Mannar – 2025-10-27
Classification: IMMEDIATE ACTION (Elevated Threat Level)
Deployment window: 2025-10-21 → 2025-10-27
Analyst: [Your Alias]
System type: Low-Sec (Everyshore) — apply extra caution for non-secure travel
Current Threat Rating — Mannar
Overall Threat Level (Mannar): 3.5 — Elevated Hostility / Organized Gang Activity
Acute Danger Window (confirmed): 00:00–02:00 UTC (USTZ → early EUTZ transition). Specific peak: 2025-10-24, 00:45–00:48 UTC (Real Threat Level 5.0 — near-certain kill for exposed/high-value hulls).
Executive Summary (what changed)
Mannar has escalated from opportunistic predation into deliberate, organized gang warfare focused on Strategic Cruisers and high-value targets. The most dangerous element is a coordinated "Blaster Barghest" fleet (9+ Barghest Battleships) with EWAR (Huginn, Lachesis) and logistics (Claymore) support conducting fast, lethal gate-camp ambushes. These operations produce near-zero escape probability for intercepted Strategic Cruisers (e.g., Lokis, Legions).
Key Observations (intelligence-derived)
- Core fleet composition in the peak incidents: 9+ Barghest Battleships, supported by EWAR (Huginn, Lachesis) and logistics (Claymore). This is organized, repeated, and purpose-built for annihilating subcap strategic hulls.
- Peak activity is concentrated in the USTZ → early EUTZ transition (00:00–02:00 UTC), with confirmed mass ganking on Fri 24th 00:00–01:00 UTC.
- Attacks include both alpha strike capability (blaster Barghests) and sustain via logistics + EWAR, greatly reducing survivability of targets.
- Persistent solo/interceptor hunters are active on off-peak windows and pose a steady threat to industrials/miners.
Named High-Risk Actors & Tactics
- Blaster Barghest fleet (multiple kills: 130726355, 130726356, 130726358, 130726367, 130726377) — coordinated gate camp, heavy alpha + logistics/EWAR.
- waxenjoodaddy — Orthrus; effective threat vs industrials (130668904, 130668937).
- Znuts Aurgnet (Leshak) & Alexis glavor (Astarte) — small-gang DPS + logistics pair capable of taking down Strategic Cruisers (130702768).
- V1ctorovich — Vexor, opportunistic industrial hunter (130709856).
- Aladar Krahn — Garmur, high-speed frigate hunter of venturers (130802187).
- Unattributed Confessor loss (130745876) reinforces danger around the 00:00 UTC window (likely bubble/gate-camp involvement).
Time-Based Threat Table (UTC)
- Friday 24th — 00:00–01:00 — Mass ganking / Fleet operation — Real Threat Level 5.0 — AVOID. (Confirmed 10+ attacker fleet; Strategic Cruisers primary victims.)
- Tuesday 21st — 02:00–03:00 — Mining predation — Threat 3.0
- Wednesday 22nd — 07:00–08:00 — Isolated incident — Threat 1.0
- Wednesday 22nd — 19:00–20:00 — Cruiser engagement — Threat 3.5
- Thursday 23rd — 04:00–05:00 — Industrial predation — Threat 2.5
- Monday 27th — 01:00–02:00 — Industrial predation — Threat 2.5
Immediate Tactical Advisories (actionable, intelligence-rooted)
- Strategic Cruisers and other high-value, slow-to-react hulls: Do not transit Mannar during 00:00–02:00 UTC, especially on Friday 24th 00:00–01:00 UTC. The Barghest fleet has repeatedly intercepted such ships with near-certain kills.
- If you must operate in Mannar outside safe windows:
- Travel in organized fleets rather than solo; lone Strategic Cruisers are primary targets.
- Avoid gate-stacking. Do not linger on gates; assume gate camps are present in the 00:00–02:00 UTC window.
- Use cloaky scouts/warp-in scouts positioned in adjacent systems with a fast recall plan to detect and avoid fleet camps (scouting recommended prior to high-value movement).
- Avoid aligning and slow-boating through the system; keep alignment up and be ready to warp to a pre-cleared safe or station.
- Consider alternative routing and scheduling to circumvent Mannar entirely during peak times.
- Industrialists / Miners:
- Avoid undocking or hauling high-value cargo through Mannar during the USTZ/EUTZ transition window.
- If caught in-system during peak, stay docked or pre-position to safe locations rather than attempting through-system travel.
- Be aware of solo hunters (Orthrus, Vexor, Garmur) active during off-peak hours — keep bookmarks and scouts.
- Combat pilots:
- Do not engage Barghest mass fleets alone or in under-prepared gangs; the presence of dedicated logistics and EWAR makes attrition against them ineffective unless prepared with counter-logistics/overwhelming force.
- If intent on contesting these forces, bring dedicated EWAR denial, long-range tackle, and sufficient logistics; expect heavy incoming alpha damage and sustained DPS.
What to expect if engaged
- Rapid alpha from blaster Barghests with EWAR degrading remote repairs and targeting — high chance of instantaneous hull loss for strategic cruisers.
- Logistics (Claymore) extends engagement survivability for attackers, turning ambushes into sustained kills; reinforcements can be present quickly.
- Solo/interceptor hunters will exploit stragglers, aligned miners, and unescorted industrials in quieter windows.
Known Recent Incidents (reference)
- Mass Barghest strikes — Kill IDs: 130726355, 130726356, 130726358, 130726367, 130726377 (2025-10-24, 00:45–00:48 UTC).
- waxenjoodaddy (Orthrus) — Kill IDs: 130668904, 130668937 (2025-10-21, 02:33–02:34 UTC).
- Znuts Aurgnet (Leshak) & Alexis glavor (Astarte) — Kill ID: 130702768 (2025-10-22, 19:29 UTC).
- V1ctorovich (Vexor) — Kill ID: 130709856 (2025-10-23, 04:20 UTC).
- Aladar Krahn (Garmur) — Kill ID: 130802187 (2025-10-27, 01:46 UTC).
- Confessor loss (unattributed) — Kill ID: 130745876 (2025-10-24, 23:43 UTC).
Bottom Line
Mannar is currently a hotspot for organized, high-lethality gate-camp operations centered on Barghest fleets. The single most actionable mitigation is to avoid transiting or operating in Mannar during the confirmed danger window (00:00–02:00 UTC)—do not move Strategic Cruisers through Mannar then. If you cannot avoid the system, only proceed in a prepared fleet with active scouting and escape contingencies.
EIN will continue monitoring for further changes in patterning and will update the advisory posture if the threat profile shifts.