial solo/duo hunting (Aladar Krahn)
    • Wednesday 03:00–04:40 UTC — coordinated Black Ops drop (Redeemer / Sin) — near-certain loss for expensive ships

Actors & Targets

  • Aladar Krahn: highly active solo/duo hunter using fast tackle and hit-and-run platforms (Garmur, Tengu). Targets: Ventures, Astero/Explorers, frigates/destroyers, exposed industrials.
  • Black Ops Strike Force: multiple attackers (incl. named groups in analyst raw data) using Redeemer / Sin Black Ops Battleships. Targets: high-value assets — capitals, rorquals, jump freighter staging, citadels. Presence implies cyno infrastructure and prepared strike capability.

Risk guidance (rooted in analyst data)

  • Small / light targets (miners, scouts, single-fit explorers) are at high risk during the 23:00–05:00 UTC window due to Krahn-style interdiction.
  • High-value and capital assets face existential risk if Black Ops elements are present — avoid any capital/rorqual/jump-freighter transits while Redeemer/Sin elements are seen or suspected.
  • Lone transit through Mannar is high-risk outside safe hours; the system is not recommended as a staging point for high-value operations while current behavior persists.

Recommended precautions (actionable)

  • Avoid Mannar during the 23:00–05:00 UTC window whenever possible. Wednesday mornings (~03:00–04:40 UTC) are especially dangerous.
  • Do not move capitals, rorquals, jump freighters or other high-value assets through Mannar while Black Ops presence is plausible or observed.
  • If you must transit:
    • Travel in numbers; avoid lone movement. Small gangs deter or blunt solo hunters.
    • Use scouts/covert scouts ahead of a planned transit to check for interdiction forces and cyno activity.
    • Fit for escape: keep align times short, maintain instant-warp bookmarks, and carry cloaks for explorers/haulers where applicable.
    • For miners: consider mining in fleets with escorts, minimize time in belts/rocks during high-risk hours, and dock when inactive.
    • For haulers/mission runners: use smaller, faster ships or split cargo; insure high-value hulls appropriately; delay deliveries if possible.
  • If you detect a cynosural or a Black Ops bridge in system: treat that as immediate and extreme danger — immediately set for safe warp/bookmark and evacuate by any available method. Presence of Redeemer/Sin indicates an organized capital-capable strike.

Intelligence note (analyst-derived)

  • The current pattern indicates a bifurcated threat: persistent low-intensity hunting by a dedicated solo/duo (high frequency), and a rarer but catastrophic Black Ops capability capable of striking capitals and high-value staging. Both elements have been observed within the last reporting period.

EIN Threat Level: 3.5 / 5.0 (localized severe spikes to 5.0 when Black Ops elements are active)

This advisory is based solely on the intelligence analysis provided for Mannar dated 2025-10-31. Adjust operations accordingly and avoid high-value activity in-system until threat patterns subside.

Recent Advisories

Mannar – 2025-11-18

TL 3.5

Current state in Mannar (Low-Sec, Everyshore) shows professional solo-to-small‑gang hunters using high-end hulls like Ishtar, Vagabond, Enforcer, and Hecate targeting cheap frigates and combat cruisers. Activity concentrates in primetime on weekdays between 18:00 and 23:00 UTC (peaking around 21:00–22:00), with Sien Motsu, Znuts Aurgnet, and Tasaro Sunji identified as the leading threats.

Mannar – 2025-11-17

TL 3.5

Mannar is experiencing a concentrated hunter-killer pattern targeting solo and lightly-equipped pilots in Low-Sec. Skilled solo attackers in HACs and Force Recon ships ambush and destroy targets during a narrow daily window, frequently destroying capsules.

Mannar – 2025-11-16

TL 3.5

Mannar (Everyshore) in Low-Sec is currently an active hunting ground where experienced HACs and a Force Recon Enforcer have been carrying out coordinated killings, tallying five ship kills with capsule double-taps from 11–14 Nov. The observed attackers—Sien Motsu (Ishtar HAC), Znuts Aurgnet (Enforcer), and Tasaro Sunji (Vagabond HAC)—operate in peak window 21:00–22:00 UTC on weeknights (Tue/Wed/Fri), indicating a scalable ambush pattern and a no-survivors approach.

Mannar – 2025-11-15

TL 3.5

Mannar shows a pattern of targeted, professional-level aggression concentrated in a late-evening window (21:00–22:03 UTC) with two multi-kill events observed this week. The attackers—Vagabond, Ishtar HACs and an Enforcer—are actively hunting pods and destroying capsules, with an overall threat rating of High Danger (4.23) for solo pilots during this window.

Mannar – 2025-11-14

TL 3.5

An ongoing Mannar gank campaign centered on 2025-11-08 saw Redeemer-led alpha-strikes against cruisers, strategics, and industrials, with an extended early-morning spike (07:50–09:12 UTC) and rapid follow-on counter-brawls. Despite Mannar's High-Sec designation in source data, behavior mirrors low-Sec style activity, so transit should be treated with heightened caution and escorted movements.

Mannar – 2025-11-13

TL 3.5

Mannar is currently under a high-intensity Black Ops spike, with Redeemer-led groups conducting rapid, high-value kills of cruisers and battleships within a narrow Saturday window. The peak danger runs 07:50–09:15 UTC, after which risk returns toward baseline but remains intermittently dangerous.

Mannar – 2025-11-12

TL 3.5

Mannar (Low-Sec, Everyshore) is under a concentrated Black Ops hot-drop campaign on 2025-11-08 led by Redeemer-class forces with Arazu support and stealth bombers, signaling organized, high-capacity strikes. Peak activity occurred 07:50–09:15 UTC, driving a CRITICAL threat level (4.0–5.0) with an advisory window from 07:00–10:00 UTC and guidance for covert cynos and rapid warp-off.

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