Groothese – 2025-11-04
Summary: Groothese is currently rated HIGH THREAT (4.2/5.0). Over the week of 2025-10-30 → 2025-11-04 the system saw concentrated, high-skill aggression dominated by Strategic Cruisers (notably Lokis/Tengus), Black Ops Battleships (Panther / Redeemer / Marshal), and a Marauder (Babaroga). This is a hunting ground for coordinated, high-tier PvP groups. Unescorted industrials, solo T3s, and low-sec explorers are at extreme risk.
Immediate Warning
- Treat Groothese as extremely hazardous. Covert insertion (Black Ops / covert cynos) and stealth strike tactics are in active use. Assume cloaked scouts and covert jump capability are present.
- Do not transit unescorted in haulers, mining ships, or isolated T3Cs during EU/US prime hours.
Observed temporal danger windows (UTC)
- Daily highest risk: EU/US prime — roughly 14:00 → 01:00 UTC (most sustained high-tier activity).
- Notable spikes this analysis period:
- Thu 30 Oct (14:00–22:30): Loki / Ikitursa activity.
- Sat 01 Nov (17:25–17:45): Babaroga + Stealth Bombers — very high.
- Sun 02 Nov (19:00–22:30): Black Ops Fleet (Panther / Redeemer / Marshal) — high escalation.
- Mon 03 Nov (00:30 and 23:30): Continued Black Ops activity and late EU T3C/E-war gangs.
- Early UTC / AU windows see smaller, but capable, T3C solo operations.
Top active threat archetypes (what you will encounter)
- Black Ops Fleet Strike (Highest): Multiple Panthers/Marshal/Redeemer with covert support. Covert jump insertion + Buzzard scouts for rapid, high-damage drops — focused on high-value frig/cruiser/bc targets.
- Babaroga Marauder Ambush: Marauder with stealth bomber support — long-sustained damage and anti-support capability.
- Strategic Cruiser Dominance (Loki/Legion/Tengu): Persistent solo/small-group hunters capable of surgical kills.
- Covert Surgical Strike (Tholos + T3C): Cloaky destroyer + T3C for targeted assassinations.
- E-War/Brawl Gang (Legion + Lachesis + Vigilant): Control the fight with E-war + brawl tactics — high survivability vs. single ships.
- Fast Tackle Specialist (Garmur + Tengu): High-speed tackle to secure quick kills on small/fragile targets.
Victim profile
- Losses span from rookie frigates and industrials (Venture, Tayra, Procurer) to high-value T3Cs and battlecruisers. Aggressors attack opportunistically and indiscriminately.
Recommended tactics for transit and operations (rooted in analyst data)
- Avoid Solo/Unescorted Movement: Never move high-value cargo or mining/industrial ships through Groothese alone during prime hours.
- Use Covert/Scout Support: Travel with a scout (covert ops / cloaky) or a cyno-watch capable alt. Expect cloaked observers and covert cynos; a single Buzzard or scout can enable a Black Ops drop.
- Minimize Grid Time: Do not loiter on gates or in belts/plexes. Pre-align to safes, burn to gates, and keep warp-clock low.
- Fly Stealthy/Quick: If you must operate in-system, use covert or highly mobile hulls (covert ops frigates, interdiction-null frigates where appropriate) and consider fast-align fittings with minimal cargo/profile.
- Assume Black Ops: Black Ops presence implies a potential for cyno/cyno-bridge strikes. Avoid being the only significant target on-grid (no solo T3C/Battlecruiser sitting on a gate or belt).
- Counter E-war Awareness: If tackling or engaging, be prepared for Lachesis-style E-war and Legion track control; bring links or sufficient local support to deal with sensor damp/ECM effects.
- Hauler & Miner Actions: Use smaller stacks, multiple trips, or avoid Groothese entirely for high-value freight or large mining ops. Fit tank alone will not protect a hauler vs. coordinated Black Ops/Marauder action.
- Probe/D-scan Discipline: Regular, disciplined d-scan sweeps for cloaky/frigate signatures and orbiting ships. Do not assume safety from locals just because local is low or empty.
- Fleet/Engagement Caution: If baited into a fight, assume arrival of additional covert forces (bombers, Black Ops) — disengage if you cannot guarantee reinforcements or intel on possible covert drops.
Ship-specific notes
- Loki / Tengu / Legion (T3Cs): Treat any T3C on grid as high danger; they are operating both solo and in coordinated pairs.
- Panther / Redeemer / Marshal (Black Ops): Presence = potential instant heavy escalation via covert jump. High risk to BCs and T3s.
- Babaroga (Marauder) + Manticore: Can sustain and execute prolonged, high-damage fights; bombers suppress support / tackle.
- Tholos (Covert Destroyer): Cloaky surgical strikes with T3 backup — high kill efficiency.
- Garmur: Fast tackle specialist; expect quick catches on small ships.
Closing assessment
Groothese is a high-tier hunting ground. The combination of persistent T3C hunters and intermittent, but decisive, Black Ops/Marauder deployments makes this system unsafe for lone operators and industrial movements, particularly during EU/US prime time. Operate with extreme caution, reduce exposure time, and favor covert mobility and support when entering Groothese.