Mannar – 2025-10-30
Source: Everyshore Intel Network — Intelligence Summary for Mannar (reporting period 2025-10-24 to 2025-10-30)
SUMMARY
- Overall threat rating for Mannar: 3.5 — High Danger (localized events reach 5.0).
- Two persistent and distinct threat profiles active in-system:
- Large Barghest/Command-ship style fleets (mass alpha, capital/near-capital interdiction).
- Small, highly efficient Garmur/Tholos roaming gangs (serial kills on explorers/miners/haulers).
- Peak activity window: 00:00–05:00 UTC (late NA → early EU overlap). Thursday/Friday windows are particularly hazardous.
- Key documented spikes:
- 2025-10-24 00:45–00:48 UTC — Massive Barghest fleet (Loki targets).
- 2025-10-28 00:44–01:24 UTC — Significant Garmur spike (multiple hulls + capsules).
- 2025-10-30 04:36–04:37 UTC — Redeemer/Sin command fleet gank on Phoenix (capital-class loss).
WHAT TO WATCH FOR (INDICATORS OF IMMINENT DANGER)
- Two or more battleships visible on D‑scan: assume Barghest/Redeemer fleet presence and retreat immediately.
- Multiple command/battle‑class ships or Black Ops signatures in local or on D‑scan: capital-level interdiction is likely.
- Solo/small-ship hunters (Garmur/Tholos) active when Ventures, Astero, or other explorer/miner hulls appear on grid or in local.
- Repeated returns to the same roam/field by a single pilot after loss (victim behavior) — persistent hunters will capitalize on predictable patterns.
MAIN THREAT ACTORS (observed)
- The Mannar Barghest Fleet (Mapache Doom / RobinAnne / CaseyLP, et al.) — Organized Barghest + E‑war support; high alpha and coordination; real_thread 5.0 when active.
- Redeemer/Sin Command Fleet (Skill Issue Detected / Perfect Counter, et al.) — Command ship/Black Ops combinations capable of decisive capital/interdiction ganks.
- Aladar Krahn & associates (Garmur/Tengu and Tholos support) — persistent, high-efficiency small-ship hunters targeting Ventures, Astero, and light frigates.
ADVISORY — ACTIONABLE RECOMMENDATIONS (ROOTED IN THE INTEL ABOVE)
For pilots moving high-value or slow ships (Strategic Cruisers, Dreadnoughts, capitals):
- Do not transit Mannar during the 00:00–05:00 UTC window if at all avoidable; Thursday and Friday nights are highest risk.
- Avoid routing capital or sluggish ships through Mannar entirely while Barghest / Redeemer activity is observed. The October 30 Phoenix loss demonstrates active interdiction capability.
- If a transit is unavoidable: travel only with a prepared escort fleet and scouts. Assume hostile intel and quick-react strike capability; do not dock in Mannar while moving large assets.
For haulers, miners, and explorers (Venture / Astero / solo small ships):
- Avoid solo mining/exploration in Mannar during peak hours. The Garmur/Tholos teams exploit predictable, slow targets.
- Use cloaky/covert options (covert ops ships, cloaks) or operate with at least one scout/escort. Do not assume a single warp cloak is sufficient against rapid, skilled hunters.
- Do not repeatedly return to the same location following a loss. The report shows a high-value pattern of repeat victimization (multiple kills of the same pilot).
For combat roams and local operatives:
- If you detect 2+ battleships or command ships on D‑scan, break contact and leave the grid — these are organized alpha strikes.
- Be mindful that Tholos/Command Destroyer support enables capsule kills; salvage of pods is contested.
- Expect both large-setpiece ganks and small-scale roaming ambushes in close temporal proximity (mass spikes and recurring low-level hunting).
For station/dock operations:
- Keep valuable assets docked during the identified high-risk window unless under fleet protection.
- Reconsider undocking or re-ship plans that require entering open grid during peak times.
RISK SNAPSHOT
- High-value slow targets (strategic cruisers, dreadnoughts, capitals): 5.0 risk during fleet events.
- Small/solo explorers and miners (Venture, Astero, frigates): 4.0 risk from persistent roaming hunters.
- Random travelers and pods: Significant risk of capsule loss, especially when Tholos support is present.
CONCLUSION
Mannar is actively contested with both large, organized fleet forces and expert small-ship hunters. The combination of high-alpha Barghest/Redeemer strikes and persistent Garmur/Tholos roaming teams creates a layered threat environment. Plan operations around the 00:00–05:00 UTC window, avoid predictable behavior, and treat sightings of multiple battleships or command ships on D‑scan as immediate danger signals.
Everyshore Intel Network — Mannar Advisory complete.