Everyshore Intelligence Network

EIN Advisory — Mannar: Extreme Hazard; Organized Barghest Fleet Activity and Persistent Ganking (2025-10-19 → 10-24)

Status: Extreme Hazard — Current threat rating 4.5 / 5.0
System: Mannar (Everyshore Region — High‑Sec / Low‑Sec gateway)
Analysis period: 2025-10-19 to 2025-10-24

Executive summary

• Mannar has shifted from opportunistic ganks to coordinated, large‑scale hostile action. The most dangerous window is the late USTZ / early EUTZ transition centered around 00:00–02:30 UTC, with a secondary activity peak near 19:00 UTC.
• The defining incident: on 2025‑10‑24 at 00:45 UTC a highly organized attacking force (unattributed) composed of 10+ Barghests supported by recon/logistics and tackle ships destroyed four T3 Cruisers (Lokis) in under three minutes. This demonstrates rapid, deliberate T3C hunting capability staged through Mannar.
• Mining and exploration vessels remain routinely vulnerable to fast, opportunistic ganks (Orthrus, Vexor, small cloaky gangs). Mannar is actively used as a hunting ground and transit choke point.

Recent high‑severity incidents (high level)

• 2025‑10‑24 00:45 UTC — Massed Barghest fleet (10+ Barghests + Claymore, Huginn, Lachesis, Onyx) vs T3C fleet (4x Loki) — Result: multiple T3C losses. (Threat 5.0) — Attacking force unattributed.
• 2025‑10‑22 19:29 UTC — Leshak + Astarte vs Legion (T3C) — High‑damage cruiser hunting. (Threat 4.0)
• 2025‑10‑21 02:33 UTC — Orthrus gank on Retriever + pod kill — Opportunistic, fast gank. (Threat 3.5)
• 2025‑10‑23 04:20 UTC — Vexor solo gank on Covetor — Solo opportunistic gank. (Threat 3.0)
• 2025‑10‑19 06:34 UTC — Astero + Loki cloaky patrol vs Endurance frigate — Covert interdiction. (Threat 2.5)
• 2025‑10‑22 07:18 UTC — Metamorphosis yacht lost (no attacker reported) — Background risk for very small, uncloaked targets. (Threat 1.5)

Pattern and timing

• Most dangerous window: 23:00–03:00 UTC (peak activity 00:00–01:00 UTC). Expect both organized fleet actions and fast ganks.
• Secondary peak: ~19:00 UTC (late EUTZ / early AUTZ) — focused, opportunistic attacks on high‑value targets.
• Lower but non‑zero risk: 04:00–07:30 UTC (solo ganks and cloaky patrols). Outside these windows risk decreases but does not disappear.

Advisory — recommended actions (rooted in observed intel)

• Avoid operating or transiting Mannar with high‑value or lightly defended ships between 23:00 and 03:00 UTC. This includes T3 Cruisers, fitted strategic cruisers, and standard mining hulls.
• Do not transit Mannar alone in T3Cs or other high‑value hulls at any time during observed peak windows. If movement cannot be delayed, move with coordinated fleet support (damage control/logistics/quick‑response tackle preferred).
• Miners: Retrievers and Covetors are confirmed targets. Either avoid mining in Mannar entirely or use significantly safer alternatives (escort, mining barges with local fleet support, or operate during lower‑risk daylight windows).
• Explorers and cloak users: Cloaky patrols and small hunter teams operate in early morning EUTZ. Maintain vigilance for cloaked tackle and avoid predictable behavior that leaves you on gate bookmarks or high‑value signatures during those hours.
• If you must travel with T3Cs through Mannar, plan for contingency: expect heavy missile/long‑range fleet compositions (Barghest type) and bring proper fleet logistics and EW counterplay. Unattributed, massed Barghest fleets can kill multiple T3Cs within minutes — triage or capital support is the only reliable counter in such encounters.
• Prefer routing alternatives where possible; Mannar functions as a gateway and staging point for aggressors. Stagger movement timing and avoid predictable schedules that match the observed peaks.

Operational note

• The Oct 24 Barghest action indicates a dedicated hunting or interdiction operation staged through Mannar rather than random roaming — treat the system as a deliberate tactical node for organized hostile fleets until further change in activity is observed. Attackers remain unattributed in open records; exercise extreme caution.

Summary recommendation
Treat Mannar as a high‑risk low‑sec gateway. Avoid routine mining or operations with vulnerable hulls; do not transit T3Cs alone during 23:00–03:00 UTC; if movement is unavoidable, move in organized force with logistics and tackle or delay until lower‑activity windows (roughly 08:00–18:00 UTC based on the analysis period).

Everyshore Intel Network will continue monitoring activity patterns and will issue updates if the threat posture in Mannar changes.