Groothese – 2025-10-25
Issued: 2025-10-26
Analyst: Everyshore Intel Network Analyst
Summary
- Threat Level: HIGH (System rT: 3.5 — Elevated Danger).
- Primary hazard: organized, repeat predators (gate/station/belt campers and small gangs) consistently killing explorers and industrials.
- Primary danger windows: 18:00–04:00 UTC (EU prime into early US prime); secondary spike Saturday ~12:00–15:00 UTC.
- Top persistent aggressors identified: Aladar Krahn (rT 4.5), Dejan Estemaire (rT 3.8), Michel Ferran (rT 4.2), Mai Winter, Peter Powers, Kush Alien.
Details — What the data shows
- Activity volume is significant for a single low‑sec system: 20 kills in 7 days with concentrated weekend activity.
- Attackers use cruisers/battlecruisers and T3s (Gnosis, Stratios, Proteus, Legion, Machariel, Garmur), indicating organized gangs and the capability to tackle and rapidly kill explorers/haulers.
- Frequent victim types: Astero, VNI, Ventures, Imicus, Viator, Miasmos, Haulers and other slow/low‑tank industrial or exploration hulls.
- Behavior pattern: dedicated camping (gates, belts, anomalies) and coordinated gang strikes; recurring individual predators (not random roams).
Named Local Threats (highlights)
- Aladar Krahn — multiple hulls (Garmur, Machariel, Gnosis). Most dangerous single actor; attacks a range of soft targets; operates solo and in small pairings (rT 4.5 — Critical).
- Dejan Estemaire — repeated Gnosis camping targeting industrials/haulers (rT 3.8 — High).
- Michel Ferran & associates — Proteus/T3 cruiser gang activity targeting higher‑value explorers and VNIs (rT 4.2 — High).
- Kush Alien — Stratios usage suggests covert probing and targeted explorer/scan kills.
Local Thread Warning (operational takeaways)
- Anyone flying less than an armored cruiser or an extremely fast, well‑fitted blockade runner should assume substantial risk while transiting Groothese during the stated windows.
- Standard haulers (Miasmos, Viator, Hoarder) and common exploration hulls (Astero, Imicus, Venture) are actively hunted and are unlikely to survive unescorted transit during prime windows.
- Camping and scanning capability are present — cloaked/logged‑off probes and Stratios/Scouting tactics are probable.
Mitigation Recommendations (actionable)
- Avoid transit during the primary danger window: 18:00–04:00 UTC, especially weekends. Do not plan unescorted hauling or exploration on Saturday peak hours.
- If you must operate in Groothese:
- Use blockade runners or other fast, high‑align haulers and maximize align/warp time (fit warp core stabs, MWD+stabs only where safe depending on fit).
- Prefer heavily tanked cruisers or better for unescorted ships; anything below armored cruiser class is high risk.
- Do not use obvious predictable routes — alternate gates, use safes and insta‑dock/insta‑undock bookmarks for exits. Maintain multiple safe bookmarks.
- Explorers should cloak when possible (Astero pilots especially), avoid probing in systemic hotspots (gates/rez sites) during prime windows.
- Use active D‑scan discipline, check for multiple signatures and cruiser‑class contacts before engaging anomalies or warping to belts. If you see cruisers/T3s holding range, abort.
- Travel in small escorted convoys during elevated windows; escorts should be capable of tackling and local burst DPS.
- Fit for prolonged range control or fast disengage rather than paper alpha; many attackers use range control to isolate and chip targets.
Tactical indicators to watch for (from pattern)
- Recurrent Gnosis and Stratios in local or gate/undock traffic — strong indicator of imminent camping/scan threat.
- Presence of Proteus/Legion/Tengu hulls in system alongside Gnosis/Stratios — indicates prepared T3 gang hunting higher‑value targets.
- Multiple kills clustered around gates, stations and first‑range belts/anomaly warps — avoid these areas until quiet.
Closing
Groothese is currently a high‑risk low‑sec transit point for industry and exploration. The threat is persistent and concentrated during weekend and evening UTC prime hours. Plan routes and operations to avoid the identified windows, use hardened or fast logistics hulls, maintain strict D‑scan and warp discipline, and assume gate/belt camping when entering the system.