Everyshore Intelligence Network

EIN-Advisory — Mannar: High-Risk Corridor; Barghest Fleet and Persistent Garmur Hunter Active

Date: 2025-10-28 (analysis timestamp)

Summary

• Threat Level: 4.5 / 5.0 — High risk to guaranteed loss for unprepared traffic.
• Two distinct, active threat groups operating in Mannar:
  1. A coordinated Barghest battleship fleet conducting concentrated strikes on Strategic Cruisers (Guaranteed Death for engaged T3s).
  2. A recurring solo/duo roamer using Garmur (with occasional Tholos support) relentlessly targeting miners and light targets.
• Primary danger windows: Thursday → Friday UTC 00:00–01:00 (fleet operation) and early-morning/off‑peak windows clustered around Sunday/Monday/Tuesday UTC midnight–04:00 (roamer activity).

What we observed (intelligence highlights)

• Barghest Swarm (Highest Threat)

  • Composition: Barghest battleships supported by interdictors (Huginn, Lachesis, Onyx) and command ships (Claymore).
  • Impact: Eliminated four Loki strategic cruisers and multiple pods/capsules in a concentrated strike.
  • Time signature: Thursday/Friday transition (roughly UTC 00:45–00:48).
  • Attribution: Fleet appears to be organized Nullsec activity. Individual operators observed include Mapache Doom, RobinAnne, CaseyLP, Timothy Baldur, Chtonic Algaert, Plutus Astraeus, Hippoaforalkus Alteranus, Master leeho sumtingwong, Captain Leeho sumtingwong, among others. No confirmed alliance tag available in the provided data.
  • Real Threat Level: 5.0 — Any T3 cruiser or similarly valuable ship is effectively a guaranteed kill if engaged by this force.

• Persistent Hunter (Solo/Duo)

  • Primary actors: Aladar Krahn (Garmur) with support from Cadhla Dioltas (Tholos).
  • Targets: Mining frigates/industrial ships (Venture, Endurance, Covetor) and low-value PvE/entry-level combat ships (Atron, Vexor, Tristan).
  • Behavior: Aggressive, repetitive hunting of the same victims (example: six kills on a single pilot “holopikaci” in ~45 minutes).
  • Time signature: Early-morning clusters — notably Tue 04:00 UTC and Sunday/Monday/Tuesday midnight windows (UTC 00:44–01:24).
  • Real Threat Level: 3.5–4.0 — Significant danger to lone miners and extreme danger to light combat ships.

• Isolated/Opportunistic Activity

  • Additional kills (Leshak, Covetor, Vexor, a lone Confessor) indicate opportunistic roams and late-night activity beyond the two main threads; lower sustained threat but confirms general hostility in-system.

Operational Advisories (for pilots operating in or transiting Mannar)

• Avoidance is the safest option
  • Do not use Mannar for transit, staging, or mining unless mission-critical. If you can reroute, do so — particularly between 00:00–02:00 UTC on Thursdays into Fridays and during the listed off-peak windows for the roamer.
• Do not bring T3 cruisers or other high-value hulls through Mannar during the Barghest window
  • The Barghest swarm is capable of rapid, decisive kills against Loki-class and similar ships. Move such assets only with overwhelming allied force and established local superiority.
• Miners and industrial pilots
  • Avoid solo mining operations in citadel/asteroid belts within Mannar during off-peak hours. The Garmur hunter is actively farming miners and support ships.
  • If mining must occur, operate in well-escorted groups and limit exposure times. Do not leave ships unattended.
• Transit and travel recommendations
  • If forced to transit, prefer small, fast, align-warp fit frigates that can warp out quickly; consider two‑to‑three ship convoy escorts.
  • Use safe alignment, instant-warp tactics, and bookmark your safespots outside main belts and gates. Expect aggressive pursuit from a Garmur; travel-fit frigates or warp core stabs alone will not guarantee safety against battleship fleets.
• Fleet operations
  • If planning fleet action in Mannar, schedule outside the documented high-risk windows and ensure you have adequate counter‑interdictor and rapid‑response capacity against Barghest-class battleships.
• D-scan and intel hygiene
  • Maintain active D-scan discipline on gate/citadel approach and belts during the known patterns (especially Thu/Fri 00:00–01:00 UTC and early-morning roamer windows).
  • Assume the presence of covert interdictors and command support during the Barghest window.

Threat Matrix (concise)

• Barghest Swarm (organized battleship fleet) — Threat: 5.0 — Active Thu→Fri ~00:45 UTC — targets T3/strategic cruisers.
• Aladar Krahn (Garmur) ± Cadhla Dioltas (Tholos) — Threat: 3.5–4.0 — Off-peak nightly windows — targets miners and small ships.
• Opportunistic roams/cruiser vs. cruiser activity — Threat: 2.5–3.0 — sporadic, lower-intensity but present.

Closing assessment
Mannar is currently a high-risk system with two persistent-pattern threats: a professional Nullsec Barghest fleet operating predictable weekly windows and a dedicated solo/duo hunter preying on miners and light traffic in off-peak hours. Exercise extreme caution — avoidance is the recommended default; if operations are unavoidable, plan for escorts, strict timing awareness, and reduced exposure of high-value hulls.