Groothese – 2025-11-09
Executive Summary (TL;DR)
- Groothese (Low-Sec, Everyshore) is currently experiencing organized, multi-day predatory operations driven by Black Ops and Strategic Cruiser (T3C) forces.
- Overall Threat Level: 4.5 — Severe. Non-combat ships and lone/poorly defended combat vessels face extreme risk (5.0), particularly during the late EVE evening window (22:00–00:30 UTC) and across the Sunday→Monday transition.
- Aggressors employ covert jump-ins, cloaked scouts, and strong EWAR support. Expect little margin for escape once engaged.
Threat Breakdown (by target)
Target Profile Threat Level Rationale Industrial/Hauler (Tayra, Badger, Venture) 5.0 Repeatedly targeted; small Black Ops + T3C response is sufficient to guarantee kills. Battlecruiser/Destroyer (Talos, Kikimora) 4.0–4.5 Overwhelmed consistently by Black Ops and T3C/Recon support. Marauder (Kronos) 5.0 Hard-kill achieved using Black Ops and EWAR support; even hardened hulls are vulnerable.Temporal / Activity Pattern (UTC)
- Primary windows:
- Late EUTZ / Early USTZ (roughly 20:30–21:00 UTC and later) — activity includes Marauder and hauler strikes.
- Peak late evenings: 22:00–00:30 UTC — multiple kills cluster here, especially over Sundays→Mondays.
- Covert and rapid deployment capability (Redeemer, Panther, Marshal, Widow) means aggressors can appear with little warning.
Top Aggressors (Profiles)
Rank Character Role / Ship Utility Assessed Threat 1 Karl Rudolf Horse Black Ops DPS & support (Panther, Marshal) 5.0 2 Alexis glavor Black Ops & cruiser (Widow, Vigilant) 4.9 3 Sick Artley Versatile T3C hunter (Loki, Legion) 4.5 4 Jason Ozran EWAR & combat recon (Lachesis, Curse) 4.0 5 Znuts Aurgnet T3C / Force Recon support (Pilgrim, Proteus) 3.8 6 Panther Pilots Black Ops burst-DPS & covert deployment 4.7Operational Doctrine Observed
- Rapid covert insertion (Black Ops) followed by decisive overwheming force from T3C/Recons.
- Strong, consistent EWAR (Curse, Lachesis, Pilgrim) to prevent escape and ensure target kill.
- Cloaked scouts (Buzzard) and recon elements used for target acquisition and trap-setting.
- Target set is broad — small industrials to hardcore PvE hulls are being prosecuted.
Intelligence Caveats
- No clear main alliance affiliations are present in the available dataset; aggressors are identified at the character and ship level. Larger-battle alliance names are unknown from this report.
- All assessments above are based on the supplied Week 44 incident set for Groothese.
Tactical Recommendations (rooted in observed behavior)
- Non-combat pilots / Haulers: Do not operate routine industrial runs in Groothese during current conditions. Threat = Level 5.0. Postpone movement through Groothese or reroute via safer systems where practical. If transit is unavoidable, use extreme risk-mitigation measures (maximized alignment, insta-warp fits, use of discrete, low-value haulers) and avoid known peak windows (22:00–00:30 UTC and late-night Sunday→Monday).
- Combat pilots / Roamers: Do not solo or small-gang in Groothese unless you have parity in doctrine (Black Ops access, T3C/Recon EWAR & countermeasures) and coordinated backup ready to contest covert jump-ins. Expect EWAR suppression and warp-scramble webs; fits that rely on long engagement windows are at a disadvantage.
- Defensive Fleet Planning: If you must contest or operate here, prioritize:
- Rapid-lock, high-burst DPS capable of countering Black Ops alpha before EWAR can cripple response.
- EWAR redundancy and anti-ECM/anti-scram tools.
- Covert-scout denial and cyno scanning awareness (Black Ops still require a cyno to jump). Expect cloaked scouts; use detectors/warp-safe routines accordingly.
- Scouts & Gate Tactics: Use dedicated scouts with instant reporting routines (in-system) and assume cloaked reconnaissance is present. Avoid predictable gate-warp patterns; be prepared for bubble camps and covert jump-in spikes.
- High-value ships (Marauders, Capitals): Treat Groothese as hostile. Recent data shows effective kills against hardened ships — do not solo-run high-value PvE assets through this system.
Final Assessment
Groothese is an active hunting ground with proven Black Ops and T3C strike capability. The combined use of covert jump assets plus strong EWAR makes escapes unlikely once a target is locked in. Industrial activity is currently financially untenable without substantial escort and specialized countermeasures. Combat operations should be restricted to forces prepared to counter Black Ops and sustained EWAR dominance.
Stay aware of local times of activity and plan ops outside identified peak windows whenever possible.