Groothese – 2025-10-31
Analyst: Everyshore Intel Network
Date: 2025-10-31
System: Groothese (Low-Sec, Everyshore Region)
Period Covered: 2025-10-24 → 2025-10-31
Executive Summary
- Groothese is assessed at an Elevated systemic threat (Real_Thread 3.0) with sustained, organized aggression against haulers, transports and transit pilots.
- 18 kills in 8 days (≈2.25 kills/day) indicate continuous opportunistic activity across multiple UTC windows.
- Primary aggressor: Aladar Krahn (Real_Thread 4.5). Other repeat threat actors: Mai Winter, Michel Ferran, Alexis glavor, Cadhla Dioltas, I WARG.
- Most dangerous operational windows: 03:00–05:00 UTC and 12:00–15:00 UTC. Assume aggressors are present at all other times as well.
Threat Highlights (rooted in analyst data)
- Targets: Haulers (Iteron, Hoarder, Miasmos, Tayra) and low-sec travelers (Ibis, VNI) are repeatedly targeted. Combat ships (VNI, fitted cruisers) have also been attacked.
- Attack platforms: Recurrent use of T3 Cruisers (Loki, Proteus, Tengu), Gnosis, Machariel, Garmur, Stabber F.I. — indicating experienced pilots and flexible small-gang doctrine.
- Known dangerous groupings: Gnosis + Proteus (Mai Winter + Michel Ferran) operate as an effective small skirmish squad capable of tackle + follow-up damage.
- Temporal pattern: Two predictable peaks — Late USTZ/Early EUTZ (03:00–05:00 UTC) and EUTZ Prime (12:00–15:00 UTC). Off-peak hours still show isolated high-value kills.
Critical Advisory Actions (must-follow if operating in/through Groothese)
- Avoid routine hauls and solo low-sec logistics through Groothese during the two peak windows:
- High risk: 03:00–05:00 UTC and 12:00–15:00 UTC.
- Treat all transit as hazardous at all times:
- Assume aggressors (notably Aladar Krahn and associates) are present and will engage unescorted industrials and vulnerable cruisers.
- If you must move cargo through Groothese:
- Prefer jump freighter transfers or move via alternate, less-exposed routings where operationally feasible.
- Consider timing moves outside the identified peak windows and vary transit times to avoid predictability.
- Use scouting/escort discipline:
- Run a covert scout or dedicated scout alt prior to moving high-value cargo.
- Prefer covert-capable logistcs/escorts or small escorts with tackle and DPS to contest T3s if ambushed.
- Do not travel in high-value solo combat ships unescorted:
- Aggressors have fielded Machariel, Garmur and T3Cs; alone you are at elevated risk.
- Expect EWAR/T3 presence during EUTZ prime:
- T3 Cruisers (Loki/Proteus/Tengu) are likely—plan counters with ECM/remote repair/transactional support or avoid engagement unless you have appropriate superior force.
Tactical Recommendations (fits & behavior — rooted in observed attacker types)
- Haulers/Carriers/Transport pilots:
- Use covert-capable haulers (where available) or move cargo via jump freighter chains if mission-critical.
- Always align to a safe, keep a pre-warp bookmark or celestial and don’t sit unaligned on scanables.
- Scouts / Escorts:
- Bring at least one fast covert scout (interceptor/Covert Ops) to check local + d-scan before committing.
- If escorting a transport, bring tackle + reliable burst DPS (to counter small-gang T3/medium threats) and a logistics or remote repair option if possible.
- Combat pilots:
- Avoid solo gate-camping into Groothese against known small gangs. If you intend to contest, bring a prepared gang capable of dealing with T3 electronic warfare and fleet resist profiles.
- General behavior:
- Vary transit timings and warp points; do not establish predictable routines.
- Treat anomalous kills (e.g., the Cheetah with no attackers) as potential logging anomalies but not as sign of safety — proceed with caution.
Observed Anomalies / Notes
- One kill (Cheetah) recorded without attackers — likely a logging anomaly or a non-standard loss. This should not be interpreted as a reduction in risk.
- Repeated use of high-skill ships (T3Cs, Machariel, Garmur) indicates aggressors will adapt; static counters may be insufficient.
Risk Rating: Elevated — Real_Thread 3.0 (system-wide).
Highest specific threat to haulers/transports: Real_Thread 4.5 when key actors are present.
EIN Advisory Conclusion
Groothese remains a high-activity low-sec transit point with organized and adaptable aggressors. Avoid non-essential movement through the system, do not run predictable hauls, and enforce strict scout/escort procedures for any high-value transits. Assume aggression at all hours, with pronounced danger during 03:00–05:00 UTC and 12:00–15:00 UTC.
— Everyshore Intel Network