Groothese – 2025-10-27
Date: 2025-10-27
Analyst Rating: Localized Threat 3.5 (peaks 4.5)
Executive Summary
- Groothese is experiencing sustained, concentrated ganking activity with predictable temporal patterns and a small number of repeat aggressors. This is beyond normal opportunistic High‑Sec harassment and presents a persistent kinetic risk to transiting pilots, haulers, and low-ISK ships.
- Peak danger windows: 01:00–04:00 UTC and 12:00–15:00 UTC. Tuesdays and Saturdays show the highest kill density.
Threat Windows (UTC)
Window Observed Focus Threat Level 01:00–04:00 Consistent ganking / hauler interceptions 4.0 06:00–09:00 Scouting / opportunistic picks (incl. cloaky targets) 2.5 12:00–15:00 Sustained, concentrated attacks (most kills) 4.5 17:00–20:00 Lower activity; occasional single-actor strikes 3.0Primary Aggressors (system-level)
- Aladar Krahn — Garmur / Machariel / Gnosis — Real_Thread: 4.5 — Primary and most dangerous actor; efficient at securing capsule kills. Active early morning and late night.
- Michel Ferran — Proteus — Real_Thread: 4.0 — Leads coordinated mid‑afternoon heavy ganks (notable 14:00 UTC activity).
- Mai Winter — Gnosis — Real_Thread: 3.5 — Frequent partner to Michel Ferran during afternoon operations.
- Dejan Estemaire — Gnosis — Real_Thread: 3.5 — Dedicated mid‑day aggressor.
- Cadhla Dioltas — Augoror NI / Tengu — Real_Thread: 3.0 — Flexible collaborator, sometimes supporting Aladar.
- Kush Alien — Stratios — Real_Thread: 2.5 — Opportunistic hunter; lower sample size but capable.
Observed Tactics & Indicators
- Capsule follow-up kills: In 18 recorded victim IDs, 5 resulted in capsule kills — aggressors prioritize denying re‑ship/re‑pod.
- Target mix: Haulers (Miasmos, Iteron V, Tayra, Hoarder), combat frig/cruisers (Astero, Cheetah, Rook, Vexor NI), and medium combat ships — attackers do not discriminate by ship class.
- Attacker platforms: Fast damage projection (Garmur), heavy damage battlecruisers (Gnosis, Machariel), and T2 cruisers (Proteus, Legion, Tengu) — indicates both solo-elite and small‑gang capability.
- Cloaky/smartbomb threat: Cloaky reconnaissance and possible smartbomb or cloaky camping tactics observed (notably in the 06:00–09:00 window). Even covert ops are at risk.
Risk Assessment
- Localized danger is persistent and predictable. Unescorted, poorly fitted, or high-value shipments face significant risk during the noted windows. Assume aggressors will pursue capsule kills when possible.
Recommended Actions (rooted in analyst data)
- ROUTE AROUND if possible — reroute high-value or irreplaceable cargo around Groothese, especially during 01:00–04:00 UTC and 12:00–15:00 UTC. Avoid transit on Tuesdays and Saturdays when feasible.
- TIME AVOIDANCE — do not schedule transits through Groothese during the peak windows identified above.
- FIT FOR SURVIVAL — transiting ships should be fitted either for maximum tank or with modules oriented to prevent being held (warp core stabilizers, strong propulsion/prop mods, and fast align). Evasion over confrontation is advised.
- TRAVEL LIGHT / ESCORT — reduce single‑stack high‑value cargo; consider escorts for vulnerable or valuable shipments.
- HEIGHTEN SITUATIONAL AWARENESS — watch for small scout signatures and rapid fleet arrival. Expect follow‑up aggression and capsule risk; do not assume safety after a ship loss.
- COURIER/COYOTE CAUTION — covert/cloaky ships are not guaranteed safe; recorded kills include cloaky and recon vessels.
Quick Mitigation Checklist
- Avoid 01:00–04:00 UTC and 12:00–15:00 UTC (priority).
- If transit is unavoidable: fit tank or warp-scram prevention, use fast align and instant-warp tactics, don’t linger in local, minimize valuable cargo per run.
- Prefer alternative routes on Tuesdays and Saturdays.
Closing
Groothese currently functions as a kinetic hot spot driven by a small, effective set of aggressors. Treat transits as high risk and apply strict avoidance, timing, and fitting mitigations. EIN will continue monitoring trends; pilots transiting Everyshore should operate on heightened caution in Groothese.
— Everyshore Intel Network (EIN)