Mannar – 2025-10-14
Threat Level: MODERATE (spikes to HIGH during peak activity)
Summary
Mannar is low-sec and increasingly hazardous in predictable windows. Recent incidents show a mix of opportunistic ganks and targeted predation. Late-afternoon/early-evening is the most dangerous period; mid-morning has limited but notable hunter activity.
High-Risk Windows
- UTC 18:00–20:00 — Highest threat: coordinated attacks, shifting alliances, and predator presence.
- UTC 07:00–09:00 — Elevated risk from opportunistic solo hunters.
Top 6 Threat Profiles (highest danger first)
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Alexis glavor — Tholos (real_thread 4.5/5.0)
- Marauder-class; decisive predator active ~19:00–20:00. Near-guaranteed loss for most sub-capitals. Avoid unless in heavy, organized fleet.
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Estard Auduin — Augoror Navy Issue (3.5/5.0)
- Aggressive opportunist, active ~19:00–20:00. Dangerous especially with allies or in gang engagements.
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Bombardio Crocodilo — Vagabond (3.0/5.0)
- Fast HAC hunter ~18:00–19:00. Capable of ganking frigates and engaging larger targets with mobility.
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FadFea — Catalyst Navy Issue (2.5/5.0)
- High-DPS destroyer; mid-morning activity (~07:00–08:00). Effective at finishing weakened or isolated targets.
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Powny Black — Augoror Navy Issue / Capsule (1.5/5.0)
- Combat-capable but showed vulnerability; participates in fights but often on losing end.
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Kahn Q — Heron (1.0/5.0)
- Victim profile; her loss underscores general system risk for low-value/frigate activity.
Tactical Recommendations (rooted in observed behavior)
- Avoid prolonged presence in Mannar between UTC 18:00–20:00.
- Transit fast: use agile frigates/interceptors for gate runs; align/cloak bookmarks when possible.
- If carrying valuables, reroute or convoy with escorts; limit solo hauls during peak hours.
- Maintain constant D-scan and directional scan discipline; check grid and approach vectors before uncloaking.
- Treat unknown pilots in PvP hulls as hostile; assume hostility during peak windows.
- Solo explorers/mining should have an exit plan (safe spot, aligned warp-off) and minimize time on-grid.
- Prefer small fleets or a wingman for operations in-system; organized groups are the primary counter to marauder/HAC threats.
Closing
Mannar’s pattern shows experienced solo predators and opportunistic gangs exploiting predictable activity windows. Operate with heightened caution, plan transits to avoid the 18:00–20:00 spike, and favor mobility and fleet support over isolated plays.